advice How do you see domain industry 10 years from now ?

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The views expressed on this page by users and staff are their own, not those of NamePros.
AfternicAfternic
I think it'll be mostly the same. Apps won't be replacing domains anytime soon, if at all. Go try making one and you'll see the barrier to entry and if Apple doesn't like your app it doesn't go in the store. Sure you have Android but that's not the whole market and you're missing out on the other users. This is not the same as domains and websites with content. Nice try though to the wannabe trolls in this thread :ROFL:

With a domain and website you can have one online in 10 minutes with almost no barrier to stop you.
 
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Apps replace domains. Just read carefully next time before jumping to conclusions. There will be a central database to store in cloud where the app get's the info just no need for domains.

as it is now, web apps (web sites that act and feel like an app on your phone) are making a huge impact and are cutting into the standalone app market...

domain names are not just to find a site or a service, they are to name and brand companies.
 
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@urlurl Apps are not just to find a site or a service, they are to name and brand companies, and are easily going to replace domains.
 
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people thought app's would replace domains and websites 10 years ago... didnt happen, and it doesn't look like its going to.

apps are handy for little tools and games - IMO

but if i want to do some research, work, book a trip, etc - im using a computer - easier than scrolling through a micro screen and using my big thumbs to type on my micro keyboard on my phone, lol
 
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i). Apps alone can never replace websites. With Google focussing more and more on good mobile experience of a website, the future of apps look to be dark.

ii). For Apps, you need large amount of space in your phone. Even if you have installed 50-60 apps, it may be hectic to find one from the list.

iii). Even if websites would be there for long, I don't see Domainring to be there. Stricter laws may consider this as 'hoarding'. You may need a trade license, company registration to sell domains.

iv). If anybody does'nt uses a domain name for continuously 6 months, it would get deleted. Similar laws may follow.

Just my fears..!!
 
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i). Apps alone can never replace websites. With Google focussing more and more on good mobile experience of a website, the future of apps look to be dark.

ii). For Apps, you need large amount of space in your phone. Even if you have installed 50-60 apps, it may be hectic to find one from the list.

iii). Even if websites would be there for long, I don't see Domainring to be there. Stricter laws may consider this as 'hoarding'. You may need a trade license, company registration to sell domains.

iv). If anybody does'nt uses a domain name for continuously 6 months, it would get deleted. Similar laws may follow.

Just my fears..!!

i dont think realistically #4 would happen - if that was the case you would have an explosion of millions of new BS sites with little to no value to protect the use of owning the domain name

google did a way with crap parking sites, and im sure they don't want carbon copy clutter parking sites junking up the already crowded internet.

of all the threatening factors - i don't see this happeneing
 
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Apps will replace it is solid fact, the internet is dying. Thanks.

I think it'll be mostly the same. Apps won't be replacing domains anytime soon, if at all. Go try making one and you'll see the barrier to entry and if Apple doesn't like your app it doesn't go in the store. Sure you have Android but that's not the whole market and you're missing out on the other users. This is not the same as domains and websites with content. Nice try though to the wannabe trolls in this thread :ROFL:

With a domain and website you can have one online in 10 minutes with almost no barrier to stop you.

This.

@Daniel Owens as a user why should I download an app to see the site rather than just seeing the site (or web app)? As a developer why should I make apps for iOS, Android, Windows, etc rather than just one web site/app? Web apps have come a long way and can provide much of the functionality of native apps without the headaches.

There are already numerous apps out there that don't have websites. No, one needs a website to provide content an app does the job perfectly.

You could flip this the other way too. There are still wayyy more websites than apps and in the vast majority of use cases they are perfectly adequate and save business owners from developing/maintaining multiple apps. With all that said, I still want some GOOGL and FB stock as a hedge :xf.smile:
 
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but if i want to do some research, work, book a trip, etc - im using a computer - easier than scrolling through a micro screen and using my big thumbs to type on my micro keyboard on my phone, lol

Had to laugh at that. It could be me :)
 
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<Sarcasm>
I think I speak for everyone when I predict that .app will have completely replaced .com as the king of domains.
</Sarcasm>
 
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Not sure about 10 years, but domains have had a good 25 years, can't see them having another 25 years.

Last 10 years the smartphone has changed how people view the net with apps and with Virtual and Augmented Reality around the corner, along with IoT ie. just about every device connected to the net in some shape or form, how we interact with the internet will change and domains will go the same way as cassette tapes/VHS's when cd's came out.
The whole idea behind IoT is to have basically everything interconnected via the Internet, hence creating a digital mesh. Each of these things ranging from your smart fridge to your thermostat all need an address to exist on the internet. Usually, this is usually a string of numbers like 123.456.789.0 but how many people can remember that. This is why domain names were invented: To create simplicity for the internet's addressing system.

So, I don't think domain names will become obsolete; not as long as the internet still exists. Maybe, technology may change how we use the internet. But it won't change the fact that you still need to find your way around.
 
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Saying that apps are going to kill domain names or the Internet is ridiculous.
20 years ago, it was search engines that would make domain names obsolete.

The smart phone or the Internet have not killed phone numbers, that have been around for decades. Domain names are a bit like phone numbers infrastructure-wise, but they are brands too.
 
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I think it'll be mostly the same. Apps won't be replacing domains anytime soon, if at all. Go try making one and you'll see the barrier to entry and if Apple doesn't like your app it doesn't go in the store. Sure you have Android but that's not the whole market and you're missing out on the other users. This is not the same as domains and websites with content. Nice try though to the wannabe trolls in this thread :ROFL:

With a domain and website you can have one online in 10 minutes with almost no barrier to stop you.
I agree with you. People talk about apps but what are apps without the internet. Save for a few utility apps, most apps still require the internet to function. From news app to game apps, the content is still on the internet. As for cloud storage, isn't that still over the internet?
 
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In 10 yrs there will be much more traffic and users from Asia and Africa. .com continues to be the gold standard, I am talking about premium domains or quality domains here. Companies will have to target by Countries and Regions rather than one website for all, which will be increasing importance for Country Code domains. cctlds combined could be 3 to 4 times the size of .com domains. - .de, .co.uk, .in/.co.in , .cn will be the biggies

Top 20 markets in the world rankings will change in 10 yrs - US, China , India will be the Top 3
With .com premium prices climbing, the next best options cctlds will also rise in prices
Developing countries go from mobile phones to PC's with more affordable Always ON High Speed Broadband availability at homes
 
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Saying that apps are going to kill domain names or the Internet is ridiculous.
20 years ago, it was search engines that would make domain names obsolete.

The smart phone or the Internet have not killed phone numbers, that have been around for decades. Domain names are a bit like phone numbers infrastructure-wise, but they are brands too.

I see the trends appear to be going the other way, if eMarketer is to be believed:

eMarketer published this in October 2017 showing that apps make up 88%+ of mobile internet usage in many countries and if that's true that can't be ignored:
http://www.emarketer.com/Chart/Aver...ct-Countries-May-2017-minutes-of-total/212617

This shows how in-browser use on mobile devices has remained flat and in app internet consumption is 84.9% (leaving 15.1% for mobile in-browser use):
https://www.emarketer.com/Article/eMarketer-Unveils-New-Estimates-Mobile-App-Usage/1015611

This one, also from eMarketer talks about the percentage of ads displayed in Asia-Pacific region. It shows that 77% of mobile ads were displayed in-app rather than on the mobile web. Ads = $$$ = Content.
https://www.emarketer.com/Article/Native-App-May-Killing-Mobile-Web-Asia-Pacific/1016344
This one shows that mobile access is the most prevalent way of accessing the internet in the UK
upload_2018-7-17_12-19-16.png
:
https://www.emarketer.com/Article/Smartphone-Use-Headed-New-Milestone-UK/1016444

Whilst domains don't appear to be redundant, if mobile web, apps and "app stores" become more prevalent, the exposure of the average Joe to domains could become less and less, leaving domains as more of just an infrastructure concern.

Would like to see other articles to the contrary though... :wacky:
 
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Domaining will continue to decline. Most domains are sold between domainers not endusers. Once the number of domainers reach the over saturation point, the market will become stagnant with a bunch of people holding domains they can't sell.
 
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Evidence of change is already happening, rise of the smartphones in the last 10 years (apps)/rise of social media, some companies opting not to have their own website for business but social networking pages instead (Facebook/Instagram/YouTube/Twitter/LinkedIn).

That's not change, that's companies showing how novice they are to social media and the internet as a whole.

Giving YouTube, Instagram (FB), and Facebook full control of your audience is stupidity. You need to drive those consumers to a controlled web experience just like they experience on these other sites.

Go look up some horror stories of individuals with 1MM+ subscribers having their presence wiped from a platform because the site didn't agree with their content. Or even worse; keep your channel but get demonetized from the platform rendering you financially neutered.

Domains aren't going anywhere, and I'm saying this as a developer not a domainer.

Everyone needs some kind of anchor/consistency online to find content, and using another platform like Google or Bing to rely on this direction might be popular but there still needs to be a way for consumers to control how to arrive to a destination.

With those aforementioned social media pages I'm starting to see content creators wake up and buy domains that their audience can go to for "merch". Keeping the profits in-house instead of going through a 3rd party.

Even with ads and commercials, nobody says, "Go to Google and type ...". People say, "Visit DeliDash.com ..." It's a controlled way for people to find destinations online.

10 years from now it might be rare for someone to own a domain portfolio, it's too cheap to own a domain right now (renewals). There will come a time where we will have to register these out for 10 years because the next year is going to be some kind of $20 - $50 renewal fee from ICANN.

This whole gTLD program was a cash grab, anyone that can't see that now should just stop domaining and invest in sand or a nice warm dirt pile they can stick their heads in.

ICANN likes cash, and they don't care what they have to do to get it.

So domains aren't going anywhere, but I agree that the domainer will get pushed out (or on) at some point financially.
 
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bout 12 years ago, "they" were speculating about whether iPhone and .mobi, would replace .com

and today, some of the "they", are talking bout app use on the iPhone, using dot app.... will replace .com

meanwhile many of "they" from 12 years ago, are no longer around.
and their "space" in this place, has been replaced, by new speculators and predictors of what is to come

I just hope to be around a decade from now, to look back at today, again.

:)

imo...
 
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Rather or not the domain investing business is still viable in 10-25 years could easily be up for debate.

But if you understand how the internet works, domains will always be needed to direct internet traffic.

IP addresses change over time for different reasons, then add in redundancy and load balancing, etc - and you MUST have a naming convention to resolve to an IP address.

FYI: A large amount of apps are just pulling web content into their container. They are really nothing more than that - a container that is serving you the content from a web page.

Then you have email and many other reasons domains won't go away.

Will it make sense to stockpile them and try to sell them in the distant future? Not sure. gTLDs could be the death of that if they are every truly adopted. It will then only be the registries making money.

Edited for grammar
 
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My prediction is that in 10 to 20 years they will "drop the dot". I believe you will still have a search bar but you will have domains much like "google" with no .com, .net, .org. it will just be "google" and it takes you right there. Other domains will still exist but it will be necessary for you to include the dot. Google.org will still take you to their charitable site but it's main site will be dotless.
 
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