My quick survey of percentage of LLLL.coms developed

[timphelan]

I saw a blog post by another member here at namepros who did a random survey of 100 LLLL.coms to see how many were developed. He found 24 out of these 100, 24%. ( His blog is NNNNNdomains.com by the way. )

So I thought I would do a quick survey also just for the heck of it to see what the results would be. I only tested 33 and then multiplied the results by 3 to get the percentage. I found 33% percent had been developed. So we now have 24% and 33%.

You can see the list at my blog here.

I can see this number rising quickly in the next couple of years. Some people think that 456,000 domains is a huge number, but actually that is less than how many new websites are added online in just one week!

As the number of LLLL.coms developed rises it logically puts pressure on prices for all LLLL.coms to rise.

 

[-REECE-]

Thanks for taking the time to do some analyzing Tim

One thing many people forget is that while the speculators might have only come into LLLL.com territory in the last couple years, many LLLL.coms were registered long before that. Most of my quad premiums have archive.org results going back to 2002-2004, with some of them going back as far as 1998! It's not like 456,000 LLLL.coms were just regged on November 2nd... This was a countdown 10+ years in the making that most speculators only started to finally appreciate a few months ago...

I saw a blog post by another member here at namepros who did a random survey of 100 LLLL.coms to see how many were developed. He found 24 out of these 100, 24%. ( His blog is NNNNNdomains.com by the way. )

So I thought I would do a quick survey also just for the heck of it to see what the results would be. I only tested 33 and then multiplied the results by 3 to get the percentage. I found 33% percent had been developed. So we now have 24% and 33%.

You can see the list at my blog here.

I can see this number rising quickly in the next couple of years. Some people think that 456,000 domains is a huge number, but actually that is less than how many new websites are added online in just one week!

As the number of LLLL.coms developed rises it logically puts pressure on prices for all LLLL.coms to rise.

 

[rkbdomain]

Thanks for taking the time to do some analyzing Tim

One thing many people forget is that while the speculators might have only come into LLLL.com territory in the last couple years, many LLLL.coms were registered long before that. Most of my quad premiums have archive.org results going back to 2002-2004, with some of them going back as far as 1998! It's not like 456,000 LLLL.coms were just regged on November 2nd... This was a countdown 10+ years in the making that most speculators only started to finally appreciate a few months ago...

I've done another scan of 100 random LLLL's and in this one, 18% were developed sites, again a significant portion of Asian sites. You can see the results here.

I need to do a couple more scans before these are statistically significant, however. Also, I have tried to be somewhat stingy in this latest round with what I consider a developed site. There was one I think which had a logo and said "site coming" or something and I didn't count it, and a couple other borderline ones were not counted. Only real sites with content, etc.

 

[-REECE-]

I'd really like to know if there's some kind of automated software out there that could check archive.org faster than one site at a time so we could get a good idea of when these were first used as well. I'm guessing the case is similar here too.

I've done another scan of 100 random LLLL's and in this one, 18% were developed sites, again a significant portion of Asian sites. You can see the results here.

I need to do a couple more scans before these are statistically significant, however. Also, I have tried to be somewhat stingy in this latest round with what I consider a developed site. There was one I think which had a logo and said "site coming" or something and I didn't count it, and a couple other borderline ones were not counted. Only real sites with content, etc.

 

[VURG]

I got the impression that it was between 15% and 25% from previous work done on it at the end of last year. The natural instinct is to pick nicer letters when generating a sample and so the process of randomising the selection is important to get an accurate estimate.

The 18% estimate sounds more realistic to me.

 

[CHILLY]

I was thinking about this for a few days. Why don't we just make a big list here or in a new thread and when we find them we can list them. 100 at a time or 1 by 1 ? Whatever. It would add up after awhile and the picture would become more and more clear. Also the more developed the better rise in value for those left.

 

[ssamriga]

yeah,we should do a proper scan, of at least 10% of all LLLL.coms selected to represent all categories. Scanning 33 names and making conclusions can not give credible results...

 

[timphelan]

I wasn't making conclusions, that's why I included the 24%. Maybe if a few others do some similar surveys we can come up with a good estimate of the percentage. It doesn't take long really.

yeah,we should do a proper scan, of at least 10% of all LLLL.coms selected to represent all categories. Scanning 33 names and making conclusions can not give credible results...

 

[VURG]

I was thinking about this for a few days. Why don't we just make a big list here or in a new thread and when we find them we can list them. 100 at a time or 1 by 1 ? Whatever. It would add up after awhile and the picture would become more and more clear. Also the more developed the better rise in value for those left.

http://www.namepros.com/402538-official-developed-llll-com-distributed-scanning-2.html

Got 150 per letter of the alphabet done here, A,B and C done. I still should do the letter D as I said I would.

The text list on this post has the list I generated.

http://www.namepros.com/2371353-post12.html

 

[labrocca]

I would like to see a testing of 2007 registrations of LLLLs and how many of those are developed. Those are the ones mainly held by domainers and speculators.

 

[italiandragon]

I would like to see a testing of 2007 registrations of LLLLs and how many of those are developed. Those are the ones mainly held by domainers and speculators.

mind you but I just sold 2 all premium LLLL.com (one of the 2 just had 1 H in them as worst letter)
and they were developed in 2003 but dropped in 2008.

The world evolves and USA are no longer or will be no longer the number 1 country in the e-world.