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gTLD registrations have peaked. With a rocky road ahead, how long until the crash?

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pfj

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Worrying stats from nTLDstats.com - for the last two weeks, new gTLD registrations have been almost static, and are actually starting to decline. Where previously we saw 10k, 15k, 20k new registrations per day, for a sustained period now registrations have ground to a halt. In the two weeks to date we should have expected to see an increase of almost 350,000 domains, but in fact we've seen a LOSS of 7,644.

This is something that I've expected to see happen for months as the inflated figures of various registries begin to adjust - i.e. the low/no-cost "puff" registrations are dropped. .XYZ tried to combat this earlier in the year with their huge promotional event, but you can only do a bargain basement sale once or twice before people lose confidence.

I see this as a sign that the market has reached saturation. Registries have failed to communicate the real benefits of new TLDs while businesses and individuals are failing to adopt them. The number of active sites using new gTLDs seems to be tiny compared to the number of domains registered. This causes a huge problem for investors as the whole gTLD sector risks becoming contaminated.

Christa Taylor/dotTBA's analysis of the first six months of new gTLD performance on Circle ID brought to light some stark realities: a huge number of registries are operating at a loss, and if registrations continue to fall away, the writing is on the wall for many of these registries. I'm confident that we will see a number of registries cease operations in the next 6 to 12 months.

Total number of gTLD registrations:

July 12th: 22,951,202
July 24th: 22,943,558
Increase/decrease = -7,644 (0.03% decrease)

Even with only a 1.5% increase over the period (which is less than similar periods) we should have seen around 345,000 domains being added, bringing the total to around 23,295,470 so this is a startling difference.

Comparing similar periods from previous months:

June 12th: 22,071,306
June 24th: 22,531,238
Increase/decrease = +459,932 (2.28% increase)

May 12th: 17,513,791
May 24th: 18,016,647
Increase/decrease = +502,856 (2.87% increase)

April 12th: 16,726,767
April 24th: 17,030,054
Increase/decrease: +303,287 (1.81% increase)

Compare Christmas/New Year 2015/2016 (which might be expected to be a quiet period)

December 22nd: 10,987,060
January 3rd: 11,241,742
Increase/decrease = +254,682 (2.31% increase)

Same period last year:

July 12th 2015: 6,570,729
July 24th 2015: 6,676,608
Increase/decrease: +105,879 (1.61% increase)
 
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The views expressed on this page by users and staff are their own, not those of NamePros.
All the people making noise here, have 2015/2016 namepro registrations showing they just don't have the experience to really understand what they are truly talking about.

They weren't around when .mobi was launching, and sedo .mobi auction was on fire, and crashing their site, nor were they there in 2010 when .co was launching etc... we all want to register big terms, and make big returns, some get lucky, but for most it is a learning curve.

This is the crux of it. Back in the day I modded both .Mobi and .Co forums here at NP and it was maddening to see the fanboys close their eyes and just ignore wisdom attained by experience from peers that were trying to help them. It is amusing to experience the very same arguments again now for a third time. If you never learn from history you are doomed to repeat it.

Why argue with this Canadian fellow, he is clearly not bogged down by such mundane concepts as profits and the need for sales. He is a SPECULATOR and as such do not need to listen to reason or the like. One thing I know, you cant persuade a fanatic/fanboy with facts. Especially a vested fanatic.
 
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Ohhh Almighty Pool of WISDOM... :rolleyes:
You're a little late to the party, but hey ... nice try to stir things up again.
 
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Afraid not. It's the other way around. You are late to the party. Enjoy the scraps.
 
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Slightly the end users will decide the outcome of the new gTLDs, but the big bosses which control, among others, the media companies and the domain industry. And they decided to always make money.

The money from renewals, from the registrations of domains which protect companies name, of premium domains by the big players, the money from the fees at the marketplaces and the money from the registrations of generic extensions, which can't compete with a long historied .com and of extensions where the left of the dot doesn't mach the right of the dot.

The scarciness of good new gTLDs is increasing, the awareness aswell, their price will raise and further more when they will begin to be advertised on media, to raise the capital in the domain industry. The .com will still be advertised, for the same reason, so only the aforementioned domains will compete with .com because of their beauty and simplicity (For example city.bank vs city.com).

Medium one-word keywords in the new gTLDs already sell with 4 figure and their price is doubling each year.
 
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Slightly the end users will decide the outcome of the new gTLDs, but the big bosses which control, among others, the media companies and the domain industry. And they decided to always make money.

The money from renewals, from the registrations of domains which protect companies name, of premium domains by the big players, the money from the fees at the marketplaces and the money from the registrations of generic extensions, which can't compete with a long historied .com and of extensions where the left of the dot doesn't mach the right of the dot.

The scarciness of good new gTLDs is increasing, the awareness aswell, their price will raise and further more when they will begin to be advertised on media, to raise the capital in the domain industry. The .com will still be advertised, for the same reason, so only the aforementioned domains will compete with .com because of their beauty and simplicity (For example city.bank vs city.com).

Medium one-word keywords in the new gTLDs already sell with 4 figure and their price is doubling each year.
Big bosses? Big players this sounds like
China talk all over again...

Marketing departments, Not big bosses...

City.bank vs city.com? Come on that is a no brainer

Most good GTLDs are owned in reserve lists, or by domain speculators who need to sell to get a ROI.

Most of the names large companies have registered for brand protection are actual marks, and not so much investor grade.

Whatever you are saying makes very little sense, and is poorly worded, and not backed up with anything tangible.


Price doubling each year? You have no data to make such statements.
 
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Big bosses? Big players this sounds like
China talk all over again...

Marketing departments, Not big bosses...

City.bank vs city.com? Come on that is a no brainer

Most good GTLDs are owned in reserve lists, or by domain speculators who need to sell to get a ROI.

Most of the names large companies have registered for brand protection are actual marks, and not so much investor grade.

Whatever you are saying makes very little sense, and is poorly worded, and not backed up with anything tangible.


Price doubling each year? You have no data to make such statements.
More than double.....Wine.Club was sold for $140000.
The price is double buy it now $349977 at Sedo

https://sedo.com/search/details.php...31&language=us&origin=search&fromExactMatch=4
 
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This reminds me of something. It's really easy to sell nGTLDs for $xxxx:

Just buy a premium nGTLD for $xx,xxxx from the registry. :laugh:
Or.... "It's really easy to make a small fortune with the new gTLDs, you simply need to start with a huge fortune first".
 
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It has to sell for that price to be established as double, I can buy a reg fee name, and place $1M price tag on it, what you state makes little sense.
What you say is correct, but I think the day will come when the price of wine.club will become 350000.
Time will tell :-,
 
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It has to sell for that price to be established as double, I can buy a reg fee name, and place $1M price tag on it, what you state makes little sense.
This is what the new owner expect a big return from capital $140000
 
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What you say is correct, but I think the day will come when the price of wine.club will become 350000.
Time will tell :-,
So true....you never know some crazy buyers got lots of money....after all Wine.Club is one of the best names on earth....better than WineClub.com , Wines.Club etc
 
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Or.... "It's really easy to make a small fortune with the new gTLDs, you simply need to start with a huge fortune first".
Yes, its expensive to play with gTLD.....
 
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So true....you never know some crazy buyers got lots of money....after all Wine.Club is one of the best names on earth....better than WineClub.com , Wines.Club etc
Yes, there are buyers with a lot of money:$::$::$::$::$:. And when you have so much money and you like a domain because it's nice (eg: Wine.Club) and even if it costs 1 million: no problem, you buy it, it's simple.
1 million is nothing for those with lots of money. So many people did not understand this...
 
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Yes, there are buyers with a lot of money:$::$::$::$::$:. And when you have so much money and you like a domain because it's nice (eg: Wine.Club) and even if it costs 1 million: no problem, you buy it, it's simple.
1 million is nothing for those with lots of money. So many people did not understand this...
Thats why Rick Schwartz or domain king put up high price $M on most of his names...he can afford to sit and wait for big fish......
 
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Yes, its expensive to play with gTLD.....

Not necessarily. I have about 500 new gTLDs and I would say that more than half of them absolutely have a potential to sell. The average renewal fee is about twenty dollars.

However, I spend a lot of time to search for good names with low renewals and if time is money, you could say that it's expensive.
 
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Thats why Rick Schwartz or domain king put up high price $M on most of his names...he can afford to sit and wait for big fish......

Also, he have some of the best names in the world, that is the most important factor :-D
 
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Thats why Rick Schwartz or domain king put up high price $M on most of his names...he can afford to sit and wait for big fish......
It's also my strategy: I wait for big fish... :$::$::$::$::$:;)
 
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It's also my strategy: I wait for big fish... :$::$::$::$::$:;)

I've said this before, if ya can't run with the big dogs, stay on the porch! :)
 
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I don't like big dogs; so I stay on the porch :)
 
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As Wine.Club is up for $349,977 , I decided to put up my eWine.Club to €188,800...lol.....I am greedy now....why not!
I know its not going to sell soon anyway, so I will keep it for few years, renewal fees only $12+ per year....
 
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I've said this before, if ya can't run with the big dogs, stay on the porch! :)

True...

I am happy as long as domaining pay my food, car and bills. If it one day would make me able to consume nice watches, upgrade my car and go to Bahamas over the weekend, that's a bonus. A very nice bonus indeed. :-P
 
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Porna.live is going to kick some fat ass; from here to Timbuktu :)
 
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True...

I am happy as long as domaining pay my food, car and bills. If it one day would make me able to consume nice watches, upgrade my car and go to Bahamas over the weekend, that's a bonus. A very nice bonus indeed. :-P
For me: Bahamas or nothing. :-D
 
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At a price of Big old ass whooping $7million :)
 
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For me: Bahamas or nothing. :-D

We have direct flights there from the island where I live so I am actually planning on this.

Edit. I'm totally confused today. It's the Maldives... *Facepalm*
 
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