Thanks for reminding me why I got out of coin collecting.
npcomplete said:
The ref is the world's most respected grading for coins, and the pricing comes from actual market values:
Anybody serious about coin values relies on PCGS as a primary tool. It is more reflective of the market than the books since the books are updated yearly. PCGS is updated daily.
http://www.pcgs.com/prices/PriceGuideDetail.aspx?MS=1&PR=1&c=45&title=Lincoln+Cent
Even PCGS and NGC have major fluctuations in grading, so in the pricing I would say that is PCGS + CAC. The CAC review is a second check on PCGS. I always pay extra for the CAC cert as insurance. Some of the PCGS or NGC grades look like the grader just finished a bottle of Chateau Margaux... even though they are the best grading services out there. That is why CAC is catching on.
You mean "gold investor coins" not "gold collector coins".
The true value (I mean the value after any market bubbles have dissipated, typically caused by the presence of investors) of any collectible is what will be paid by a collector who intends to die owning it.
That's the only "consumer" in this market.
Of course, when the acquisition cost is high, the collector doesn't want to buy anything that's going to lose its liquidation value; but primarily the acquisition price is compared to the coin's "backstory" in making a collector's purchase decision.
By the way, there is NO science to grading high-grade coins; only the increasing pretension of it over the last thirty-five years.
As pilots now speak of "deplaning" rather than "getting off", "weathermen predicting rain" become "meteorologists forecasting precipitation", and car companies talk of "pre-owned" rather than "used"; we now enjoy MS-67.5
Beauty is in the eye of the beholder, and each collector has his/her own preferences for different tonings/flaw placement/areas of sharpness, etc. Naturally, professional graders can and do disagree.
Buy the coin, not the grade; and especially not the certificate.
Same holds true for domain names. The real value of a brand name is what will be paid by someone who does not intend to sell it ever, and does not care if it "goes up." We domainers like to think that "end user" prices are the highest priced sales; but that's not always so.
--- J.
P.S. --- I don't want to appear down on investors (or domaining). Coin investors provide liquidity in a market that would otherwise be like real estate. The jury's still our on whether we domainers can be seen in quite that way.
npcomplete said:
Yep, the PCGS site is the "gold standard" for pricing in the business. The daily fluctuations of non-precious metals (pennies) is not that big of a deal, but for gold collector coins the price change on a daily basis is dramatic, even though the coin price is several multiples of bullion price.
Compared to domain pricing, coin pricing is quite a science... with real standards!!!