To 3D Domain Investors: Some Cautionary Words

[emjohn]

Just thought I'd pass on this SunTimes news article I came across today about 3D and it's future. 3D domain investors might find it interesting. I personally don't own any, but I know lots of people who do.
Go To News Link

 

[gilescoley]

Thanks emjohn, some interesting things in there

I guess this article will need to convince the millions of people watching 3D movies every year, if it didn't work, I dont think you would get those stats imo

It will also need to convince Sony, Panasonic, Samsung, LG, Toshiba, Viewsonic, Acer, Apple, HP, Sharp, Nintendo, Asus and Nvidia thats is not worth investing in.

I have seen a few articles from "experts" in the field, but the fact is, its here and its here for a little while yet...

 

[DNNinja]

Thanks for the article emjohn. In due respect to Mr.Murch I think he is stuck in the 80's because 3D has already proven itself to be a vital part of entertainment after, like gilescoley said, big companies has spent hundreds of millions of dollars on this 3D concept.

 

[orcus]

Thank you for sharing the article emjohn.

Its an interesting article with even more interesting user comments. Perhaps the biggest tech debates of our time is related to 3D - with many people betting on the success of 3D and still many more predicting its doom.

It is indeed very difficult to predict the future and the fate of 3D as a technology, However it is also true that as of today, ( as pointed out by Gilescoley ) almost every big tech company is heavlily invested in the 3D technology - be it Tvs, Cameras, DVD players or projectors to name a few.

IMO, from a domaining point of view, because of this huge push and extensive marketing by the biggies, there could be a decent demand for 3D related domain names in the near future. And from then on the demand would depend upon the ultimate fate of the technology.

Considering this, I guess its not a bad idea to get hold of decent 3D domains at this point in time. The odds seem to be good.

However, I also beleive that random regging of rubbish domains starting with 3D and no meaning whatsoever would be a complete waste of capital and should definitely be avoided.

 

[exsedo]

Hi Emjohn,
thanks for posting the link. It crashed when I tried to open it, although I think I have already seen the article.
I spent 3 minutes searching 3D news on g00gle and found a couple of articles with the completely opposite opinion.

Everyone wants a controversial opinion, it gets recognition for poor, lonely soles.

Some say that the smart money is going into 3D and augmented reality technology right now, we will see how smart it is in a short while I guess.

 

[R.C.S]

Here comes the answer.

PricewaterhouseCoopers has just released a review of a BTIG Research report that states 50 to 70 of ALL box office revenue is derived from stereoscopic 3D movies. marketsaw.blogspot.com/2011/01/50-70-of-box-office-revenue-is-s3d-new.html

marketsaw.blogspot.com/2011/01/roger-ebert-still-insists-3d-is.html - Roger Ebert Still Insists 3D Is Inferior *AND* Why I think His Opinion, Again, Is Flawed


Consumer Demand Strong for 3D Movies
The International 3D Society announced today a survey they commissioned concluded virtually 6 of 10 adults (59%) have yet to see a contemporary 3D movie (past three years) -- an untapped and huge opportunity for consumer discovery.

“Clearly consumers have a robust appetite for 3D Content”
Of those who have seen a 3D movie, three-fourths (74%) feel that today's 3D movies are better than 2D movies, among whom 30% say 3D movies are "incredible."
The study showed that 3D movie viewing is directly correlated by age: 18-34's have the highest propensity to have seen a 3D movie, followed sequentially by each succeeding age group. The survey of 1008 adults was conducted by Opinion Research Corporation for the International 3D Society, October 7 – 10, 2010.

"Consumers are excited by the 3D movie experience," said Jim Chabin, President of the International 3D Society. "And with 6 in 10 Americans still having yet to see a 3D movie, the growth opportunities are significant," he added.


businesswire.com/news/home/20101026007370/en/Consumer-Demand-Strong-3D-Movies

 

[iain123]

in-stat did a nice report also similar to pwc


in-stat.com/catalog/mmcatalogue.asp?id=645

 

[companyone]

Hi,

Where does all watchable content, from mega media companies to you and me end up?...

_________


Apple awarded patent for glasses-free 3D display system


________

BEST OF ALL ~ Must Watch: New 3-D Camera Shoots the Action Avatar-Style


_______
Peace!
Dan

 

[rkrone]

was that article written 20 years ago? why did they publish it in 2011?
they are talking about the time it takes to render 3d is longer than 2d and cpu speed and immersion, wow, guess 'technology' will never keep up!
let me know when he does an article on wireless

 

[DnEbook]

well if one person says it .............must be true

 

[Domagon]

As with the stock market, domain speculation is forward looking...

Currently, many people perceive 3D as the new, big thing with great growth potential and hence the large push to use "3D" in branding.

However, the tide can change quickly ... in my view, 3D domains, for the most part, are a short-term speculation play.

Ride the wave and cash out before it crashes. Not saying it necessarily will, but all the signs are there ... 3D, as has been the case since the 1950s, is a niche product - good for a few movies per year, such as Avatar.

Now some may be thinking that ok, but surely technology will solve many of the old problems and 3D in 10 years will be fantastic ... that may be, but it's likely the technology that will supplant 3D will be holograms - and it will likely be marketed as something other than 3D (3D carries a lot of baggage; the current crop of lousy 2D to 3D movie conversions) - perhaps it will be called "Holo"-something or other something else that one can't even predict yet.

In short, 3D seems like a fad ... and history has illustrated that over and over since the 1950s. 3D today isn't all that different; polarizing glasses aren't new either - Disney and other venues have been using them for decades.

Rambling on ... if one really wants to make a mint, one should be looking for the next big thing; stay ahead of the curve ... 3D domain speculation is already overdone.

Ron

 

[gilescoley]

Some predicted stats

Value of Worldwide 3D TV Market Seen at $100bn in 2014

24 January 2011 - The growing worldwide 3D television market is expected to reach a value of $100 billion by the end of 2014, with the US remaining one of the biggest consumer markets, according to a new industry report.

The report, entitled "3D TV Market and Future Forecast Worldwide (2010 - 2014)", highlights that global 3D TV unit sales are expected to grow with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 79.12 percent for the period 2010 to 2014.

The US is likely to remain a key 3D TV market. The US and South Korea's combined market share accounted for 66 percent of total 3D TV unit sales in 2010 worldwide, the report states.

The US 3D TV market is forecasted to cross the $25 billion mark by 2015, and South Korea's market is predicted to near KRW2,500 billion by 2014. In Western Europe, 3D TV sales are expected to grow with a CAGR of 184.9 percent between 2010 to 2014.

The report notes that the key drivers of worldwide 3D TV are seen as being multiple initatives taken by various governments, 3D content broadcasters and 3D TV manufacturers.

In 2010, the FIFA World Cup, one of the world's largest and most-widely watched sporting events, was broadcast in 3D, which helped boost sales of 3D-equipped televisions.

The report, which is divided into six comprehensive parts, also finds that television makers are viewing 3D developments as the next big thing for the 3D TV industry, and expect it to boost sales and interest as much as colour TVs did to black and white entertainment decades ago.

 

[codyjames]

thanks for the article, imho 3d needs alot of work :D

 

[tritrain]

It's all what the public perceives as valuable. I think it's worth speculating, especially as part of the 'virtual experience'.

 

[gilescoley]

thanks for the article, imho 3d needs alot of work

I agree, but all the "big" boys are working on it. I see the 3D glasses will be gone soon so thats one hurdle gone that everyone is whining about