opinion What Will 2022 Hold? Input for future blog post sought.

[Bob Hawkes]

I hope that many NamePros members will help me out. I am putting together, for publication at the start of 2022, a NamePros Blog article summarizing views on what the year ahead might look like in domain name investing.

What trends do you see?

• Is there a new niche that you think will become hot?
• What sectors will be highly sought?
• Are domain name prices on way up or down?
• Do you see the top, middle or bottom of market, price wise, as offering best opportunities?
• Will ETH, meta and NFT stay strong?
• Will the surge in .xyz continue?
• What about .io? .co?
• What about national country codes?
• Will there be more, or fewer, million dollar sales?
• What changes do you predict in the marketplaces we use?
• Will decentralized domain names grow in acceptance?
• What trends do you see happening in branding?
• Overall, do you think 2022 will be better or worse than 2021?
• What is your biggest concern about the future of domain investing?
• What one thing do you hope will happen? Perhaps a new service you think the industry needs.

I am not looking for you to comment on all of those topics! Just select one, or two, and give your opinion, or comment on something not on the list.

While space will not permit me to include everyone's comments, my intention is to quote, with attribution to you, a number in the NamePros article.

Please don't be hesitant to share. Having many viewpoints, from all parts of the world, and from different experience levels, will help produce a balanced article.

Thank you in advance.

Bob

PS Please vote in the associated poll as well!

 

[Bob Hawkes]

I will be starting to write the article on Jan 2, with aim to publish probably Jan 11 or 12, so if you have not yet shared your thoughts, please consider doing so by around the end of coming weekend. I will check for last minute additions just before I publish, though.

Also, thanks to everyone who voted in poll, and please vote if you have not already. I continue to be surprised by level of optimism, given that 2021 was already a strong year.

Bob

 

[redemo]

Domain Name Events and Meetups in 2022?

 

[Bob Hawkes]

Domain Name Events and Meetups in 2022?

Probably state of Covid will determine whether we see in-person, online or hybrid events in 2022. I may have missed them, but have NamesCon event(s) for coming year been announced? ICA has a 15th anniversary event in Las Vegas - not sure if they plan to hold others.

Of course every day on NamePros is like an online conference!

Re meetups, if you are having a local domain name meetup it can be announced on NamePros here. I see various late 2021 announcements from around the world, but none yet for 2022 as far as I notice.

Bob

 

[Jim H]

Metas, NFTs, Daos and even ENS are rising rapidly in 2021,many can clearly feel that .I think in 2022 .app will continue to rise slowly but powerfully. This year the large transaction of .APP has not been disclosed,according to the confidentiality agreement or other reasons. Transaction amount will increase significantly next year. Personal view.

 

[redemo]

Metas, NFTs, Daos and even ENS are rising rapidly in 2021,many can clearly feel that .I think in 2022 .app will continue to rise slowly but powerfully. This year the large transaction of .APP has not been disclosed,according to the confidentiality agreement or other reasons. Transaction amount will increase significantly next year. Personal view.

Dot app is an extension I would like to invest in next year.

 

[BrandableDomain]

This chart from the US Census Bureau displays the last nine years of business formations.

NAICS means North American Industry Classification System.

The data in Europe and other advanced economies is likely to be comparable since the pandemic is a global phenomenon.

Prior to when the impact of the pandemic hit, US monthly business formations grew slightly each year and had reached around 300,000 per month.

Then, in March 2020 it dipped to 257,673 and April was even worse at 234,838.

Business formations must surely be correlated to domain name sales. I can remember making almost no sales around those months.

May was back to normal, June went way up and July peaked at 552,748. Formations then fell for about six months but now seem to have stabilised at around the 430,000 mark.

So business formations seem to have now settled at a consistent rate about 43 percent higher than pre-pandemic.

Since the pandemic is ongoing, it's likely business start-ups will continue at this new elevated rate, which means the accelerated demand for domain names should continue. The new normal.

The chart numbers may remain high in 2022 or they might go into decline, it's hard to say.

I sold 102 domains in 2021 compared to 73 in 2020. My results seem to correlate with this interpretation of this US Census chart.

I think 2022 sales will be a little better than 2021 due to normal growth, market forces and supply and demand, but don't have any reason to believe there will be a big jump in growth as happened 18 months ago.

Since the end game of the pandemic is uncertain, it's difficult to make predictions for 2022.

SOURCE:

https://www.census.gov/econ/current...Adjusted=1&submit=GET+DATA&releaseScheduleId=

(Then click on the Bar Chart option.)

 

[imwangi]

Show attachment 207161

Show attachment 207162

This chart from the US Census Bureau displays the last nine years of business formations.

NAICS means North American Industry Classification System.

The data in Europe and other advanced economies is likely to be comparable since the pandemic is a global phenomenon.

Prior to when the impact of the pandemic hit, US monthly business formations grew slightly each year and had reached around 300,000 per month.

Then, in March 2020 it dipped to 257,673 and April was even worse at 234,838.

Business formations must surely be correlated to domain name sales. I can remember making almost no sales around those months.

May was back to normal, June went way up and July peaked at 552,748. Formations then fell for about six months but now seem to have stabilised at around the 430,000 mark.

So business formations seem to have now settled at a consistent rate about 43 percent higher than pre-pandemic.

Since the pandemic is ongoing, it's likely business start-ups will continue at this new elevated rate, which means the accelerated demand for domain names should continue. The new normal.

The chart numbers may remain high in 2022 or they might go into decline, it's hard to say.

I sold 102 domains in 2021 compared to 73 in 2020. My results seem to correlate with this interpretation of this US Census chart.

I think 2022 sales will be a little better than 2021 due to normal growth, market forces and supply and demand, but don't have any reason to believe there will be a big jump in growth as happened 18 months ago.

Since the end game of the pandemic is uncertain, it's difficult to make predictions for 2022.

SOURCE:

https://www.census.gov/econ/current...Adjusted=1&submit=GET+DATA&releaseScheduleId=

(Then click on the Bar Chart option.)

Great analysis. I agree with your tempered optimism. You say you sold 102 domains in 2021. That's out of a portfolio of how many domains, if I may ask?

 

[Altetra]

I think the 2021 year was the foundation of what is yet to come, take it as planting a seed and see it grow.
That is what 2021 year was for me and many of us, now i will look up to growing and reaping the rewards.

 

[Wesley S]

things to watch for global warming, tech startups, crypto, 4L and 3L dot com domains, about the same as 2021 so thats the way i voted. ty.

 

[Kai W.]

• Will ETH, meta and NFT stay strong?
• Will the surge in .xyz continue?

Absolutely yes.
Predictably, META is the best way for technology to change the way of life. And NFT is more like a way for the Internet to link literary creations, which until then had negligible rights protection on the Internet, more as a result of the push for intellectual property protection. NFT is an explosion in a short period of time, and in the future there may be a replacement for it with broader keywords or technologies, after all, the Internet's intellectual property protection is more focused on the intangible.

Two years ago XYZ was worthless. But now that it's hotter because of crypto, it will continue to add heat. I'm not really sure why this is the case, but I believe CentralNic operational strategy will continue to work.

• Will decentralized domain names grow in acceptance?
• Overall, do you think 2022 will be better or worse than 2021?
• What is your biggest concern about the future of domain investing?

I don't agree. The value of the domain generation is to replace machine IP addresses, and securing it for proper operation requires considerable technical expertise. Distributed domains do not go unmonitored by data. My point is to emphasize the use value of domains, not the division of property rights.

Better. For the industry, not the individual.

The popularity of virtual reality. The full popularity of META applications requires smart hardware, which will replace Internet access. Unless the IP address of every device can be bound to a domain name in the future, this will completely wipe out the domain name industry.

The above views are personal and have not been proven

 

[Bob Hawkes]

Any last minute contributions to this thread?

Particularly interested in what TLDs and sectors you plan to emphasize in 2022 and why.

Thanks to all who have contributed and voted.

Bob

 

[Tewksbury]

• Is there a new niche that you think will become hot?

With Internet fragmentation accelerating, premium, exact-match Internationalized Domain Names offer great investment opportunities.

Happy New Year!

 

[Altetra]

Hello Mr.Bob
I hope in 2022 i will be more lucky to drop/catch domains from sheeple.

 

[mazharul41]

Many good domainers are rising in this platform in 2022. ....

 

[trelgor]

2022 is 1/12 down. No flattening of this curve.

 

[Shojib]

Yes, definitely

 

[biggie]

Hi

year after year, since i've been domaining... it has grown,
and that to me, is a measure of strength, relating to it's longetivity.
the volume of transactions and the overall expenditures,
the expansion of domain related services, the reports, the blogs, the conventions, the personas` and personalities alike.

and within all of that, are the trends that come and go and the domain names that get bought, sold, dropped, and then get caught or re-regged again.

the "new money" that flows in yearly, from across the globe, all want in on a piece of this action.
from the $10 hopefuls to the whales who scoop-up portfolios'.

and as with nature, only the strong will survive.


imo...
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