? Why are end user sales random, unpredictable and just cool stories? 1-3% sales annually out of good quality portfolios to end users are not unheard of. Reseller sales make very tiny % of total sales for many in the industry.
I'm not saying the occurrence of an end user sale is random and unpredictable, I'm saying the price paid is. There are so many variables at play including how desperate the buyer is, how big their budget is, how strong the seller is, what alternatives are available and the prices of them, etc.
With all those variables, which you'll notice have nothing to do with the domain itself, the price paid is almost meaningless other than to cite it as a high comp. If you take an unreported end user sale and ask 10 experienced domain investors what they think it sold for, without saying who the buyer or seller was, you're going to get some wildly different answers. If you ask them what it sold for on NJ, you're going to get a much, much, might tighter grouping.
I've said this before, but a domain in the hands of someone like Frank Schilling is much more valuable than the exact same domain in my hands, because he has the balls and the means to ask for really high prices. Take his sale of Media.net for $500k a few years ago as an example.
What does this sale tell you, and how does this "data" help you as a domain investor? If I sold the domain I probably would have caved at $75k. Maybe you would have caved at $150k. So what does that $500k number really mean to your business? Are you going to start asking half a million bucks for all your strong dictionary.net domains? Are you going to start paying $100k for good dictionary.net domains expecting to make hundreds of thousands more in profit? I really hope not.
So what is it good for, if that sale would have been much different if anyone else owned it, and the price paid was the intersection of a bunch of different unpredictable variables? Not much, other than a cool story, and something to cite to a buyer who is inquiring on your dictionary.net domain (which probably won't make them cough up half a million or anywhere close to it). It isn't actionable data; it's like recording the winning numbers of a lottery ticket, it tells you very little.
End user sales are so "all over the place" that you can't glean much from them. I can show you a hundred other end user dictionary.net sales that were 1/10th of that price or less and everywhere in between.
Again, they're helpful to have as comps when negotiating, and we have enough of them that you can find a comp to justify practically any price point for practically any domain. But I wouldn't make any decisions based off of these random end user sales. The wholesale sales are the more predictable, reliable data. Then you say: well, if a re-seller would pay $2,500 based on the comps, I probably shouldn't sell it for less than $25k to an end user (or some other multiple where the margin works for you).