The rest of the sentence is obviously advice.
I advised the OP to pick a niche and be one of the key players, I didn't advise them to register .pro, I expressly said that I wasn't suggesting they did. There is a very big difference.
No, A loss is when you buy an item that reduces in value over time without receiving revenue to cover it, ie spending money on registration fees with no or low sales.
That's not the case with my .pros, they have gained in value. I know that objectively by how much I have to pay on SnapNames now for premium .pros versus how much I could pick them up for on SnapNames this time last year versus how much I had to pay when I started buying .pros in 2007. The trend is up. Go to the .pro thread and ask how much they would pay for Play.pro, Gadget.pro, Piano.pro, Expert.pro, Digital.pro, London.pro at, then we can compare it to how much I paid.
I think they are more like then lemons personally, esp reg fee names. When you say they are illiquid, all domains are liquid, what varies is the price. If the name doesn't sell the obvious reason for that is the price.
I disagree, liquidity is about being able to sell something for fair value not being able to sell it full stop. If what you are saying is true there would be no such thing as an illiquid market because virtually everything can be sold if you sell it cheap enough. Since people talk in terms of liquid and illiquid markets, there is some distinction going on independent of pricing. I held shares in several venture capital trusts, I had to sell them at a discount to net asset value because the market in the shares in illiquid, the net asset value of the underlying assets was fair value, the discount was the price I paid for the illiquid market.
Of course the people spending the money "don't know" that. If they did they wouldn't keep renewing. I'm just saying what I have seen, if people don't make money the first year they usually never do, they just keep hoping.
If I buy a share today for $1, next year turns out to be $1, and in 10 years time it is $100, I need to hold for 10 year to make the money.
$80,000 in, $2000 out, that is not a 1000%+ return. Don't kid yourself on this.
I'm not kidding myself about anything. I have sold 1 .pro for a 1,000%+ return, I hold alot of .pros that would be worth a similar multiple of my acquisition cost. If I my 350 .pros gradually dropped, they would sell on SnapNames for alot more than $78,000, I'm in the money not out of it. I choose not to sell my .pros at the first opportunity I get because I feel the value appreciation across my portfolio year on year justifies the reg fees. Have you ever heard of the concept of an unrealised profit?
As I suggested above rarely does that happen, unless the model works today it is very unlikely to work tomorrow. People get regged fee'd out waiting for "seismic shifts".
The model works today for .pro. I regged heavily at 6,500 .pros and $99 reg fees, there are now 40,000 .pros and reg fees are $19.99. That has increased the value of .pro. Join some of the .pros auctions on SnapNames and see for yourself what these dropping domains go for. For example, I'm currently bidding on Deal.pro along with 7 other bidders, Deal.pro was registered in September 06 at $99, the following year it would have cost another $99 to renew, then $20 in 08, then finally $20 in 09. That makes $240 in total, the current high bid is mine at $360, the next highest bid is $335. $335 minus $240 reg fees cumulatively is $95 profit. That $95 margin is likely to rise before the auction finishes, add on $99 because I regged from 2007 onwards so I had one less year of high reg fees and if the average quality of my 260 hand regged and drop caught .pros are on average the same as Deal.pro, I'm making 260 x the current $195 margin. If we assume Deal.pro sells for the current price, remove my bid, and assume my 260 hand regged or low priced Snapnames drop caught .pro domains are on average the same quality as Deal.pro which isn't unreasonable, I'm still up about $50,000 in unrealised profit. Theoretically, my unrealised profits go up $26,000 for each $100 extra somebody else bids for Deal.pro if we use that domain to extrapolate from. Then there are profits I'm making on .pros I bought cheap on the aftermarket in 2007 and 2008 which are now worth more because of the September 08 .pro rule and reg fees changes. My assumptions can take a battering before I end up making a paper loss and I haven't included the possibility for selling a .pro to an end user who will pay far more than the price it would realise at SnapNames like I did with Switch.pro.
Why does every discussion that akcampbell enters become a .PRO promotional thread? Oh well, I guess he picked a good one this time as .PRO domains certainly are hard to sell.
Because whenever I draw on my experience of .pro to discuss a general point about domaining the same 3-4 people on NP, including youself, who hate alternative extensions, try to put me in my place. Very kindly, they are willing to invest hours of their valuable time sparring with me. As I pointed out on another thread last week according to DNJournal you had a 1 in 13,000 chance of selling a .pro, statistically those are better odds than you would have of selling one of the 110m .coms, .nets, .orgs, .biz and .infos registered. Considering that at this juncture only 10% of people can register a .pro and only 10% of registrars sell them, that's pretty good.