Don't you think that is a bit premature statement to make when we do not know the capability or the price ?
It's a lot of assumption.
I expect it to be a well polished product when it hits RETAIL.
And I would say it at least has the potential of that. Depending on capability and price. But I will say again that I don't think this device is what most are expecting.
But I'm still waiting on the transparent iPhone and other things he promised about 3 years ago.
Read back in this thread searching scoble by date ascending
Don't bet your lunch money on his talk.
Many of these guys make a claim to fame paying insiders for photos (in china) and making some wild guesses about what it is they think they see. And then assume that it is a production unit and not a batch of testing prototypes. They get some things right and get many others wrong. But they make money because they generate followers saying what folks want to hear.
But I can hope that they are all correct on this. But I don't think so. Hope I am wrong.
If you look back about 6 months ago, I think I linked Apples AR release to 5G breakout.
Here is some info on where 5G coverage is right now. Not a big reason to upgrade unless you live in one of those cities. So you have to stay there to enjoy it. It will be 2 years before I have it where I live. maybe more.
https://www.androidcentral.com/heres-every-us-city-5g-coverage-right-now
I guess my point is, there is no hurry to beat anyone out. You can't. More important to 'get it right' the first time.
5G does not help with the communication with the eye-wear. It would help with swallowing large chunks of data like 4k video for VR but I doubt this initial product is going to be a VR device nor display 4K much better than it would 1.5K. And that is fully capable on LTE. In fact I doubt it is going to be more than a Utility Eye-wear. I don't think Apple wants to fill your eyes with video. The money is in the utility aspects. I don't expect this to retail for more than $499-$699 but at least less than $1k as a retail product.
Using cell channels to update the apps output and wifi to update the glasses. You are not going to want 5G RF right against the head in any case. That is yet one more story on the slowing of 5G deployment. Health concerns with 5G RF. Locals are putting up fights about 5G towers near schools and playgrounds etc.
So what it or most VR standalones really needs is a high speed wifi. . Here is a summery where that is right now.
https://www.cnet.com/news/wi-fi-6-and-what-it-means-for-you-wifi-routers/
5G and wifi6 will change everything for VR stand-alones. I'm sure Oculus and HTC are both on it.
Most stand-alones are already using Qualcomm's cell chip CPU/GPU as it is.
I would expect Apple to announce something next year to get dev interest started.
But Retail 2021. Those retail sales numbers are 'possible'. But I'm not betting on them.
The story for the coming year is VR stand-alones. We can hope there is more....