It's kind of an odd dilemma since Godaddy uses a far more efficient form of auctioning than ebay (fixed time auctions are literally the least efficient form of auctioning there is) by extending the close time whenever someone bids.
So, the choice is either 'ignore it' and hope you can snatch it at closeout, or bid and risk running into someone else who's likewise waiting for it to drop, now you're bidding against someone,.
I'd say completely disregard the idea that a lone bid escalates into huge price increases. One thing I've learned is that good names are going to sell for higher prices and they are no 'secret'. Some people feel that because they put in a bid in the last 3 minutes and it got run up to $1500, their $12 bid caused that. Monkey logic.
I loosely categorize all godaddy auction names into one of five buckets.
1) Bid
2) Bid just to keep it from the closeout vultures. If I get a couterparty, I'm not in it for much. They can have it.
3) Try to snag it right away as a $11 closeout
4) Try to snag it as a $8 closeout
5) Eh, if it drops to $5, maybe I'll care enough to buy it as a closeout to preserve the registration date, or maybe I'll just desktop snap it as a drop.
So, what happened is you mistakenly categorized a #2 name as a #3 and got beaten. It happens. It can even happen at odd times, even well after the name has been in closeout. Don't worry. This game is all about focusing on working with what have. Can't waste a single second 'grieving for what might have been' on a single closeout name. Pretty much 100% of my drops are picked up by someone else. Once in a great while, I'll recognize an old drop on the weekly Sedo or Afternic sales list. Congrats to them. Utterly irrelevant to my bottom line.