Maybe you’re right. But this Ming Kuo I’ve been reading about is purported to have a consistent track record of successfully predicting Apple launches. I don’t know your track record in comparison.
I presume any AR eyewear launch will be like Nintendo in the 80s. The eyewear will come installed with a proprietary Super Mario Bros equivalent (I mean this metaphorically. I’m not suggesting it will be a video game, but it could be.) that will be novel and provide enough utility to make people want to purchase the goods. The content providers will fall in soon afterward. I’m sure Apple, Samsung, whoever, will launch strategically such that the preliminary content is not far behind the launch.
Again, you could be right. We could be years away. I have no informed opinion from which to go off of other than the pro articles (most of which say next year will be big) and the posts on this forum. I still think the pros are probably right, but we’ll all know in time.
I am sure we will see new launches. Even some 2nd gen of AR Glasses products.
But not at a price point that makes it compelling to the masses. It has not been all that great with the tech heads who have to have the latest gadgets.
It would help if the field of view was greater on them and there was compelling content at launch time.
Just remember that it was 7 years ago when we had the first real VR headset that was affordable.
It took time for content and because of the lack of standards, most VR HMD's are proprietary so, lots of luck getting a game for a Sony work with your Rift. It still holds the industry back. Yea, you can probably watch VR youtube on them all. But they are formatted for each model.
You might look back over a year ago when many here thought the Magic Leap One was going to change it all.
Naturally, I was nearly the only realist in the room. It is not that great quality and it costs to much and there is no compelling content nor a good variety of content.
If nothing changes with next gen products, (quality, price, content) it will result in the same as ML1.
It is all a stepping stone on the way to better and cheaper and the content will build over time.
And that is what I am stating... it takes time. More than most realize.
When it hits the 3rd gen of products, we will have a viable industry. Everything up to this point has been a beta test for a high price.
I have been in hi-tech bleeding edge projects and seen them through to market. That does not make me know-it-all, just a idea of where and how these markets work. It is not like you might be selling something people need, When they are good enough and cheap enough, people will think they need it, or better, want it.We have a ways to go.
I think Apple is 'at least' 2 years away from a product announcement and I do wish I am wrong about that.
But theirs will not be some beta. It will be a well polished product. It's usefulness as a tool to the masses will be evident and likely compelling but probably not what you are expecting.
we have a few years to get good names
