Having played the game for 10 mins I was usless lol. The names mainly sold for way way more than I thought. Goes to show that just like the automated valuation tools, human valuations mean nothing either as every name and sale is different.
It's definitely a difficult game, and there are sales that surprise me every day going through our daily market reports. But you'll find that if you play it enough an overwhelming majority of sales will stop seeming so random/crazy and will start to make sense. It took me thousands of rounds for things to really click.
When I first started playing it took me a few days to get a double-digit streak, now I'm consistently getting streaks of 15-25. Eventually you get into the right mindset where if you see a mediocre domain but it sold at GoDaddy you know it is $xxx, but if it sold at Sedo you know it is $x,xxx or possibly even $xx,xxx, or if it sold at Uniregistry it is most likely $xx,xxx or if it sold at Afternic it is most likely $x,xxx. You realize that almost none of the private brokerages will get involved in a sale for less than $xx,xxx. Those kinds of patterns.
The venue should play a big role in your guess, almost as much as (if not more than) the domain itself. Get your gut reaction of how good the domain is, and then adjust up or down depending on where it sold.
Part of it is also knowing the history of prices. For example knowing that CHIPS 4L hit $x,xxx around September of 2015, when 5N without a zero or four hit four figures, when 3L hit a floor of $xx,xxx even on the wholesale market (late 2014), and so on. Another big part is having a good memory.
If you stick with it things will make a lot more sense. I thought I knew pretty much everything there was to know about the domain industry, and I've definitely seen more sales data than almost anyone, but the game showed me I wasn't even close. Other very sharp domain investors have said the same, this is a review from Ali Zandi for example:
I had no idea I could get THIS much better at valuating domain names just by playing a game. Straight up. This is a must for any serious investor, even if you’re already at the top of your game, this will take you higher. Every time I play, I get a better understanding of what every type of domain name has been worth, is worth and could be worth. LOVE this game. Brilliant I say!
Thanks for playing! I hope you keep at it.