The worst LLLL.com will reach $1000

[epasaport]

Today , the worst LLLL.com price is $25, if you make a guess how many years later it reaches $1000 ? In year 2000 LLL.com was available to reg year 2007 the worst one is 6000 in seven years they made very good investment , do you think the same think will happen to four letter?In october you reg LLLL.com 4 usd now 25 usd it is 4x6.25 in 4 months

 

[filter]

give it about 10 years, probably a safe bet ... anyone's guess as to how far and how fast prices move towards $xxxx for QVXZ etc in the next few years though - probably will be still a quite a few good buying opportunities at under $100 over the next year or two. Probably better ROI in other areas IMO, but "cool" anti-premiums at less than $30 now are "no brainer" pickups from my perspective. But what do I know ...
:lol:

 

[RTM]

I agree, but I also tend towards niche markets, names and opportunities. So while we hold rtm.net and rtm.us .... those aren't the ones in our portfolio that hold the most value at this very moment.

This is simply real-estate - but in the virtual world.

Rob

 

[Jeff]

Do the worst of the worst - Q's, X's, Y's, Z's - LLL .com combos sell for min. $6,000 now, in all cases? :blink:

Of course, LLL's are more rare than LLLL's ... so while I think you have a very valid gneral point, it's going to be quite some time until even the most random (or "worst") LLLL combos sell upwards of mid - upper Xxx+, IMHO.
Interesting thread! :music:
-Jeff

 

[cache]

there will so much wealth created:

1. worst name = $1000
at least 450K * 1000= $450 million

2. average name = $10K.
450K * 10K = $4.5 billion

 

[Devil_Dog]

This a joke?

 

[cache]

I have not sold LLLL for less than $1k

 

[duceman]

Humm... Well I didn't think that the buyout would push the junk names up to $25. Then I thought that the market would cool in a week or two....

Now I'm not sure what to think.

I know that the market will cool for a while in the near future. If it gets hot again and pushes the sector to new heights will be interesting to see.

This is the exciting new part of domaining now that there are so many investors. It used to be that you really only cared about what the traffic, PPC, or brandability of a domain was. Now that there is this type of market we can trade them like trading cards.

Right now everyone would buy 100 crappy LLLL.com's for $800. Six months ago you couldn't give them away for less than reg fee. Just like playing the stock or collectables markets.

my 2c

 

[dannbkk]

Let's say the worst LLLL.com's are increasing in value $1 each day which they nearly are, than my guess is 3 years from now all LLLL.com's will have a start value of $1000.

 

[filter]

prices don't go straight up though ... every time they go up another 50% or so, quite a few people may tend to see that new level as having passed a reasonable threshold for profit-taking ... so will put more on the market, allowing prices to soften by maybe up to 20% before they decide that it's not worth the smaller profit to sell any more (and seeing that buyers are rushing in to buy on the dips, decide maybe better to join them to ride the wave again up to the next level) ...

Above scenario is a very fuzzy picture of course - the threshold for sellers to get interested may be 100% or 200% or more ... and there are certainly a lot of other factors that could make this particular "ratcheting up" pattern a less significant part of the bigger picture (ie, new buyers coming in, and - maybe even more important in the long run - eventual evaporation of reseller holdings as end users take some percent of the remaining LLLL.com off the market for good each year ...)

There are forces that could drive prices down more significantly as well ... Looking for some smart people with more pessimistic outlooks to offer their informed opinions on how that might happen too. It's worth thinking about carefully, whether we who have strongly "vested interest" in LLLL.com values like to hear it or not.

 

[srisri24]

i do think Min value for any LLLL.com would reach $60 by this september, may be before. After that it may slow down a bit.and will reach $100. by year end. But $1000 is not in near future may be after 4 or 5 years

 

[1john2004]

as soon as any LLL.com would cost $26k and more

 

[ssamriga]

ok, do we really need so many different threads about:
- when will LLLL be 100$ minimum?
- when will LLLL be 200$ minimum?
- when will LLLL be 1000$ minimum?
- when will LLLL be a kidney transplant minimum?

I am a fan of LLLLs myself, and regged a few for 7,15$, and I hope they raise quickly and permanently, but all this could be argued about in LLLL evaluation thread maybe?

 

[Charley]

I have not sold LLLL for less than $1k

What kind of llll's were they ?

 

[johntv]

as soon as any LLL.com would cost $26k and more

Fully agree!

Assuming that the minimum price of LLL.com's (now $6,400 according to 3character.com) will rise with 50% a year, it will be less then 4 years away, that will be around the end of 2011.

All in my opinion of course

 

[filter]

Fully agree!

Assuming that the minimum price of LLL.com's (now $6,400 according to 3character.com) will rise with 50% a year, it will be less then 4 years away, that will be around the end of 2011.

All in my opinion of course

There will also have to be some convergence between the relative values of LLLL and LLL of course. Right now, minimum price for a QVXZ LLLL.com is less than 1/200th of a QVX LLL.com ... So the "rarity premium" may not be a linear relationship - it will tip in the balance between supply and demand.

 

[accent]

There will also have to be some convergence between the relative values of LLLL and LLL of course. Right now, minimum price for a QVXZ LLLL.com is less than 1/200th of a QVX LLL.com ... So the "rarity premium" may not be a linear relationship - it will tip in the balance between supply and demand.

That convergence is the key factor in the current boom in LLLL.coms - freed of the weight of unregistered names, LLLL.coms are moving towards equilibrum with the rest of the domain market, LLL.coms being the most obvious. And, as noted, the LLLs themselves are a moving target.

It is happening faster than I expected.

In my eyes that convergence, to say 1/22nd - 1/30th of the LLL.com value, is a matter of time. How much time is another question, dependant on the larger picture of domaining - will the recession bring more money to the industry, squeeze investors into selling before they would wish, or (most likely) both?

 

[DotCN]

It will reach $1,000 in two years

 

[htmlindex]

I would say it would take quite a while for the worst ones to be worth a min of $1k, I would have to agree with around 10 years or so.

 

[accent]

Convergence with a moving target.

Say LLL.coms move from $6,400 to $10,000 in one year. And say they continue the same rate: +50% per year, for a few years more:

After one year: LLL.com min $10,000; LLLL.com min $390 (about $400, the rest of the numbers are rounded)
After two years: LLL.com min $15,000; LLLL.com min $600
After three years: LLL.com min $22,000; LLLL.com min $900
After four years: LLL.com min $33,000; LLLL.com min $1300
After five years: LLL.com min $50,000; LLLL.com min $2000
After six years: LLL.com min $75,000; LLLL.com min $3000
After seven years: LLL.com min $150,000; LLLL.com min $4500

You get the idea.

I am certainly not predicting this, just carrying the arguement a bit further.

The real question here is where all that money would come from. The internet continues to grow at a rapid rate, online sales were up 20% this Christmas over last year, in an otherwise down market. And when prime internet properties (domains) are compared to prime physical realestate the domain values are trivial. Plus the entire mobile web is still to make it's presence felt in the market, mobile is predicted to be 4 times larger than the PC internet. And mobile puts a larger premium on short domains.

It does look like there is quite a way to go.



Waaaaay too much Kool-aid tonite, don't mind me.