58 million of websites: from Jackob Nilsen website

[Genialnames]

As of early 2005, the Web only had 58 million sites, not the 100 million I used in my analysis in this article. The growth rate slowed down considerably after the dot-com bubble burst. However, this fact doesn't change the essence of my argument nor does it change my conclusion. We probably have to wait until 2010 to get 100 million sites, and by then the number of users may be a billion, and not the 500 million I used in my analysis. The dollar values might thus be twice as big, but we have to wait a few more years to attain them.

another interesting fact is this one.
Even today (2005), it's true that the top 10,000 sites generate less than 10% of the cumulative value of the sites ranked 10,001 to 11,999,999.

article source and full article :
http://www.useit.com/alertbox/9704b.html

 

[vimkar]

As of early 2005, the Web only had 58 million sites, not the 100 million I used in my analysis in this article. The growth rate slowed down considerably after the dot-com bubble burst. However, this fact doesn't change the essence of my argument nor does it change my conclusion. We probably have to wait until 2010 to get 100 million sites, and by then the number of users may be a billion, and not the 500 million I used in my analysis. The dollar values might thus be twice as big, but we have to wait a few more years to attain them.

another interesting fact is this one.
Even today (2005), it's true that the top 10,000 sites generate less than 10% of the cumulative value of the sites ranked 10,001 to 11,999,999.

article source and full article :
http://www.useit.com/alertbox/9704b.html

i like this part :
"However, I am optimistic on the future of smaller sites. The reason is the added value possible for a smaller and more focused site. A huge site will necessarily have to be rather generic, even though it can use customization features to partly tailor the content to individual users. Therefore, the value of each pageview on the largest sites will tend to be very low and mainly derived from mass-media type advertising. In the long term, I expect mass Web advertising to generate maybe one cent per pageview."

thanks for sharing..

 

[dongan]

interesting and hope to get billion on 2010.

 

[Genialnames]

Despicte the big actraction that the big bros have I would argue that most of us, if not for everybody, we are of the common opinion that an internet made of a lot of small and specialized sites could sussist and it could be a prosper place.
That is contrary to the actual trend, but it is just that that could change the direction( the right way) .

 

[yeppers]

Well there seems to be maybe one small hole in their analysis...
What exactly do they classify as a "site"... Are they talking about every single website out there...
This would include every little cjb hosted, geocities hosted, angelfire hosted etc etc sites... Which IMHO would really account for a DAMN LOT of the websites currently online.

I know before I started doing .com kind of sites, I started probably 50 free hosted sites, same with a lot of my friends!

Well that's just my opinion anyway, would be interesting to see what he did mean by "sites" though

 

[stscac]

another interesting fact is this one.
Even today (2005), it's true that the top 10,000 sites generate less than 10% of the cumulative value of the sites ranked 10,001 to 11,999,999.

Not completly sure that I agree with that one. Sure, its possible in theory, but I think it follows that of the (US) social structure, where the top x% control high xx% of the money.

Of course, anyone can debate.

-Steve

 

[Genialnames]

Well there seems to be maybe one small hole in their analysis...
What exactly do they classify as a "site"... Are they talking about every single website out there...
This would include every little cjb hosted, geocities hosted, angelfire hosted etc etc sites... Which IMHO would really account for a DAMN LOT of the websites currently online.

Fine observer
Something doesn't match to me too, to me it is something related with this thread:
http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=141406

 

[tajimd]

As of now the increasing number of webistes . By the year 2010 the number of websites on Internet by cross 200 milion . But the problem will arise on the number of domains. It would become hard to find a domain for a new company because by then most combinations of domain will get booked already.

 

[Genialnames]

I don't think it would be really ore an issue than it is today.
I don't remember the numbers of domain actually registered,maybe someone can post the updattes here, but most important is the number of dismissed/new registerd/re-registerd by other of domain names.
200 million for 2010 it doesn't seem to me a correct projection. must be much more.
I am just waiting to see what only will happen just starting 2007, one year before the Beijing olympiads: the Republic of China will gain a lot of popularity and the chinese industry have the occasion to show to the words the whole production... so it will be the need of a lot of new domains /websites to offer to the world all that stuff .
It should be a good opportunity for owners of good domain names to realize good sales with good domain names.
I bet the most wanted will be.......guess on .com?