It will go into Pending Delete status 72 days after expiry. It will be in Pending Delete status for 5 days. It will then drop. If it's at all a desirable name, then the drop-catchers will fight over the domain. If you want the domain you should backorder it a NameJet/SnapNames/Pool (all three). If you only want it if you pay regfee. check the whois every 6th day after the new creation date(s) until the tasters have finished their tasting.