analysis World War III

[oldtimer]

I believe that President Biden was right when he said that Russia is going to Invade Ukraine.

Any intelligent person is going to come to the same conclusion knowing that Russia has already decided to pay any price imposed on it by the West through sanctions.

Short of full military confrontation by the West there is nothing that can make Russia to change its mind as they see this as a golden opportunity to resurrect the once powerful superpower that was equal to the USA.

But Russia’s ambitions are not going to stop with taking over Ukraine since it already has made plans to increase its sphere of influence to Asia, Middle East, and South America and perhaps the whole World knowing that the West is most likely not going to do anything beyond just imposing sanctions which ultimately will hurt the West itself by effecting the Global economy in an adverse way the longer that they go on.

I personally don’t like any of the old ideologies, philosophies, and doctrines of Capitalism, Communism, Socialism, Religious Fundamentalism and all the other “ism” that are derived from the bad human characteristics of Greed, Lust, Hate, Cruelty, Jealousy, Prejudice, and lack of Empathy and that have been infringing on our rights in one way or another throughout the history because they can only exist through supporting inequality, oppression, suppression, torture, killing, and War.

When it comes to saving the World the last thing that I want to see is the further expansion of these old systems that have all already proven to be a failure in dealing with the existential problems that are currently facing Humanity and the Environment.

We don’t want all these political, Religious, and Racial parties and groups to resurrect their past, we want something new that can propel the World into the next Era that is based on the Universal Principles and Values that have been derived through Logic and Compassion and not through Force and Violence.

By “We” I mean all the Intelligent, Righteous, and Peace loving people of the World.

IMO

Thread rules: everyone is invited to participate as long as things are kept on topic and are on the constructive, professional, and respectful side (personal attacks and demeaning of others will not be tolerated). Do not overwhelm this thread with memes and if you provide a link to an article you must give a brief explanation as to what it is about so that people know ahead of time what they are clicking on.

 

[DmitrySV]

The head of Chechnya Kadyrov promised to punish the killers of civilians in the Donbass

Chechen special forces will punish everyone who killed civilians in the Donbass and Odessa. This was stated by the head of Chechnya , Ramzan Kadyrov , who turned to the Ukrainian military and "devils from nationalist battalions" on his Telegram channel.

“We have the addresses of all shaitans and their families. The Nazis know this. Therefore, they, like jackals, hide behind the backs of the military - those who took the oath to the people of Ukraine, ”Kadyrov said.

The head of Chechnya called on the Ukrainian military to deal with the "jackals" themselves or leave them to the Chechen special forces. According to Kadyrov, soon everything will be over, and the Russian and Ukrainian peoples will live in friendship, as before. “Don't interfere with us. We won't stop. We have an order, we have jihad!!!” he concluded.

Earlier, Kadyrov asked Russian President Vladimir Putin to order the fighters to take Kharkiv , Kiev , and other Ukrainian cities. He called the situation in Ukraine a threat to Russia, noting that negotiations to achieve a peaceful solution to the conflict are good, but now “our brothers, our relatives and friends” are dying because of hostilities, which few people pay due attention to.

 

[koolishman]

even if there were some
I don't know
and I don't care

I bet you have some Nazis in your country, too

that doesn't make you invade a foreign country

those are obviously arguments that shall distract you
from the real purpose

Agree. Invading a sovereign nation is not acceptable in today’s world.

 

[Kingslayer]

Macron seems to be pushing the idea of an EU military, he’s been doing it for a while but think what’s happening in Ukraine will make it happen.

That happens, I think we are going to see EU rival the US military in the next 10 to 15 years and because of that (i might be wrong and i hope i am) could make NATO obsolete, which has been great during Russia’s invasion on Ukraine I must add in terms of unity and that security blanket around NATO countries, Russia knows it cannot step 1 foot on NATO territory and I think there’s been a great show of strength not only towards Russia but the watching China too.

I’m from the UK, whilst the UK are the 3rd biggest spenders on defence behind the US and China, our military is just too small due to all the government cuts over the last 20 years – I think what we are going to see is a big jump in UK’s defence spending too, we are no longer in the EU, so need to plan for an aggressive Russia/China and should an EU military happen, 'potentially' no more NATO.

 

[frank-germany]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499604247205273601

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499700457681436677

I wouldn't think that they lied.

The situation was a very confused last night
so everybody was in alarm mode

to call those fear lies
well you have to want to

what an idiotically mad lunatic guy
goes and shoots rockets near a working nuclear reactor

get your focus corrected

 

[Sutruk]

Excuse me, what? 1000 years history? Russia did not exist? Kiev was relatively big city, yes, but belonging to Russian Empire.

Show attachment 211206

Again, Ukraine is a country with 1,000 years of history while Russia (what it is now, from Moscow and St Peter to Vladivostok) didn't exist.

 

[Sutruk]

These are no longer though:

Show attachment 211208

There are also nazi groups in Russia. Although your dictator won't show them in Sputnik TV or RT media.

 

[Sutruk]

2. As peaceful as in Donbass region?

Who firstly invaded the Donbass region (and Crimea) with "autodefense" (russian mercenaries) troops and started the massacre? Yes, your dictator, Putin.

 

[Cannuck]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499476052095090694

 

[Cannuck]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499376797649043456

 

[Sutruk]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499376797649043456

That's the freedom in Russia right now. The dictator arresting old women (a survivor of the Nazi siege of St. Petersburg), girls and childs, just because they protest against the war.
Russia is a dictatorship right now. Ukraine don't want to be ruled by a dictator anymore.
Putin hates democracies, and hates so much seeing Ukraine as a free country with freedom of expression and freedom of political choice. He wants to run Ukraine from distance placing a puppet in power. Like he does in Belarus.
He grew up in a dictatorship and wants Russia (and Ukraine) to be under a dictatorship till the end.

 

[Cannuck]

Proposal - Special Tribunal for the Punishment of the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine, with a limited focus on the crime of aggression, which is not covered by the three other courts - ICC investigation, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) and the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR).

https://gordonandsarahbrown.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/Combined-Statement-and-Declaration.pdf

The experts are now discussing the proposal with governments and asking them to support it by granting jurisdiction arising under national criminal codes and general International law to a dedicated criminal tribunal.

 

[DmitrySV]

In the case of Ukraine, we firstly have a fact where Ukraine was continuously pumped up with money and weapons for the last 8 years.

So, the option was finally raised about the supply of strike weapons to Ukraine, including nuclear ones.

Zelensky put it elegantly, that it was not entirely clear whether Ukraine was talking about acquiring its own nuclear weapons or getting them from the west, but this is the case when both options are equally bad(for Russia).

With the flight time of Democracy Missiles to Moscow in 5 minutes(!), conflict with NATO using Ukraine as a proxy becomes automatically preprogrammed, since it was impossible for Russia to "wait" any longer...

Let's say Russia actually releases Donbass back to Ukraine - then the threat of a war for Crimea automatically develops.

Ok, Russia go on and even releases Crimea back to Ukraine - next logical step for Ukraine is to finally join NATO and we are getting back to square one: missiles with nuclear warheads appear to be in a 5 minute flight from Moscow but now without Donbass and Crimea(ports) regions.

When Putin finally realized the above he tried to avoid a crisis: he turned to NATO for security guarantees asking for the withdrawal of NATO expansion to the 1997 borders, plus for an agreement not to place strike and nuclear weapons on borders.

But they were ridiculed and it became clear that the bet was on strangling Russia.

A person who constantly has someone else's gun to his temple will not be able to live a normal life.
So, between "dying relatively immediately" and "torment" russian authorities decided to chose the latter.

Ukraine per see is the minor part of real conflict between USA(NATO) and Russia. Yes, there are casualties there but for Russia, which has a history of loosing 5..10k soldiers per day for 4 years straight in WW-2, they are currently negligible.

 

[frank-germany]

In the case of Ukraine, we firstly have a fact where Ukraine was continuously pumped up with money and weapons for the last 8 years.

So, the option was finally raised about the supply of strike weapons to Ukraine, including nuclear ones.

Zelensky put it elegantly, that it was not entirely clear whether Ukraine was talking about acquiring its own nuclear weapons or getting them from the west, but this is the case when both options are equally bad(for Russia).

With the flight time of Democracy Missiles to Moscow in 5 minutes(!), conflict with NATO using Ukraine as a proxy becomes automatically preprogrammed, since it was impossible for Russia to "wait" any longer...

Let's say Russia actually releases Donbass back to Ukraine - then the threat of a war for Crimea automatically develops.

Ok, Russia go on and even releases Crimea back to Ukraine - next logical step for Ukraine is to finally join NATO and we are getting back to square one: missiles with nuclear warheads appear to be in a 5 minute flight from Moscow but now without Donbass and Crimea(ports) regions.

When Putin finally realized the above he tried to avoid a crisis: he turned to NATO for security guarantees asking for the withdrawal of NATO expansion to the 1997 borders, plus for an agreement not to place strike and nuclear weapons on borders.

But they were ridiculed and it became clear that the bet was on strangling Russia.

A person who constantly has someone else's gun to his temple will not be able to live a normal life.
So, between "dying relatively immediately" and "torment" russian authorities decided to chose the latter.

Ukraine per see is the minor part of real conflict between USA(NATO) and Russia. Yes, there are casualties there but for Russia, which has a history of loosing 5..10k soldiers per day for 4 years straight in WW-2, they are currently negligible.

the biggest BS since long

we are in peace with Russia for 77 years
no one has attacked Russia


Russia is the invader

I don't care for what reason
stop it immediately


Russia is the only country in the world ( -minus 4 )
who believes that nonsense

just because you look evil to me
I can't kill your children

 

[DmitrySV]

 

[Cannuck]

UNGA Draft Resolution: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21314169-unga-resolution

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499067097711886340

 

[Cannuck]

Putin’s War Is Xi’s Worst Nightmare​

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s messy Ukrainian war has morphed into a case study on how not to conduct an invasion. Even worse, Putin’s many battlefield setbacks have likely neutralized any optimism Chinese military planners may have harbored about easily retaking Taiwan by force.

The upshot is Putin’s unprovoked, all-out assault on Ukraine may have accomplished what until recently seemed all but impossible: derailing Beijing’s timetable to invade Taiwan.

Could the same tactical challenges befall China’s inexperienced military during an invasion of Taiwan? The simple answer: Of course, they could, which is why China is acutely monitoring the situation.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/04/xi-putin-war-ukraine-taiwan-russia-china-nightmare/

 

[dirk]

If you don't agree with someone's analysis of this situation then come up with a different analysis of your own that can shine a better light on the situation, but no one should be bullied into silence because that is only going to help those who want to keep Humanity in bondage win.

Bullying people into silence is exactly what Putin is doing and has been doing for the past decade, if not longer. Then he decided to destroy a sovereign country for no good reason.

That's my analysis, in short.

Tbh, we can analyse all we want. That won't prevent Russia from attacking schools, civilians, nuclear power plants.

Ukraine will be left in ruins.

 

[DmitrySV]

 

[Cannuck]

 

[frank-germany]

Bullying people into silence is exactly what Putin is doing and has been doing for the past decade, if not longer. Then he decided to destroy a sovereign country for no good reason.

That's my analysis, in short.

Tbh, we can analyse all we want. That won't prevent Russia from attacking schools, civilians, nuclear power plants.

Ukraine will be left in ruins.

oldtimer likes to talk stuff into death

but the problem is
people are dying

analysis.
when I call the names, I'd like to,
I would lose my account here

stupid

people are dying
analysis.