Personally I think new gTLD's will never gain any decant publicity and value, yes maybe there are and will be small amount of diamonds discovered in the mud (the ones that sound and go together just perfectly) few end users (companies) will try to use them and maybe, 1 - 2 % will actually stick with them. For the rest IMHO, it's like trying to change driving sides on the road in UK and (former British colonies) from left to right, or in pretty much rest of the world right to left! Unlikely to happen, is it?.. People are just so used to .com you would have to spend huge amounts of money on marketing and telling people who are not domainers, what those new gTLD's actually are and why are they better, than .com?
I can't predict future and would be happy to be proven wrong of course
Again in my opinion most often, people who believe that pretty much all of the new gTLD will be huge are mostly guy who had gone in to domaining recently, obviously missed out on reasonable chance on picking up good .com for cheap so all there is left to do to try convince others that all the new gTLD's will make them crazy money
@Miks I liked your post but I'm from the UK live in the USA and have to give my opinion here... Sorry can't help it.
You do realize that most dot coms are actually owned by people going by the term domainer etc.
Some are making money others are just spending money on what they think is good (as you kind of said) however..... If most dot coms are owned by domainers and let's face it that means it is domainers who are also buying the majority of the new gTLDs right? .xyz anybody? Dirt cheap buy hundreds then watch the numbers fall come renewal time. ( I have not touched .xyz btw.)
So that can only mean one thing..... It is not news that the ".COM Bubble Burst" how can an ambiguous combination of LLL or LLLL be worth more than a nice fresh name? The domain name can be masked from any old garbage and people mainly click on links rather than type, due to search engines (those will change too) it is probably domainers that do the majority of type in traffic to start off with as they do their searching for a gold nugget.
Younger people are not into dot com it's all apps and facebook etc. and fb will eventually die off.
people always want something new whether it's a tv or car or phone, and the net is going to change.
Cloud is just a way to rebrand the net it's nothing new LOL. So if you buy any of the three mentioned items (tv, car,phone) eventually you'll want a new one. The old one will end up given away. sold or hidden in a draw. Whatever the case the majority of these things will lose the majority of it's value.
This being said a domain is supposed to hold its value, well it should.... IF there are only a few extensions but a few extensions means a limited quantity. Rather only a limited quantity of "Quality" domains.
This can only mean bad news for some or let's say most! I will say it if no one else will. Being told to hold on to a thing because it is rare is stupidity it is only worth holding on to if it is "GOOD" if people want it... Where am I going with this? Well basically it is domainers telling domainers to do that (keep rare character counts) as the domains cost domainers (the middle men) money! The real domainers are the registrars and the new domain extensions are making the real domainers LOTS of money. Why? Because some quality domains did exist and those domainers sold them and used the money to buy the better names and then went one step further and set up shop as ..... A NEW EXTENSION.... Now some great domains do exist and yes some things have not been invented yet, so you may have a frenzied rush to buy up all possible combinations when the next "New Thing" comes out, in effect it is like a lottery. Dictionary words especially the most common are the most valuable yet not all are any good!
So there you have it and as I said before "Taxonomy" is starting to take effect from big data and let's face it .com is old tree menu stuff albeit the top of that tree (domains). So yes some dot coms will be worth lots but the best way to make money is to invent a thing or develop your own thing and then sell it. I will write more about what I see coming when I have time. Sorry for the ramble here guys but I had to say it.