Energy management has to be realistic. We do not base our energy expenditures on the desires of countries that, at best, are working against our interest in self-preservation. We base our energy management on the principles of need. We need energy, and we need a relatively clean environment. We do not need policies that turn our country into a second or third world nation.
I agree that fantasy is not an option
But what's with this whole world working against the US all of a sudden? Why the sudden fear that there is this universal plot by everyone to harm the US through some made up energy policy that doesn't even exist yet? The likelihood of a single true global policy is non-existent; however, leaders lead and I though the US was a leader. I thought this country was about innovation but clearly it's just about self-preservation.
Let's keep burning coal because it's cheap and we can worry about whether it has an impact later... it's financially cheaper.
Let's keep pumping water from the aquifers we can always refill them with sewage or something....
I'm talking about making policy decisions using models as an input. You're talking about policies that are going to suddenly make America align with Russia/China or become a barren wasteland or something. Why can't policy be considered in a global manner?
What happens if China decides that they've had enough of drought and to make it rain more where they are they are going to explode a massive missile with particles into the atmosphere as part of their "climate management" program? I guess we chalk it up to it's them taking care of the business of self preservation.
Oh, absolutely we should just worry about us.
So that big ROI in messing with the Middle East is all about us?
The real question to me is who is us? I assume it's us now and in the present.. I've been clear that I don't care what happens 50 years from now, but is the us in question the children of now, the children of tomorrow. I believe in climate change, I believe it is real. I don't happen to believe that any of the models are accurate; however, models are teachers. When they are wrong they teach. There is a huge flaw in the current establishment of science that success yields rewards (in this, I do actually agree with Raider) and it yields a lesser understanding.
By ignore models. By not understanding why they are wrong you are shortchanging exactly what they are and the purpose they serve.
There is NO policy that currently exists that is going to work to fix what I think are hundreds or thousands of micro breaks in climate. It's not about one thing - the models can't manage all the feedback loops but if those models help us understand a little? Maybe they can help us understand a lot. Maybe they can make sense of whether we should invest in New Jersey shore, or Miami. Maybe trying to save Venice is a lost cost. Maybe the drought in California is just piss poor luck and like it was 100 years ago...
What's wrong with learning? What's wrong with trying to make sensible policy based on that learning? What's wrong with thinking there is a potential crisis? (without fear mongering).
Why is everything policy first? We are blaming science for shaping policy but we're also blaming policy for shaping science.. we can't all have cake and eat it too.
I've probably contradicted myself in here somewhere because I'm both someone who supports the rationale behind many environmental disasters being predicted (increased acidity of oceans impacting coral impacting fish impacting overall ocean health) as well as the natural ability of things to heal and adapt.... I believe that policy can help but I'm wary of any policy putting future above profits....but I firmly believe that the greed of now creates a shortened future for mankind. I believe it is possible for man to make themselves extinct. To not believe so would be naive. I also believe that mankind is the ultimate self-serving creature ever created/designed/evolved.. it's why people can say things like "Its about us" and not think anything of that statement

{that's not a dig, it's just a statement}