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The future of .COM after new gTLDs boom! Big DROP?!

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New.Life

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The views expressed on this page by users and staff are their own, not those of NamePros.
One particular example is only a exception. .life registry can't survive with a couple of such examples.

.life is one of the most popular Donuts new gTLD with about 45,000 domains.

So do you prefer abc.life or abc.com for your ABC company?

To get the answer, just simply compare exact match "abc.com" and "abc.life" (!) :xf.wink:
"abc.com" may cost about $10,000,000 or more... or it may be priceless!
"abc.life" cost just about $36 (!!!)
So for my compamy I prefer to buy "abc.life" for sure! It's common sense!
I don't have $10M, or better say - I don't want to pay this money. :xf.smile:

But, it is just one of the reasons...


You may find hundreds of company as "abc" but only few or none as "abclife" .

How many companies "companynamecom" you can find?!

The problem with gtlds is they fit well to very few examples and this limits their usage and decreases popularity.

To be successful in new gTLD, you have to register them - smart! Buy them - smart! ... it's very easy!
 
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Why is sex .life better than sexlife .com? Because later option has a dot and three letters more?

Remember, it is not what you think or want, it is what end users are buying.
Part of what the new gTLD's are up against is the fact that for the average ENDUSER the ".com" after a .com domain has become virtually invisible. So "sexlife.com" is seen as "sexlife" - that's all you read because the TLD is so common and expected that you don't even see it (unless of course you're a domainer and it's the first thing you look at).

It is only when you change the .com to something else that people notice it, and start to wonder if it makes sense or not. This is true for all non-.com extensions, even .net and .org - though much less so for these as they have been around so long and are in relatively wide use. Still you notice these extensions in a way you don't notice .com anymore. But this issue is especially true for the new gTLD's and is a primary reason why it will be many many years before any of them gain a general usage and acceptability, and therefore value, that even begins to approximate .com.

That said, there will be many good sales in the new gTLD's for names that make good sense with the TLD. And all these sales - along with the pool of good names for sale that match their ngTLD - will add supply that offers an alternative and thereby dilutes demand for .com. But these good fits are a limited quantity. And the internet population that sees .com is more or less synonymous with domain names will be exponentially increasing.

For these reasons and for most uses I (looking at it as an enduser) would prefer sexlife.com to sex.life. But if the .com were several thousand dollars and the .life were several hundred, I might choose the .life.

But I wouldn't have searched for it (as an enduser). I wouldn't have even known it existed. So how would the average enduser with a business or product named "sex life" even find the .life alternative? How would you as the domainer with a name to sell know where to find the very limited number of specific buyers (maybe just one) who have a need for this name?
 
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But I wouldn't have searched for it (as an enduser). I wouldn't have even known it existed. So how would the average enduser with a business or product named "sex life" even find the .life alternative? How would you as the domainer with a name to sell know where to find the very limited number of specific buyers (maybe just one) who have a need for this name?

This is good question. The answer is, most of registrars and registries are very fond of new gTLDs. If you search for .com name in largest world registrars, they will automatically now propose you whole bunch of gTLDs. There are many reasons for that, important is of course financial side of it, but also they are competing and wish to provide largest array of choices for their clients.

Second answer to this might be media agencies. They are well oriented and know about gTLDs..when they have large client, they can offer him bigger amount of choice right now..maybe this year and next year still lot of big businesses will go with .com, as for reasons we all know here. But as more and more big companies are adopting gTLDs, it is only matter of time when good new gTLD combo will be if equal value to comparable good .com keyword, imo.

Now, as domainers, we need to be ahead of all this. It is too late to start investing when everybody will adopt it. If you wait for general approval (yes, now you can invest, it is safe!), you can not get ROI which you can get when you are an "early adopter". Early adopter does not mean here that one registers all bs which is out there..renewals are generally higher then .com, so one needs to be quite reasonable.

Personally, I would prefer sex.life to sexlife.com even this year, sex.life is very valuable from many different reasons. It is not only internet pages we are talking here, we have facebook, twitter, etc..every redundant string of characters will sooner or later simply become unnecessary in those new media.
 
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Fresh example: domain "sex.liVe" recently was sold for $160,000 and it has $2900 (!) renewal price.
And who cares about "sexlive.com"?!

"sex.live" also looks much better than "sexlive.com"

My "sex.life" - just $108 renewal fee! :xf.wink:
 
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Hundreds of millions of dollars have been spent on new tld registrations and renewals over the last few years. Before the new extensions were launched new domain investors and low-budget developers and small businesses sometimes would opt for .Com or .net domains priced low $xxx as there were few other alternatives. Now there are hundreds of new extensions so yes I have seen a lot of those low $xxx sales disappear. It has been more than a year since my last .net sale. Yet I would prefer .net over any new tld. But if end users are opting for reg fee priced domains over low $xxx priced .net domains what will it take for them to pay a premium for a new extension when there are hundreds of new choices available?
what will it take ?
1.xyz 182971 USD 2016-03-31 West.cn
Sex.LIVE 160000 USD 2016-07-13 Rightside
Porn.LIVE 120000 USD 2016-07-14 Rightside
co.ltd 115000 USD 2016-08-15 Donuts
99.vip 77622 USD 2016-06-06 2016 Global Domains Industry Summit
Web.hosting 75000 USD 2016-05-08 DomainPros
88.xyz 70000 USD 2016-01-11 NamesCon 2016/RightOfTheDot
66.xyz 65901 USD 2016-03-31 West.cn
d.vip 63152 USD 2016-05-31 west.cn
stock.photo / stock.photos 60000 USD 2016-01-11 NamesCon 2016
66.vip 59348 USD 2016-05-31 west.cn
web.hosting 52500 USD 2016-01-11 NamesCon 2016/RightOfTheDot
work.place 50001 USD 2016-10-08 Private
i.vip 48836 USD 2016-05-20 Ali Auction
51.xyz 46518 USD 2016-03-31 West.cn
58.vip 45660 USD 2016-06-06 2016 Global Domains Industry Summit
e.vip 45660 USD 2016-06-06 2016 Global Domains Industry Summit
Auto.loan 45000 USD 2016-11-27 Undeveloped
11.xyz 43107 USD 2016-03-31 West.cn
ym.xyz 39695 USD 2016-03-31
3d.software 100001 USD 2015-05-08 Rightside
dui.attorney 100001 USD 2015-06-01 Private
Undisclosed 100000 USD 2014-12-31 Sedo
Coffee.Club 100000 USD 2014-11-01 TRAFFIC MIAMI 2014
Vegas.Club 100000 USD 2015-01-13 Right Of The Dot
Autism.Rocks 100000 USD 2015-06-18 Sedo
net.work 100000 USD 2015-06-16 Mind + Machines
6.top 93600 USD 2015-12-09 Jiangsu Bangning
M.top 93600 USD 2015-12-09 Jiangsu Bangning
Transfer.Money 90000 USD 2015-06-17 Private
a.top 90000 USD 2014-12-31
 
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This is the prime example of wishful thinking :)
Agree.
There are very few able/willing to pay millions compared to millions willing to pay a decent premium for something new, exciting,relevant.
Anybody here still use an Osborne 1 computer? or how about a Mortolla brick phone, dial-up connection, DOS, floppy discs, pager?
 
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All TLDs will be hit by Chinese drops. @jmcc
Not all will be hit in the same way, Adam,
Some of them are very badly exposed and saw spikes around the larger Chinese spike in November/December 2015. Some of the Chinese hosters which were involved in the .com Chip spikes are now seeing losses. But a lot of this is only the August/September/October stuff.

Last night's .com zone count was 127,015, 669. It has been hovering around the 127 million mark for a few days now.

The AMBIONIC TLDs had the following 01 December 2016 results (compared to the 01 November 2016 figures)
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.COM -469,771
.NET -137,706
.ORG -155,265
.BIZ +76,647
.INFO -29,558
.MOBI -13987
.ASIA +55

The top one, .COM, is significant but went largely unnoticed. At the moment the Rest of World market is largely following traditional trends but this downturn in .COM monthly changes is the first for a long time. The CN/HK/JP market is the one that is in a bit of a relalignment but this instability will last for approximately seven months over a set of gTLDs. There are some other smaller bubbles that have followed the initial .COM/NET Chip bubble in some of the new gTLDs and the impact of those on smaller gTLDs could be a lot more pronounced.

Some of the new gTLDs have quite limited Chip exposure. I've an algorithm that's running at the moment to see which ones have severe Chip exposure and will post the results.

Regards...jmcc
 
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Yep, I noticed the drop too.
Any idea why and why...now?
It is not enough to just look at the numbers, Jean,
You have to know the how the numbers are generated and influenced. Some of the bubble gTLDs have unreliable zone counts due to zone stuffing and heavy discounting. The .COM isn't as badly affected by discounting as it has a very large base of full price registrations and renewals. Some of the new gTLDs have been driven by discounting and zone stuffing to such an extent that the discounted registrations may outnumber paid registrations. This leads to very low renewal rates (Something that is tracked here) and low projected renewal rates. With freebie and heavily discounted promotions, the renewal rates are bad (approximately 5% in some cases). There was a good presentation by the .NYC registry on how it tested some discounting models and the renewal rates of those discounted domains at the recent ICANN meeting in India. It should be on the ICANN site somewhere. There's a kind of sweet spot for discounted registrations where there is a reasonable renewal rate for all TLDs and it differs from TLD to TLD.

The other aspect about domain statistics that most people don't realise when they look at total registration counts is that they are looking at the totals for a set of markets (one small global market and a number of country level markets). This means that there are some complex registration and renewal patterns behind these totals. When a gTLD has an overwhelming number of registrations from a particular country, the gTLD will take on the characteristics of the main TLD market in that country. This is why .TOP and some of the Chinese market dominated new gTLDs have very different characteristics to some of the more Rest Of World or geographically distributed new gTLDs.

Regards...jmcc
 
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To get the answer, just simply compare exact match "abc.com" and "abc.life" (!) :xf.wink:
"abc.com" may cost about $10,000,000 or more... or it may be priceless!
"abc.life" cost just about $36 (!!!)
So for my compamy I prefer to buy "abc.life" for sure! It's common sense!
I don't have $10M, or better say - I don't want to pay this money.

Either you pay $10 million or you pay $36?

No company with a serious marketing budget would only pay $36 for a domain. They would acquire a good .com on the aftermarket for much less than 6 figures, instead of hand-registering crap.

You can get decent coms for less than 5 figures if you put in some work. That is what most startups do BTW.

Most startups buy a .com instead of handregging a nGTLD. Look at what end-users are buying.

Sometimes startups start with an URL hack or on an other extension (example instagr.am)

Once they grow they acquire the matching .com and move the website there. The same will happen with a startup on a nGTLD. The majority of successful startups that don't choose a .com will sooner or later upgrade to it.

168 said:
Agree.
There are very few able/willing to pay millions compared to millions willing to pay a decent premium for something new, exciting,relevant.

Real world examples:

Top 17 startups from 2016.

http://uk.businessinsider.com/top-17-startups-launched-in-2016-2016-6?r=US&IR=T

.COM

Website: https://starry.com
Website: https://www.juicero.com
Website: http://www.cheddar.com - Why didn't they go with cheddar.food?
Website: http://www.grailbio.com - Why not grail.bio?
Website: https://www.gojuno.com - Why not juno.online?
Website: http://www.simplehabitapp.com - Simplehabit.app?
Website: https://www.comparably.com
Website: http://flyzipline.com
Website: https://www.nanit.com
Website: https://www.truebill.com
Website: https://winnielabs.com
Website: http://ritual.com - Ritual.xyz?
Website: https://www.lolatravel.com - Lola.Travel?
Website: https://pearlauto.com - Pearl.Auto ?
Website: https://www.knuedge.com

ccTLD:

Website: http://ot.to
Website: https://recharge.co

nGTLD:

None.

Startups simply don't like nGTLDs and there is probably a good reason for it. It's not that they aren't aware of them. They avoid them intentionally.
 
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ABC.Schule ( german for School )

perfect for younglings

Schule is not for all kind of business but for kids a perfect match
 
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Aren't we making a load of assumptions here. Most reasonable companies own multiple domain names. For example B&Q the home improvements retailer is owned by Kingfisher international.

Kingfisher owns Kingfisher.com
B&Q owns bandq.com and bandq.co.uk
B&Q also owns diy.com ( their main site ) and diy.co.uk

I expect they own a load of other names as well.

I think this shows the preference for .com names, and the way that companies can use alternative names and tlds to drive traffic to their main site.
 
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Anybody here still use an Osborne 1 computer? or how about a Mortolla brick phone, dial-up connection, DOS, floppy discs, pager?
Deeply flawed comparison. New extensions are not new technology, they work exactly like 'old' extensions. The DNS is flexible and can support new services as the Internet evolves.
 
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Deeply flawed comparison. New extensions are not new technology, they work exactly like 'old' extensions. The DNS is flexible and can support new services as the Internet evolves.
I agree - here is a link to an Osborne computer on Ebay - $2,800 is a lot more than the original cost
http://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/The-Osbor...CC1-Serial-224581-with-software-/221669806651
Thatched roof cottages in England sell at premium prices, despite the fact that they may be several hundred years old.
 
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Deeply flawed comparison. New extensions are not new technology, they work exactly like 'old' extensions. The DNS is flexible and can support new services as the Internet evolves.

The whole .com is 'inferior' technology and outdated hype is just marketing nonsense.

A few other myths dispelled:

- Millennials prefer nGTLDs.

No they prefer .com like everyone else because all their websites are there.

- Millennials will bring change to the DNS.

No their startups choose .com like everyone else.

- The generation born today will learn to use nGTLDs

So far they learn that their favorite websites are under .com

- The generation born today will not want .com

Who cares? They will move the market when the are middle-aged. 45 years from now.

- Big brands will bring change and switch to .brand

Home.Brand is horrible and they avoided switching to far.

- nGTLDs are shorter

Usually it's the opposite(home.brand vs. brand.com vs. brand.keyword) but the the proponents like to show a few examples where this isn't the case. Also shorter doesn't mean more popular. .co will never be as popular as .com

- nGTLDs boost SEO equally well that is why they will be bought instead of .com

Few domains are being bought solely because of the exact match advantage. Google doesn't give much weight to exact match anymore. Today domains are being bought for branding.

- I have WORD1.WORD2 and Word1Word2.com is worth 6 figures therefore my WORD1.WORD2 is worth 6 figures because it is even better.

You could as well argue that word.co is worth as much as word.com. The market doesn't think that way and it doesn't work that way in the real world. There isn't the same demand for .co as there is demand for .com. Prices are the result of supply and demand.

With the nGTLDs there is a lot of supply but little demand. Not good if you want to get high prices.

- Google, Facebook, Microsoft invest in nGTLDs and will bringe change.

Google invest in a lot of things but so far little suggest that they are that they are too interested in changing the DNS. If they could they would probably eliminate domain names as they want to fully control every aspect of internet navigation.

- Company XY uses nGTLD. The nGTLDs are coming.

99 out of 100 cases the opposite is true but it doesn't get reported because it is so common.
When a company chooses a .biz or a .info or a .net strangely nothing is reported. Probably because it has always happened but never amounted to anything.

- Amazon or insert any other tech giant has registered many nGTLDs and planning something big

99% of the registrations that we see are protective. If they don't protect their IP it could be weakened making it harder to defend. They don't want to do this but they need to. Protective regs are zombies in the zone.

- The nGTLDs are new and innovative and the new will always replace the old.

Most innovative products never succeed in the marketplace. Just like most startups will fail.
It's more likely that a new product will fail rather than succeed. Historically the odds are stacked against this type of thing. It's just that we tend to forget about the failures(or never learn about them) and remember the few things that truly changed our world.

- nGTLDs are a huge money maker

I don't doubt that some speculators can make money with many different types of extensions.

On average I doubt that they are very profitable. The registries seem to struggle to make money so far it seems despite holding most of the premium keywords.

MMX, CentralNic and Rightside stocks all down I believe. If the registries are not doing so well will domainers do much better?

- The emerging markets will choose nGTLDs and make them great.

This is not true at all. They show the same behaviour patterns and gravitate vs. .com and their ccTLDs. nGTLDs are even worse options for emerging markets compared to the US. They are not English native speakers and local nGTLD options in their own language are usually not available or very limited.


 
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The only hope for new TLD and alternative TLD (.net, .CO, .TV etc) investors is a booming interest in buying aftermarket domains at premium prices to promote businesses. The argument of keyword.whatever is cheaper than the .COM so end users should be buying my .whatevers has generally not worked out well. Why is it that domainers are dropping .net, .info, .tv and other extensions? Inadequate demand. Many end users are unwilling to pay more than reg fee and often opt for social media accounts to promote their businesses. It is hard enough to sell .COM domains. Sales ratios in alternative extensions are generally lower than .COM despite the ease of obtaining better keywords.
 
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Well I'm having a bit of an experiment with xyz names.So far I've got 5 xyz names for the vintage meet, and I own VintageMeet.com and FieldFairs.com. Most of them are undeveloped, but I'll rectify that this month. I've just signed up for adsense, so if they let me join with a hotch-potch of small sites, then I'll see if I can make a bit of income from those names. I'm not sure how i can discover the impact I've had on promoting the meet. I'll probably do better by advertising the sites at the meet. :)
 
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168 said:
new, exciting,relevant

You are drinking the registry kool-aid here.
New: Yes but will get old soon.
exciting: Depends on how you view it. Most don't care.
Relevant: Registry marketing nonsense.

168 said:
what will it take ?

A reasonable amount of REAL end-user sales including development not Land of Oz sales with parked pages.

Look into these into detail. A large part of these were sales reports from China which are often made up as we have learned. Some others were dodgy as well for other reasons. Almost nothing got developed.

It is a case of speculator buying high hoping to sell higher. (aka Greater Fool Theory)

Most of these were also registry sales. .xxx sold over $5 million of domains even with the dodgy ones here, hundreds of extensions barely manage that. The hype is just pathetic. Most end-users simply refuse to pay high prices for these. If they pay a lot they pay for .com

For the most part they are not selling as well you believe.

1.xyz 182971 USD 2016-03-31 West.cn - Highly questionable (see related forum thread about mortgaging domains) - Registry sale - Does not resolve
Sex.LIVE 160000 USD 2016-07-13 Rightside - Questionable (see related forum thread) free affiliate website template with $5 logo - Registry sale
Porn.LIVE 120000 USD 2016-07-14 Rightside - Questionable (see related forum thread) free affiliate website template with $5 logo - Registry sale
co.ltd 115000 USD 2016-08-15 Donuts - Registry sale
99.vip 77622 USD 2016-06-06 2016 Global Domains Industry Summit - Probably a speculator sale, does not resolve
Web.hosting 75000 USD 2016-05-08 invalid - Placeholder site
88.xyz 70000 USD 2016-01-11 NamesCon 2016/RightOfTheDot - Probably a speculator sale
66.xyz 65901 USD 2016-03-31 West.cn Highly questionable (see related forum thread about mortgaging domains) - Registry sale - Does not resolve
d.vip 63152 USD 2016-05-31 west.cn - Does not resolve - Probably a speculator sale
stock.photo / stock.photos 60000 USD 2016-01-11 NamesCon 2016 - Probably a speculator sale
66.vip 59348 USD 2016-05-31 west.cn - Does not resolve - Probably a speculator sale
web.hosting 52500 USD 2016-01-11 NamesCon 2016/RightOfTheDot - Probably a speculator sale - Placeholder site
work.place 50001 USD 2016-10-08 Private - Does not resolve
i.vip 48836 USD 2016-05-20 Ali Auction - Does not resolve
51.xyz 46518 USD 2016-03-31 West.cn - Highly questionable (see related forum thread about mortgaging domains) - Registry sale - Does not resolve
58.vip 45660 USD 2016-06-06 2016 Global Domains Industry Summit - Probably a speculator sale, does not resolve
e.vip 45660 USD 2016-06-06 2016 Global Domains Industry Summit - Probably a speculator sale, does not resolve
Auto.loan 45000 USD 2016-11-27 Undeveloped - A rare bird. It is a nice name, developed and may not be a registry sale.
11.xyz 43107 USD 2016-03-31 West.cn - Highly questionable (see related forum thread about mortgaging domains) - Registry sale - Does not resolve
ym.xyz 39695 USD 2016-03-31 - highly questionable (see related forum thread about mortgaging domains) - Registry sale - Does not resolve
3d.software 100001 USD 2015-05-08 Rightside - Registry sale - Does not resolve
dui.attorney 100001 USD 2015-06-01 Private - That looks like another good one. Great keywords, not a registry sale and developed.
Coffee.Club 100000 USD 2014-11-01 TRAFFIC MIAMI 2014 - Registry sale - This is actually developed and a real business. Actually legit but I am not sure if this was a cash sale or was to be paid in installements over many years. See related discussions.
Vegas.Club 100000 USD 2015-01-13 Right Of The Dot - Developed
Autism.Rocks 100000 USD 2015-06-18 Sedo - Developed - There was some discussion about this sale being unusual in the sense that the payment was part of a donation made. Not sure but there is a related forum thread to this.
net.work 100000 USD 2015-06-16 Mind + Machines - Registry sale - Does not resolve
6.top 93600 USD 2015-12-09 Jiangsu Bangning - Registry sale - Does not resolve
M.top 93600 USD 2015-12-09 Jiangsu Bangning - Registry sale - Does not resolve
Transfer.Money 90000 USD 2015-06-17 Private - Parked
a.top 90000 USD 2014-12-31 Registry sale - Parked
 
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Is this thread still about .com drops? :xf.cool:
Was it ever? I thought it was about a possible drop in the value of .com names. I think they are a good investment, and will increase in value. You can even get a good income from your holding if you monetise your names.
 
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Anyone with an understanding of economics would realize that ngtlds bring consumer choice to a very saturated market. Consumer choice reduces prices and increases competition, when this happens a market will evolve and become more efficient, as a new equilibrium price level is acheived. This is bad for legacy tld users because domains of medium-low value will drop in value and soon become worthless. I think good .com's will get even more expensive but anything in the middle of the pack will drop in value because of the additional competition within the same price range. Another thing to note is that the children/teenagers of today are the future internet users of tomorrow and these people will not be growing up with .COM as king, they are being taught about .keyword and that is whats going to be the big change here, the moment those people become salary earners is when the environment makes a big shift because their preferences will be very different from people like us who were born in the 70's,80's and 90's. Remember kids born in 2000 will be salary earners in 2018, and will become a substantial part of the work force by 2020. They are the ones who "grew up" with NGTLD's and they will be the ones that big companies will be targeting to capture their disposable income. NGTLDs are for the next generation of domainers, their current value is not great but should appreciate greatly in the coming years. Today 5 figures is the highest you can get for a good premium ngtld (except for a unicorn or an end user is desperate for it), so the current price ceiling is at the level of a low/medium quality premium .com, which is fair given they have been around for less than 10 years. I think by 2018 or 2019 you will be seeing a lot more public transaction volume and some high profile sales. I strongly believe that domain investors should be holding onto their premium ngtlds, not trying to flip them. Fast money is a notion perpetuated by this forum but when it comes to taking advantage of new frontiers, its better to wait and let the market appreciate so you can maximize your ROI. There will always be haters but most of the haters here either don't take the time to do their research or have ulterior motives due to them having very heavy .com portfolio's and this is the same with all the big players. If I were them I'd either do the same thing and say ngtlds were shit to boost my .com portfolio or say they were shit knowing thousands if not hundreds of thousands of people would listen and then go back on my word and snap up the best ngtlds in secret to hedge my .com portfolio, because above all else I'd want to stay at the top. Also the guys having the audacity to comment on the validity of a sale...are idiots, you don't know the risk appetite of the buyer, their intentions today or their intentions tomorrow. I mean honestly its the most hypocritical type of thinking because there are so many "questionable" sales in every tld. Fact of the matter is a transaction has been made and the actions towards the domain are in control of whoever is in ownership and it ends there. The only thing thats questionable is you questioning them.
 
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Loads of .com names are worthless - who would want knight-gvoejmvoemvemvomvemvmvvvev.com for example - that doesn't mean that all .coms are worthless.

knight.xyz is clearly worth more than the .com in my example, and this is the point of the new tlds. If you can't get a decent .com, then maybe it is worth grabbing an alternative, But that just makes the .com more valuable imho.

If you can't afford filet steak, you might eat horse, but that won't make the steak any cheaper as long as there are people who can afford it.
 
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Loads of .com names are worthless - who would want knight-gvoejmvoemvemvomvemvmvvvev.com for example - that doesn't mean that all .coms are worthless.

knight.xyz is clearly worth more than the .com in my example, and this is the point of the new tlds. If you can't get a decent .com, then maybe it is worth grabbing an alternative, But that just makes the .com more valuable imho.

If you can't afford filet steak, you might eat horse, but that won't make the steak any cheaper as long as there are people who can afford it.

I already said that. Read carefully. Good .coms will get even more expensive, for now.
 
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Anyone with an understanding of economics would realize that ngtlds bring consumer choice to a very saturated market. Consumer choice reduces prices and increases competition, when this happens a market will evolve and become more efficient, as a new equilibrium price level is acheived. This is bad for legacy tld users because domains of medium-low value will drop in value and soon become worthless. I think good .com's will get even more expensive but anything in the middle of the pack will drop in value because of the additional competition within the same price range. Another thing to note is that the children/teenagers of today are the future internet users of tomorrow and these people will not be growing up with .COM as king, they are being taught about .keyword and that is whats going to be the big change here, the moment those people become salary earners is when the environment makes a big shift because their preferences will be very different from people like us who were born in the 70's,80's and 90's. Remember kids born in 2000 will be salary earners in 2018, and will become a substantial part of the work force by 2020. They are the ones who "grew up" with NGTLD's and they will be the ones that big companies will be targeting to capture their disposable income. NGTLDs are for the next generation of domainers, their current value is not great but should appreciate greatly in the coming years. Today 5 figures is the highest you can get for a good premium ngtld (except for a unicorn or an end user is desperate for it), so the current price ceiling is at the level of a low/medium quality premium .com, which is fair given they have been around for less than 10 years. I think by 2018 or 2019 you will be seeing a lot more public transaction volume and some high profile sales. I strongly believe that domain investors should be holding onto their premium ngtlds, not trying to flip them. Fast money is a notion perpetuated by this forum but when it comes to taking advantage of new frontiers, its better to wait and let the market appreciate so you can maximize your ROI. There will always be haters but most of the haters here either don't take the time to do their research or have ulterior motives due to them having very heavy .com portfolio's and this is the same with all the big players. If I were them I'd either do the same thing and say ngtlds were sh*t to boost my .com portfolio or say they were sh*t knowing thousands if not hundreds of thousands of people would listen and then go back on my word and snap up the best ngtlds in secret to hedge my .com portfolio, because above all else I'd want to stay at the top. Also the guys having the audacity to comment on the validity of a sale...are idiots, you don't know the risk appetite of the buyer, their intentions today or their intentions tomorrow. I mean honestly its the most hypocritical type of thinking because there are so many "questionable" sales in every tld. Fact of the matter is a transaction has been made and the actions towards the domain are in control of whoever is in ownership and it ends there. The only thing thats questionable is you questioning them.
Can you use paragraphs? :D
 
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