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analysis World War III

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I believe that President Biden was right when he said that Russia is going to Invade Ukraine.

Any intelligent person is going to come to the same conclusion knowing that Russia has already decided to pay any price imposed on it by the West through sanctions.

Short of full military confrontation by the West there is nothing that can make Russia to change its mind as they see this as a golden opportunity to resurrect the once powerful superpower that was equal to the USA.

But Russia’s ambitions are not going to stop with taking over Ukraine since it already has made plans to increase its sphere of influence to Asia, Middle East, and South America and perhaps the whole World knowing that the West is most likely not going to do anything beyond just imposing sanctions which ultimately will hurt the West itself by effecting the Global economy in an adverse way the longer that they go on.

I personally don’t like any of the old ideologies, philosophies, and doctrines of Capitalism, Communism, Socialism, Religious Fundamentalism and all the other “ism” that are derived from the bad human characteristics of Greed, Lust, Hate, Cruelty, Jealousy, Prejudice, and lack of Empathy and that have been infringing on our rights in one way or another throughout the history because they can only exist through supporting inequality, oppression, suppression, torture, killing, and War.

When it comes to saving the World the last thing that I want to see is the further expansion of these old systems that have all already proven to be a failure in dealing with the existential problems that are currently facing Humanity and the Environment.

We don’t want all these political, Religious, and Racial parties and groups to resurrect their past, we want something new that can propel the World into the next Era that is based on the Universal Principles and Values that have been derived through Logic and Compassion and not through Force and Violence.

By “We” I mean all the Intelligent, Righteous, and Peace loving people of the World.

IMO

Thread rules: everyone is invited to participate as long as things are kept on topic and are on the constructive, professional, and respectful side (personal attacks and demeaning of others will not be tolerated). Do not overwhelm this thread with memes and if you provide a link to an article you must give a brief explanation as to what it is about so that people know ahead of time what they are clicking on.
 
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The views expressed on this page by users and staff are their own, not those of NamePros.
GoDaddyGoDaddy
I doubt that Ukraine has 6500 main battle tanks.

Russia entered the war with 1300 battle tanks (T80), Ukraine 1000 (T80's converted to T84 Oplot M). Following heavy losses, Ukraine has recovered many of the former Russian tanks and converted them.

NATO apparently has around 2300 Leopard tanks with an additional 300 in storage in various European countries; however, they first require permission from the German Chancellor to export to Ukraine - a decision that will likely be made this week. Experts predict that Ukraine needs but 100 Leopard tanks to bust thru and/or hold back the Russian offensive.


At the beginning of the invasion Russia mobilised initially about 3417 tanks, according to Kyiv Post, quoting a report of the International Institute of Strategic Studies.
Considering Russians have a total of 12000 tanks, the amount of Russian tanks captured by Ukraine (about 500) is not negligeable but relatively low.

And for the ukrainian tanks, I searched again and apparently Google gets it wrong here. It makes people into think Ukraine have 6500 tanks but that number is the number from 1992.
The updated number is 1890 according to Global Fire Power (https://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.php?country_id=ukraine) and I think it's a pre-war number
 
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I doubt that Ukraine has 6500 main battle tanks.

Russia entered the war with 1300 battle tanks (T80), Ukraine 1000 (T80's converted to T84 Oplot M). Following heavy losses, Ukraine has recovered many of the former Russian tanks and converted them.

NATO apparently has around 2300 Leopard tanks with an additional 300 in storage in various European countries; however, they first require permission from the German Chancellor to export to Ukraine - a decision that will likely be made this week. Experts predict that Ukraine needs but 100 Leopard tanks to bust thru and/or hold back the Russian offensive.
Agree with @Cannuck on 200%
There are a lot fakes news around, be aware.
 
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I doubt that Ukraine has 6500 main battle tanks.

Russia entered the war with 1300 battle tanks (T80), Ukraine 1000 (T80's converted to T84 Oplot M). Following heavy losses, Ukraine has recovered many of the former Russian tanks and converted them.

NATO apparently has around 2300 Leopard tanks with an additional 300 in storage in various European countries; however, they first require permission from the German Chancellor to export to Ukraine - a decision that will likely be made this week. Experts predict that Ukraine needs but 100 Leopard tanks to bust thru and/or hold back the Russian offensive.
And also i think germany won't give any Leopard II by themselves, as they say they are not able to produce them before 2024 : https://www.aa.com.tr/en/russia-ukr...ible-this-year-says-german-arms-maker/2788137

So yeah ukrainians will rely on donations from other countries

But it may also cause problems to ukrainian army as Leopard tanks are far away from the soviet models used by Ukraine. They would need completely new formations and different maintenance parts and methods, whuch may turn ukrainian logistics into a mess.


Also, to quote Breaking Defense :

" That considered, underfunding by the Bundeswehr and different standards among export customers mean that many Leopards lack the protection, weapon, and electronics upgrades of the latest version, the A7+.
Fielding the Leopard through a common logistics supply chain appears to be feasible because of how many European operators use the tanks, but a number of drawbacks include their size as they are considered relatively easy to spot from distance, require more fuel, and need a crew of four, one more than the T-72. Perhaps most problematic of all, at 55-plus metric tons, they are too heavy to safely cross many Ukrainian bridges.
In 2015, Ukrainian transportation authorities banned vehicles over 44 metric tons (49 US tons) citing potential damage to bridges and highways, an issue that could prove troublesome in terms of leading to excessive training for Ukrainian tank crews, commanders, staff planning, supply units, and maintenance on the Leopard 2, once deliveries have been made.
"
https://breakingdefense.com/2023/01...nding-leopard-2-and-other-nations-may-follow/
 
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Agree with @Cannuck on 200%
There are a lot fakes news around, be aware.
I was amazed that google itself shows the number of 6500 big like it's the true one when you ask how many tanks are in the ukrainian army.
But when you click on it and read the Wikipedia page with the context you see that 6500 was the number of ukrainian tanks in 1992

Let's all hope ChatGPT corrects that XD
 
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russia is trying to start a war in the Balkans.

31EBB054-E0AB-403F-BFE9-7763D7C453D9_w408_r1_s.png


There are two such "hot" spots:
- Kosovo, where there are protests for license plates, for the imprisonment of a Serb, etc.;
- Bosnia, where Serbs live in the pro-Serbian region. They want to join Serbia and are supporters of Russia.
at the same time, the private army "wagner" is recruiting Serbs for the war in Ukraine!
https://24tv.ua/rosiya-namagayetsya-rozvyazati-viynu-balkanah-yaki-garyachi-tochki_n2238860

also Last news

russia wants to create an army to fight big wars - ISW experts
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-17-2023

Interior Ministry leadership killed in helicopter
https://en.lb.ua/news/2023/01/18/18869_children_interior_ministry.html
 
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russia is trying to start a war in the Balkans.

31EBB054-E0AB-403F-BFE9-7763D7C453D9_w408_r1_s.png


There are two such "hot" spots:
- Kosovo, where there are protests for license plates, for the imprisonment of a Serb, etc.;
- Bosnia, where Serbs live in the pro-Serbian region. They want to join Serbia and are supporters of Russia.
at the same time, the private army "wagner" is recruiting Serbs for the war in Ukraine!
https://24tv.ua/rosiya-namagayetsya-rozvyazati-viynu-balkanah-yaki-garyachi-tochki_n2238860

also Last news

russia wants to create an army to fight big wars - ISW experts
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-17-2023

Interior Ministry leadership killed in helicopter
https://en.lb.ua/news/2023/01/18/18869_children_interior_ministry.html
hey imagine when serbs come back home they do like what happened in the sahel ?

- Qaddafi recruits tuareg from the Sahel as mercs to help him fight the NATO invasion
- War ends, Qaddafi dies and Libyan Army collapses
- Tons of weapons are left as army surplus
- Mercs take these weapons and go back to their countries in the Sahel with combat expreience
- They want to be independent and form their own states
- Mali war starts
- War expands to Niger's tuaregs
 
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It is awful this war has gone on almost a year. My heart breaks for all those who have lost, and are losing, loved ones.

There is simply no way the world (those with capabilities) should sit by for an extended period of time while an aggressor nation violates the sovereign borders of another country. The age of 'empire' building by unwarranted invasion is over.

Russia needs to withdraw immediately and return to pre-war lands. All people in areas under conflict should be allowed to be a citizen of the country of their choice...stay in Ukraine or be relocated to Russia.

Countries that have the military might need to form a single minded plan...basically give Russia x amount of time to withdraw. If they miss the deadline, furnish Ukraine with the long range missiles needed.

Of course everyone is doing their best not to escalate the conflict to an 'official' world war...maybe behind the scenes there is progress being made to remove Putin. Only the top tier puppet masters know for sure what is going on and what the long range plans are.

It is sickening the death and mutilation that is happening to all those involved. Evil has raised its putrid head and innocents suffer.

This embedded content is currently unavailable. View original
 
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The russian federation uses railway tanks for the secret transfer of its military personnel to the territory of belarus.
1508756112-6097.jpg


Reports on Wednesday, January 18, the belarusian edition Nasha Niva.
Journalists note that russia is taking such actions to mislead satellite and visual surveillance.

“Whether military equipment and ammunition are transported to belarus in this way or in similar disguised ways, we do not know,” the newspaper writes.




Now Air alarm in all regions of Ukraine​

1674117042215.png
 
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Germany agrees to send heavy Leopard tanks to Ukraine​


Germany's decision paves the way for other countries such as Poland, Spain, Finland and Norway to supply some of their Leopard tanks to Ukraine. Washington may also drop its opposition to sending perhaps dozens of its M1 Abrams tanks to Kyiv. With offers from the various allied countries, only around 100 tanks would be sent, which would not really be enough to change the course of the war.

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/german-government-approves-leopard-tanks
 
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Today, September 26, the russian federation is launching a large-scale missile attack on Ukraine.
400_0_1518711098-2891.jpg

Six russian bombers bombed missile launches in Ukraine.
Over 30 missiles are scored with a flash.
Explosions in several regions, in particular in the Vinnytsia region.
 
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Germany agrees to send heavy Leopard tanks to Ukraine​

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/german-government-approves-leopard-tanks

US is also sending 31 M1 Abrams to match said couple dozen Russian Terminator tanks operating in Ukraine...

Rare footage of a Russian BMPT operating alongside a Russian tank. t.me/zvezdanews/106…m.tvzvezda.ru/news/202312482…


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...apart-trees-with-gunfire-in-ukraine-firefight
 
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Germany agrees to send heavy Leopard tanks to Ukraine​


Germany's decision paves the way for other countries such as Poland, Spain, Finland and Norway to supply some of their Leopard tanks to Ukraine. Washington may also drop its opposition to sending perhaps dozens of its M1 Abrams tanks to Kyiv. With offers from the various allied countries, only around 100 tanks would be sent, which would not really be enough to change the course of the war.

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/german-government-approves-leopard-tanks
ugh-finally-89ca610754.jpg
 
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This phase of the war should tell us when the war will end , Putin will either leverage Nuclear missiles or Ukraine will win this war , I am thinking Ukraine will win this war , the time period shouldn’t be to long either way. IMO
 
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This phase of the war should tell us when the war will end , Putin will either leverage Nuclear missiles or Ukraine will win this war , I am thinking Ukraine will win this war , the time period shouldn’t be to long either way. IMO

Signatory countries of the multilateral Budapest Memorandum pledged Ukraine security guarantees in exchange for giving up its nukes and strategic bombers (notably, Russia was part of that deal). US, UK and NATO allies are not going to hold back weaponry (although slow to deliver), and Putin assumes the West will eventually tire as he throws more and more Russians into the meat grinder. If nukes are delivered, that'll lead to total clusterfux

This war will drag on IMO, unless peace is negotiated. ☮️
 
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Ukraine says Russia's decoy tanks deflated​


Inflatable tanks are a staple of Russia's deception doctrine known as maskirovka, or masking. The country's approach to psychological warfare relies on an arsenal of inflatable tanks and launchers, decoy vehicles and soldiers, and other operations of deceit to boost stealth tactics and sow confusion.

327742693_749709076515016_8377394943854953537_n.jpg


https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-says-russias-putting-inflatable-024429193.html
 
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Iran says drone attack targets defense facility in Isfahan

📹 | Ammunition depot of the #Iran|ian MoD explodes in #Isfahan city without any casualties.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/29/iran-reports-drone-attack-on-defense-facility.html

The government did not say who was behind the attempted attack, but some Telegram channels affiliated with Iran’s Revolutionary Guards pointed the finger at Israel.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/28/world/middleeast/iran-drone-attack.html

The war imposes a heavy bill on accomplices: Zelensky responded to the explosions in Iran at military facilities
 
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Signatory countries of the multilateral Budapest Memorandum pledged Ukraine security guarantees in exchange for giving up its nukes and strategic bombers (notably, Russia was part of that deal). US, UK and NATO allies are not going to hold back weaponry (although slow to deliver), and Putin assumes the West will eventually tire as he throws more and more Russians into the meat grinder. If nukes are delivered, that'll lead to total clusterfux

This war will drag on IMO, unless peace is negotiated. ☮️
I question rather Russia will be able to sustain militarily for a long drawn out war at this point. The proposition favors Ukraine IMO .. I still think China, Iran , ??? will afford Russia , missiles and weaponry if need be. We will have to see the involvement of the US and Germany up and coming , there will have to a line drawn in the sand as to how much involvement other countries can contribute or this Will definitely turn to World War 3 IMO
 
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