.tv .TV five years from now

[MillersCrossing]

Prices will go up at least 1,000% or more . A name that would go now for $2000 would go for $20,000 +

Is this

1. A dead cert, money in the bank
2. Highly probable.....
3. Don't know about 1000% + but a very nice ROI
4. Modest rise.
5. .Tv could end up proving the naysayers right -a bad investment and a business write off.....

Interesting to see what peoples expectations are as to the potential of .TV over a five year period.....

 

[equity78]

Names are unique so I do not believe in any across the board price increase or decrease. I mean quality .coms over the last 5 years have gone up dramatically doubt that many here in this forum have benefitted from PORN.com going for $9.5 Million or Fish.com going for $1million.

Over the last year a lot of bad names have been regged that truly do not compare with a IT.tv or a See.tv or a Concert.tv. SO will they go up 1000 %? Not Imo I think that you have to look for comparable domains and that is even hard.
SanDiego.tv is a Geo and SO is Newark.tv (ever been to Newark ? I have, not too much tourism or great things happening) but it is a GEO so you have to break Geo down by population then tourism, standard of living etc...

I think LL.tv and LLL.tv will increase but bad LLL.tv probably will not participate unless there was a complete buyout so you could establish a minimum wholesale.

I think the more important thing rather than hypothesizing over valuations is to start to earn from your domains as fast as you can.

Who knows what the internet will look like in 5 years ? anyone who says they know IMO is a liar and a fool. So where as the extension is intuitive and prices for quality domains should go up I do not think it will be a blanket upward increase.

For every wow look who is using .tv you have to look at why did the NFL the most popular sport in the US by far, drop all of their .tv domains. Why did Zee TV drop Zee.tv why did Blinx who got free pr from Verisign for using a .tv start promoting the .com same for UFC which used .tv for years but now uses .com.

It a complicated road I think you want to have quality and less is more in the .tv extension. 10 good to great domains over a portfolio of 100 so so .tv domains.
Again IMO

 

[MillersCrossing]

I agree about you cannot talk about every single name regged Eq.

I am talking specifically with a name that is valued today at $2000 as a reseller price ets say...so we know we are talking low end of evaluation and also a decent name for 2k....,

I am referring to such names only, not alot of the crap that people are registering...so purely good names that would go today for 2k easy - can one assume that in five years time these will be worth so much more it bears the hallmarks of the .com phenomenon in price values ( not to the same level of course , but comparitavely speaking )

or would you say one of the four other options.......

 

[equity78]

Ok I see James what you mean I still think it hard to predict but a name like your IT.tv I think that will be worth increasingly more, I think good LL.tv and LLL.tv will be worth increasingly more. I think one word generics will for the most part increase at the rate you were talking about at least those in the top 200 Popular keywords Again IMO

 

[eyedomainous]

Prices will go up at least 1,000% or more . A name that would go now for $2000 would go for $20,000 +

Is this

1. A dead cert, money in the bank
2. Highly probable.....
3. Don't know about 1000% + but a very nice ROI
4. Modest rise.
5. .Tv could end up proving the naysayers right -a bad investment and a business write off.....

Interesting to see what peoples expectations are as to the potential of .TV over a five year period.....

"3. Don't know about 1000% + but a very nice ROI" would be my answer.

WHY?

I subscribe to 'critical mass' thinking... in science, politics and domaining. .com got to be the critical mass extension by virtue of being deployed first (luck). It had nothing to do with the letters themselves. .TV on the other hand stands the best chance -over all other domain extensions, at reaching critical mass based on the name/letters themselves (and its history as The Mass Medium), IMO.

Critical mass requires critical accelerators, or events, to take place, often in sequence, in order to manifest itself. After 5 years, or so, of a "dormant" period in the .TV namespace we are seeing some critical (mass) market events.

Any business, for example, must discover its "critical price" for its product to sell to the masses. We just got a taste, with Godaddy's $9.99. Critical price leads to mass market adaption. In biz the thinking is 20% market share is the 'tipping point' for critical mass.

Of course there have been other critical mass events in the last two years... from the rise of video online to .TV networks, advances in technology and so on. I see other critical mass .TV acceleraters on the "5 year" horizon. I won't get into all of them but one big one will be when analog broadcast tv goes digital... I predict a mass migration of broadcast viewers will become internet only TV viewers as the monthly web fees are cheaper than buying a "set top box" and it offers more variety & choice.

Critical mass, like a high tide, raises all 'boats in the harbour'.

 

[gamehouse]

Nice posts. Completely agree with the following including the option 3. Its all in those accelerators that propel the growth. It is the rate of growth/decline of influential factors such "mass adaptation," ever growing technology and development of content to increase adaptability, going to dictate the value, imo. I guess saturation of things might also make a difference.

GameHouse

"3. Don't know about 1000% + but a very nice ROI" would be my answer.

WHY?

I subscribe to 'critical mass' thinking... in science, politics and domaining. .com got to be the critical mass extension by virtue of being deployed first (luck). It had nothing to do with the letters themselves. .TV on the other hand stands the best chance -over all other domain extensions, at reaching critical mass based on the name/letters themselves (and its history as The Mass Medium), IMO.

Critical mass requires critical accelerators, or events, to take place, often in sequence, in order to manifest itself. After 5 years, or so, of a "dormant" period in the .TV namespace we are seeing some critical (mass) market events.

Any business, for example, must discover its "critical price" for its product to sell to the masses. We just got a taste, with Godaddy's $9.99. Critical price leads to mass market adaption. In biz the thinking is 20% market share is the 'tipping point' for critical mass.

Of course there have been other critical mass events in the last two years... from the rise of video online to .TV networks, advances in technology and so on. I see other critical mass .TV acceleraters on the "5 year" horizon. I won't get into all of them but one big one will be when analog broadcast tv goes digital... I predict a mass migration of broadcast viewers will become internet only TV viewers as the monthly web fees are cheaper than buying a "set top box" and it offers more variety & choice.

Critical mass, like a high tide, raises all 'boats in the harbour'.

 

[DomainAgency.com]

Here is a different way to look at this question.

You are speaking as if these names will collect dust and not be developed. The great thing about the potential of these names and the .tv TLD will be using them to brand hugely successful online content sites over the next few years. if .tv takes off like we think it can and you are showing a rev stream, you are now talking about someone having to buy both the land your business is in on and the business itself. With this line of thinking you are already showing what the value is worth (much like the .com traffic model but different)

Of course the prime generics will have a huge branding advantage and search optimization advantage which will still add a premium to the value of the land they are build on. Just like in real life, you can buy a lot that is near the beach and tear it down and rebuild, but you will pay a premium to get control of that premium piece of land.

 

[boboski]

Great .tv names will increase dramatically in that time frame-especially great "channel" and keyword names.

 

[dcmike77]

If the answer was #1 or #2, then we would see a larger base of people investing in .tv including alot of the bigger players like Frank S. That's not the case by far so I'm inclined to say #3.

I do praise .tv because it's not in direct competition with .com unlike .net, .org, cc tlds, etc. - it's clearly in a class all it's own and that's why the potential is so great.

-Mike