First of all Happy New Year to all my domain friends on NPs and the very best wishes to everyone for 2019 to be a successful one for you. I started the new year right spending most of the day with grandchildren, exploring our urban parks and walks, and did not notice this thread until much was written (and then contributed my sorry attempt at humour re the hypothetical Bob in
@JB Lions post, sorry). But on to the topic at hand....
To hand-reg or not has been discussed quite a few times, but still I found insights in a number of the well reasoned arguments in this thread.
I have no doubt that hand-reg continues to work well for some.
I also have no doubt that the majority, perhaps after trying hand-reg in the early days, find it more profitable now to invest in auctions or drops. I also know that
the majority of truly high value sales are names that have remained registered for many years.
I also would suggest that almost all of us could agree that
there are situations where hand-reg makes sense. These would include emerging technologies, made up brandables, new social trends, and possibly some geo based names.
One of the strongest arguments against hand registration by new domainers is that
easy hand registration may promote quantity over quality in a portfolio. If you are investing $60 you will think more whether the name is indeed worthwhile. That being said, it seems to me that there are
lots of names that will never sell being offered on auctions and drops, so that alone is no guarantee of quality (just as age alone may be a filter but is no guarantee of quality).
I think this question could be answered by an analysis (and may try to do one in the future). I did some time ago look at a batch of sales on
NameBio and it is true that the majority had been held for some time. However,
remember that NameJet and GoDaddy auctions, and DropCatch represent many of the sales automatically reported to NameBio, and by definition many of these are dropping previously held names. Since sales at Affternic, Effty sites, Undeveloped, etc. are not normally reported, the
data may have a significant bias.
A second way to test, that would remove this bias but add its own self-report biases. In preparing this post I did read through the last 6 pages of the Report Completed Sales thread. In many cases it shows clearly whether the name was a hand reg or not. It seemed to me that
a significant number of the sales on NP sales thread were indeed hand regs (I define that as 2 or fewer renewals and original registration), including sales that were at high $$$ and $$$$ ranges.
As well as logic and statistical data, another possible piece of evidence is
whether highly successful domain investors still hand-reg. Some have chimed in to this thread. I would point out that
Mike Mann hand registered as recently as 2012 almost 15,000 domain names in a single day. Also, his sales posts that in general give acquisition data, have shown success with some hand registrations since then. Note however that while he registered them in a short period, he did this based on a desired list he had researched over an extended time.
If you hand-register never do it on impulse - research and consider the names over a significant time.
I think it is true that even those with high value profiles occasionally hand-register. For example in his recent post about acquisitions in 2018
Elliot Silver points out that he hand registered more than usual in 2018 (he does not give the number but is supposedly high enough if he does not know it without checking) . He has a very strong portfolio and this year has turned down high 5 figure offers. I respect his judgement a lot, and to me this suggests that there is a place for hand registration even in 2019.
Whether to hand register or not is one question that we should all
be sure not to confuse what works best for us personally with what is the only route for others to follow.
Some car salespeople sell only new cars, some only high end used cars, some used cars at the low end, and some a mix. There are definitely successful sales people in all categories. The traits to be successful are different in the different categories. The same is true in real estate.
Think carefully and decide what is best for you. Listen to arguments of others, but don't blindly accept advice from anyone.
Whether you hand register or drop catch or follow auctions, my main advice is to do your research, stick to niches you understand, think from an end user perspective, emphasize quality over quantity, go slowly in building your portfolio, and play to your strengths. But that is just what I think. It is what you think that counts for you!
Have a happy and prosperous 2019 everyone.
Bob