- Impact
- 3,667
There is considerable speculation in nearly all extensions even .COM.
Verisign reports there are now nearly 335 million domain names.
https://www.verisign.com/en_US/domain-names/dnib/index.xhtml
This article notes that worldwide there are more than 100 million active hosts.
http://tekeye.biz/2014/how-many-websites-are-there
Would that mean there are 200+ million speculative domain registrations?
This WSJ article states that in the US there are in the range of 25 million small businesses but fewer than 6 million have employees. While the general public tends to go for reg fee domains, it would seem that a business with no employees would be rather unlikely to spend serious money on an aftermarket domain.
http://blogs.wsj.com/experts/2015/01/26/guess-how-many-small-businesses-there-are/
Yes, a business can have more than one domain but businesses are far more likely to acquire one in the early stages.
This CNN article seems to indicate US startup formation in the 500k/month range though to be consistent with the prior point, the majority of those startups are likely very small and not as apt to spend serious money on an aftermarket domain.
http://money.cnn.com/2011/03/07/smallbusiness/new_business_starts/index.htm
Of course the US is not the only market. But an English .COM domain is not likely to be acquired by a small business in France or Spain where they will probably want a domain in their language and country CCTLD. Regardless, many large companies do use .COM so that they can reach a global market. This NCPA article seems to indicate US GDP as a percentage of global GDP is in the 25 percent range (slightly higher). http://www.ncpa.org/sub/dpd/index.php?Article_ID=18745
So we have ~500k US startups monthly of which maybe 5k-10k are looking for an aftermarket domain. Globally the figure would be higher but you would have to consider foreign-language domains and CCTLDs.
Compare that to the ??? millions of aftermarket domains and thus one reason why industry portfolio turn is so low.
Of course established businesses can launch new projects, products or services and might consider a new domain as well. But the WSJ article mentions only about 5000 publicly-traded businesses.
Thoughts?
Verisign reports there are now nearly 335 million domain names.
https://www.verisign.com/en_US/domain-names/dnib/index.xhtml
This article notes that worldwide there are more than 100 million active hosts.
http://tekeye.biz/2014/how-many-websites-are-there
Would that mean there are 200+ million speculative domain registrations?
This WSJ article states that in the US there are in the range of 25 million small businesses but fewer than 6 million have employees. While the general public tends to go for reg fee domains, it would seem that a business with no employees would be rather unlikely to spend serious money on an aftermarket domain.
http://blogs.wsj.com/experts/2015/01/26/guess-how-many-small-businesses-there-are/
Yes, a business can have more than one domain but businesses are far more likely to acquire one in the early stages.
This CNN article seems to indicate US startup formation in the 500k/month range though to be consistent with the prior point, the majority of those startups are likely very small and not as apt to spend serious money on an aftermarket domain.
http://money.cnn.com/2011/03/07/smallbusiness/new_business_starts/index.htm
Of course the US is not the only market. But an English .COM domain is not likely to be acquired by a small business in France or Spain where they will probably want a domain in their language and country CCTLD. Regardless, many large companies do use .COM so that they can reach a global market. This NCPA article seems to indicate US GDP as a percentage of global GDP is in the 25 percent range (slightly higher). http://www.ncpa.org/sub/dpd/index.php?Article_ID=18745
So we have ~500k US startups monthly of which maybe 5k-10k are looking for an aftermarket domain. Globally the figure would be higher but you would have to consider foreign-language domains and CCTLDs.
Compare that to the ??? millions of aftermarket domains and thus one reason why industry portfolio turn is so low.
Of course established businesses can launch new projects, products or services and might consider a new domain as well. But the WSJ article mentions only about 5000 publicly-traded businesses.
Thoughts?
