I've bought a few mobis and I'm excited by the big prices of reported sales. But I'm also skeptical of MOBI's future. Here's a snippet from a
post I made the other day regarding numerical .mobi's:
"...My gut feeling is that telephone operators and mobile networks will not let any type-ins default to any extension (not dot COM, not dot MOBI, not dot anything). I can't imagine businesses would want to "lose" their surfers to outside competitors - such as 3rd party websites. I always think of the original AOL and their little internet system. When users would login to the AOL platform and type in Keywords, the results would always be directed to some AOL affiliate or AOL partner company. They never let their precious little surfers leave the proprietary network unless they explicitly opened a web browser and entered a complete URL including the extension.
So back to numerics. If a wireless subscriber opens their mobile browser and types in three or four or five digits and hits enter... what will happen? Are we to assume that the cell phone manufacturers/network operators will have configured their system so that the user is automatically taken to a website with a dot MOBI extension? or a dot COM?
When I open my phone browser today, I am taken to a mobile portal that my wireless provider makes as a Home page or starting point. To get to an application that lets me enter a direct URL I have to navigate through a couple of pages including a sneaky little window that has the option to "Enter URL..." - an option that is on page 2 of the sneaky little menu. In other words, they don't make it simple for the common user to just open the mobile phone web browser and type in address to navigate to. And when I do enter a domain without an extension, the result is an HTTP 400 error.
In my opinion, for ... mobis to be a success ... the dot MOBI extension has to be universally accepted as the de facto standard for mobile browsing. I doubt users are going to manually punch in full dot mobi URLs that include the .mobi extension on their mobile phones (for the obvious reasons). And based upon what I typed earlier, I'm not sold that that businesses are just going to all agree to let mobile users reach 3rd party websites/applications as the default method of operation when a user types in a bunch of keys at a menu or portal page..."
If the wireless businesses running the show (manufacturers,network operators, mobile technology standards organizations, etc.) do not have a monoploy on .MOBI domains and businesses based off of dot mobi website addresses, what is their incentive to drive their users to .MOBI locations and away from their own profit center addresses and locations?