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oh ok
at the time of that post they were switched to .com pointing
it's a normal up-down rollercoaster ride
From google trends, .mobi demonstrate better and better.
The .mobi, .biz, .info trends
http://www.google.com/trends?q=.mobi,.biz,.info&ctab=0&geo=all&date=2008&sort=0
Year 2008 .mobi 1.00 .biz 2.85 .info 4.30
Year 2009 .mobi 1.00 .biz 3.20 .info 4.70
Year 2010 .mobi 1.00 .biz 1.50 .info 4.00
Now let's see the recent 5 months, July, Aug, Sept, Oct, Nov
July .mobi 1.00 .biz 2.04 .info 3.32
Aug .mobi 1.00 .biz 1.58 .info 2.68
Sept .mobi 1.00 .biz 1.14 .info 1.90
Oct .mobi 1.00 .biz 1.06 .info 1.80
Nov .mobi 1.00 .biz 1.02 .info 1.80
In the recent 5 month
From 49% of .biz to 98% of .biz, percentage increase 100%
from 30% of .info to 56% of .info, pencentage increase 84%
I don't think that it will be long for .mobi performs better than .biz, and performs as well as .info. It will not be long for .mobi performing better than .info.
Of course, you may say .biz and .info is not the good extention to compare, but it do see the increasing of .mobi.
Do more job, I compaired the .mobi/.net for recent 5 months
July .mobi/.net 1/262
Aug .mobi/.net 1/208, percentage increase 26.0%
Sept .mobi/.net 1/155, percentage increase 34.2%
Oct .mobi/.net 1/139, percentage increase 11.5%
Nov .mobi/.net 1/132, percentage increase 5.5%
We can see the steady increase of .mobi usage, percentage increaed 98.5% in the past 5 month
Nearly all extensions, including the junk ones, are growing. It's not the sole measure of success. The gap is still widening vs other extensions.
I think .name is among the few TLDs that have been decreasing in numbers.
In absolute numbers .com has gained 6.6M+ new registrations since the beginning of the year while .mobi has gained a mere 33,866. This is not spectacular growth, whether absolute or relative. That is why .mobi is getting more marginal every day, and the same applies to other struggling extensions, .biz being another example.
My point is not the increasing of absolute amount, but the increasing spead. We can take .info, or .net as baseline, to see the trends of .mobi of the recent 5 months
.info as baseline, .mobi increased 84%
.net as baseline, .mobi increased 98.5%
Domainers are leaving Mobi. That explains declining registrations.
And has little or nothing to do with the eventual popularity of the extension, in the same way that the early hype has nothing to do with it's eventual success or failure. It is about development and, for it's age, Mobi is doing OK in that.
Most registrars feature Mobi along with Info and Biz as alternate choices for their customers. Affilias will see to it that this continues. Mobi prices are currently far below those of Info and Biz. Wise investors will take notice.
For the investor the only question is ROI from today onward. Among second tier extensions, Mobi is currently subject to domainer panic selling. While domainers try to predict future value, they are highly subject to emotion - "the crowd is right most of the time but wrong at the wrong time" - they miss the big moves. The fundamentals are as good for Mobi as for any other second tier ext, plus the mobile web is about to dominate. This looks good to me.
Caveat: Mobi is speculative (within the speculation that is domains). I have mostly Coms, after housecleaning I will have about 10% Mobi.
I am recently wondering just how much the original plan was to force the mobile web into certain tech guidelines and thus create a second web, available mostly on Mobi. This heavy handed grab for control angered a lot of people - and was rapidly dumped by the DotMobi registry when they realized it was impossible to enforce. (Not being tech-savvy I was only vaguely aware of this undercurrent. I have always seen Mobi as an identifier: Mobi = Mobile.)
Carob said:Most of this is speculative, but some of it is factually wrong. The mobi extension attracts uninformed speculation and passionate debate with very few facts ever referenced, but huge amounts of money being lost.
He speaks as if Mobi is counter to device independence and thus a danger to the freedom of the web. In the early stages of web-phone development there appears to have the possibility of a separate set of requirements for web-enabled phones. This would be an incentive for Google, Microsoft, Visa and the rest to get involved with Mobi, something that I see no other explanation for. The money that can be made with a domain extension, regardless how successful, is pennies to Google and the rest. Speculation -- yes, but it fits the facts and explains some of the deep animosity that Mobi evokes in some people.Berners-Lee said:... It is fundamentally useful to be able to quote the URI for some information and then look up that URI in an entirely different context. For example, I may want to look up a restaurant on my laptop, bookmark it, and then, when I only have my phone, check the bookmark to have a look at the evening menu...
At Last! Someone asked the right question.Carob said:... And if you're tempted to gamble on this, ask yourself, why would someone choose to use a mobi domain?
.Mobi is certainly experiencing panic selling. This is a domainer event, not related to the fundamentals.Snoop said:When something falls heavily, it is easy to say it is "panic selling" as though it is going to come back one day and not justified, or talk talk in quotes and analogies as though that means something.
I certainly cannot guarantee that Mobi will come back. Google and friends could have made Mobi a star, that is gone. What remains? A long list of active websites, placement by most registrars as a top tier alternative TLD, and the upcoming boom in mobile computing.Snoop said:But what points to .mobi ever coming back? The very essence of the extension, support by famous and influential corporations is gone. Are Google and Microsoft panic sellers as well? They've dumped it.