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Worst predictions of 2008

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Here are some of the worst predictions that were made about 2008. Savor them -- a crop like this doesn't come along every year.

1. "A very powerful and durable rally is in the works. But it may need another couple of days to lift off. Hold the fort and keep the faith!" -- Richard Band, editor, Profitable Investing Letter, Mar. 27, 2008

At the time of the prediction, the Dow Jones industrial average was at 12,300. By late December it was at 8,500.

2. AIG (NYSE:AIG - News) "could have huge gains in the second quarter." -- Bijan Moazami, analyst, Friedman, Billings, Ramsey, May 9, 2008

AIG wound up losing $5 billion in that quarter and $25 billion in the next. It was taken over in September by the U.S. government, which will spend or lend $150 billion to keep it afloat.

3. "I think this is a case where Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE - News) and Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM - News) are fundamentally sound. They're not in danger of going under I think they are in good shape going forward." -- Barney Frank (D-Mass.), House Financial Services Committee chairman, July 14, 2008

Two months later, the government forced the mortgage giants into conservatorships and pledged to invest up to $100 billion in each.

4. "The market is in the process of correcting itself." -- President George W. Bush, in a Mar. 14, 2008 speech

For the rest of the year, the market kept correcting and correcting and correcting.

5. "No! No! No! Bear Stearns is not in trouble." -- Jim Cramer, CNBC commentator, Mar. 11, 2008

Five days later, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM - News) took over Bear Stearns with government help, nearly wiping out shareholders.

6. "Existing-Home Sales to Trend Up in 2008" -- Headline of a National Association of Realtors press release, Dec. 9, 2007

On Dec. 23, 2008, the group said November sales were running at an annual rate of 4.5 million -- down 11% from a year earlier -- in the worst housing slump since the Depression.

7. "I think you'll see (oil prices at) $150 a barrel by the end of the year" -- T. Boone Pickens, June 20, 2008

Oil was then around $135 a barrel. By late December it was below $40.

8. "I expect there will be some failures. I don't anticipate any serious problems of that sort among the large internationally active banks that make up a very substantial part of our banking system." -- Ben Bernanke, Federal Reserve chairman, Feb. 28, 2008

In September, Washington Mutual became the largest financial institution in U.S. history to fail. Citigroup (NYSE:C - News) needed an even bigger rescue in November.

9. "In today's regulatory environment, it's virtually impossible to violate rules." -- Bernard Madoff, money manager, Oct. 20, 2007

About a year later, Madoff -- who once headed the Nasdaq Stock Market -- told investigators he had cost his investors $50 billion in an alleged Ponzi scheme.

10. A Bound Man: Why We Are Excited About Obama and Why He Can't Win, the title of a book by conservative commentator Shelby Steele, published on Dec. 4, 2007.

Mr. Steele, meet President-elect Barack Obama.

So if you made a few mistakes on domains, don't fret it ;)
 
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GoDaddyGoDaddy
Outstanding!!!!!
You have to love the "experts"... when they have their own agenda.
 
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Samit said:
5. "No! No! No! Bear Stearns is not in trouble." -- Jim Cramer, CNBC commentator, Mar. 11, 2008

Five days later, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM - News) took over Bear Stearns with government help, nearly wiping out shareholders.


There was alot of controversy on this one, jim maintains he was talking about money in the savings accounts, not share price. But does look bad

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gUkbdjetlY8
 
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People love and believe in positive predictions, while brushing aside any gloomy ones.
Nuriel Roubini, aka Dr. Doom predicted with amazing accuracy this economic tsunami almost 2 years ago. Offcouse who wants to listen to doom and gloom when the economy was apparently doing so well. It was more fun listening to Cramer than to Roubini, but not any more.
 
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For Canadians it was during the election held on oct 14 our PM said there would be no deficit but a sizable surplus, and Canada wouldn't get sucked into the global downturn. Two months later he now says we will run upwards of a $50 billion dollar deficit. This two weeks after he urged Canadians to invest in the stock market. What a Conservative tool.
 
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a nice selection! must have been hard narrowing it down to 10 this year! sp
 
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kewl read thanx

Cheers
Corey
 
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:blink: Hehe
 
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Interesting Read..
 
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:rolleyes:

Truely hillarious!
 
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Fingers crossed 2009 is better, much much better.
 
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Oldie but Goodie thread.

Jafhost said:
Fingers crossed 2009 is better, much much better.

Yes, fingers crossed ... :blink: :red:

Thought I'd bring up an 'oldie but goodie' thread ... personally, I think Obama & Company are doing everything that they can given the absolute greed, deregulation, lack of oversight, corruption, and FLUFF of the past 9+ years, but as of this writing ... the Dow stands at 6,484 and I believe the worst is still to come, IMHO. :'(

Where do you see the Dow in 6 months, or Year-End '09? :talk:

Recovery, or partial recovery at least, won't begin until home prices drop further and then begin to stabilize, and credit & financial institutions get cleaned up and become solvent and start lending again ... and folks get back to work and start spending - these items are many months away, in my view. Bankruptcies (GM, for sure), further job losses (4.4 million thus far and mounting ... ), foreclosures (now way behond sub-prime households), and state/county/city (this is the hidden 'wild card', in my judgement) solvency still need to work their way through this unprecedented cycle - and I think we could easily be looking at Dow 3,645 - 4,187 by +/- Labor Dayโ„ข, and I just pray that I'm wrong. :rolleyes:

Please share your thoughts. :talk:
Thanks again, Samit.
-Jeff B-)
 
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Great insight as usual Jeff, thanks for sharing your views. I agree in general with the "it will get worse before it gets better" lot.

However, I differ with most who say dec '09 will be better, I think we're looking at some pretty long term damage tbh.

Again, with property down, almost everything across the board gets affected and how long can countries go on printing money without some basis of liquidity is also scary. Take Zimbabwe as a working reference.
 
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By the end of the year, the NP$ will be stronger than the US$ :tu:

Buy NameBucks today! :lol:
 
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Reminds me of a recent "The Daily Show", with clips of all these predictions.

"If only I'd listened to the experts, I'd have a million dollars today! .... .... as long as I had 100 million to start with!"
- John Stewart
 
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-NC- said:
"If only I'd listened to the experts, I'd have a million dollars today! .... .... as long as I had 100 million to start with!"
- John Stewart

Classic! :laugh:

Good stuff, keep 'em coming, and thanks again Samit. :music:
-Jeff B-)
 
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It's funny because if people listened to Ron Paul during the Republican Presidential Debates, they would see that everything he said has come to fruition.
 
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in 2009, peoples are saying, Unemployment rate will reach 10% in USA.
 
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Today The Classifieds Section of a paper on my desk had this to say

"36,300 of our readers are shopping for a vehicle this week**"

**source:nadbank 2007
 
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I dunno I seem to spot alot of predictions that never come about every year.
 
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