Dynadot

analysis Domain Sales Strong in First Half of 2019

Spaceship Spaceship
The first half of 2019 has been great for domain sales with the rate of NameBio-reported sales up 28% and the average price up almost 17% compared to full year 2018. The sales rate is up in all three major legacy extensions .com, .net, and .org, although average prices are down in .net and almost unchanged in .org.

The rate of sales in .ai is strongly up. Several other country code extensions (such as .co and .de) continue to have high average sales prices. The .me extension is up in both sales rate and average price.

Sales in new domain extensions taken as a whole are down just over 30%, although the average price is up slightly to about $4000.


Sales Numbers

I used the NameBio database to look at how the rate of domain sales in the first half of 2019 compares with 2018. There are possible seasonal variations so we would not expect the full year to necessarily follow the trend of the first 6 months.
  • In the first 6 months of 2019, there were about 53,200 NameBio-recorded sales across all extensions, compared to 82,900 in all of 2018. If that rate continues for the rest of 2019, we will see a year-over-year increase of 28%.
  • Since .com dominates the aftermarket, the .com-only numbers are also very healthy: about 46,000 sales in the first half of 2019 compared to 70,000 in all of 2018, or an increase of just over 31%.
  • The number of sales in .net is up almost 22% with 1,482 sales in the first 6 months of 2019 compared to 2,432 for the full year 2018.
  • Sales in .org are up by almost 23% to 2,651 sales in the first half of 2019.
  • Sales in the .info extension are down 5% with just 123 sales in the first 6 months compared to 259 in 2018.
  • Sales across all new domain extensions combined are down 31% in the first half of 2019 with 507 sales in the six month period compared to 1,474 in all of 2018.
  • If we look at all country code extensions, the number of sales is up almost 12%, but that hides some huge differences across individual country codes.
  • The sales rate is down in the .cc, .co, .de, and .io domain extensions, but it's up in .ai, .me, and .tv.
  • While there were 340 sales in the .io extension in the first half of 2019, the rate is down over 26% compared to the 921 sales in the extension in all of 2018.
  • While .ai reporting changes may partially account for the difference, the rate of sales in the .ai extension is substantially up (more than 375%) with 745 sales in just the first 6 months of 2019 compared to 311 in all of 2018.

Average Prices

I also took a look at how average prices during the first six months of 2019 compared to 2018.
  • Across all extensions, the average NameBio-reported domain sales price was about $1545 in the first six months of 2019, up almost 17% from the 2018 average of $1323.
  • If we look at .com alone, the increase is even more significant with a 26% increase from $1582 compared to $1256 in 2018.
  • Average .net prices are down almost 22% from $722 compared to $924 in 2018.
  • There is almost no change in average .org prices at $844 during the first six months of 2019.
  • Perhaps surprisingly, average .info extension sales prices are up by 21% to $787, although the number of sales is limited.
  • The new domain extensions saw the average sales price up slightly to $4020 from $3878 in 2018. Notably, many of the higher-priced sales were sold directly from the registry that owns the domain extension ("registry sales").
  • If we look at country-code extensions in total, the average price is down almost 17%, although the average is still strong at $1923, higher than the major legacy extensions.
  • While the number of sales in the .ai extension has increased substantially, the average price in .ai is down 62% to $531 compared to $1416 in 2018.
  • While .co prices are down slightly in the first six months of 2019, the $2272 average price is still higher than most other extensions.
  • The .de extension remains strong, with an average price of $5170 in the first 6 months of 2019 compared to $4576 in 2018.
  • While it seems to have largely passed under the domain radar, the .me domain extension is having a good 2019. Not only is the rate of sales in the extension up more than 21%, but the average price is also up by almost 55% to $1504 in the first half of 2019 compared to $972 in 2018.

Sales Data

I used the NameBio database for these comparisons. It's worth noting that not all venues report to NameBio (e.g. Afternic, DAN/Undeveloped, Efty sites, and most private sales are not reported). Also, even though I used data for sales $100 and up, there will still be a mix of wholesale and retail transactions in the sample. Furthermore, some sales are reported well after the sale, and occasionally a sale may be removed, so the precise numbers will vary slightly depending on when you access the database. The lower-than-average prices and higher-than-usual sales numbers (rate) that we are seeing in .ai may reflect more domainers investing in domain names related to artificial intelligence.


What Is Your Experience?

Please share in the comments section your own experience on how good the first half of 2019 has been.

Also, do you have plans to change your domain investing strategy as a result of the trends you are seeing? For example, are you encouraged by the strong sales and prices in the first half of 2019 and thinking about increasing your domain investments, or are you changing your weighting in different country-code extensions?




Hat tip to Michael Sumner (@Michael), CEO of NameBio, for creating and maintaining the domain sales data resource used for this analysis.
 
84
•••
The views expressed on this page by users and staff are their own, not those of NamePros.
It's great to have such stats, helps us fill in the picture. I wonder if you have country code breakdowns? I wonder because this year a couple of unexpected extensions sold for us.

(sorry to be looking for more after your hard work!)
 
1
•••
I'm curious what the results would be for the 1st half of 2019 compared with the 1st half of 2018?
 
1
•••
You are a valuable asset of domaining community @Bob Hawkes . Thanks for all the work.
 
4
•••
Well coming up to month 17 and still never had a sale......How do I check that there isn't some kind of black mark against me or my IP address?...Gary

It could be due to domain sales being heavily biased to being a numbers game combined with luck (imo).

Re black-mark IP, that's not relevant if parked, and its called Fail-Listed or Clean which status can be easily checked at some of the parking providers.
 
Last edited:
1
•••
I wonder if you have country code breakdowns?
I did not do all country codes separately for the analysis but here are the data for those I did (and the total for all country codes in top line).
CCFirstHalf2019.jpg

The first column after TLD gives the number of sales in the first half of 2019 and the next in the total of 2018. The next column gives the percentage increase or decrease in the rate. For example the rate of sales in .co is down about 21%. After that the next two columns give the average prices in USD for first six months of 2019 and 2018, followed by the percentage increase or decrease that 2019 is compared to 2018. The final column is a total sales volume number.

While they would be included in the top line all cc, I did not separately look at other country code extensions such as .us or the European ones.

Bob
 
2
•••
I'm curious what the results would be for the 1st half of 2019 compared with the 1st half of 2018?
Yes, that would be a more meaningful comparison, i agree. It would not be hard to do for the small number TLDs, but for things like .com and all TLDs it is not easy to extract from NameBio (as far as I can see) because of the huge dataset.

I do plan to do a similar analysis to this one at the end of the year comparing for an entire year the various TLDs, and that will not be susceptible to possible influences of some months being stronger.

Bob
 
0
•••
This is great information. Great to see dot-com up. I'm surprised by the newG performance.

Wonderful work @Bob Hawkes !
 
1
•••
Great analysis Bob as always.thanks for sharing.
 
1
•••
1
•••
Is the recent $30m sale included in the dot com sales total? That would be 1 or 2 year's sales for some venues.
 
0
•••
Is the recent $30m sale included in the dot com sales total? That would be 1 or 2 year's sales for some venues.
I took the data on July 2/3 so yes it was included. Your question emphasies an important point, however: average prices can be hugely influenced by a few big sales. For example if that one voice sale was excluded both .com and all TLDs average price would be down in first half 2019, instead of significantly up, compared to the 2018 data.

I have plans for a future report that looks at just how strongly influenced the average price is by a handful of high value sales.

Thanks again for the question.

Bob
 
Last edited:
0
•••
Someone earlier asked about a comparison with the first half of 2019 vs the first half only of 2018. If I do that for the new gTLDs there were 507 sales in first 6 months of 2019 vs 636 for the first 6 months of 2019. So the rate of sales (as number of sales) is still down when that comparison is done, but it is down by just over 25% instead of about 31% as reported here when we look at the entire year of 2018 as the comparison.
Bob
 
1
•••
2
•••
Your question emphasies an important point, however: average prices can be hugely influenced by a few big sales. For example if that one voice sale was excluded both .com and all TLDs average price would be down in first half 2019, instead of significantly up, compared to the 2018 data.

If you;re going to exclude the "bottom" of the amounts (the sub $100 sales) then you probably need to drop a similar number of the high-end amounts - to get more life-like numbers throwing out the top and bottom 5% for example.
 
1
•••
Thanks for this amazing analysis to create discussion!
 
2
•••
If you;re going to exclude the "bottom" of the amounts (the sub $100 sales) then you probably need to drop a similar number of the high-end amounts - to get more life-like numbers throwing out the top and bottom 5% for example.
Thank you for your comment. Your point is well taken, and that is why I always give median values in my daily and weekly summaries (the median .com sale on NameBio, at least when considering all sales above $100, is typically not much different from $225). The average price, especially in some TLDs, is much different from the median.

I did give some thought to excluding some top, as you suggest, but any level seemed to me arbitrary and would leave the analysis open to criticism. The exclusion at the low end ($100) is based on what NameBio exclude from public recording, and I think widely accepted as a reasonable dividing line.

In a future analysis I am planning to show how the number of sales over a year of data break down into different price categories, emphasizing the importance of the point you make.

Bob
 
2
•••
zero sales (since 3 years)
according to my experience domainning is the most worst business in the world..
 
1
•••
zero sales (since 3 years)
Any enquiries ? Any outbound marketing ? How many domains ?
zero of 1 good names is different to zero of 100 good names, and zero of 10,000 terrible or unmarketed domains isnt to be unexpected.
 
1
•••
Any enquiries ? Any outbound marketing ? How many domains ?
zero of 1 good names is different to zero of 100 good names, and zero of 10,000 terrible or unmarketed domains isnt to be unexpected.
I'm in the same boat. Never had any sales in 16 months. Got about 170 domains left as I let 160 drop. Total waste of my time but hey I've learnt not to buy any more
 
0
•••
Thank you for bringing us so much information. @Bob Hawkes
steven
 
1
•••
The first half of 2019 has been great for domain sales with the rate of NameBio-reported sales up 28% and the average price up almost 17% compared to full year 2018. The sales rate is up in all three major legacy extensions .com, .net, and .org, although average prices are down in .net and almost unchanged in .org.

YES Bob! it has been good half-year 2019 for the domain-industry.and i think it will continue.thanks for article./Peter
 
1
•••
Well coming up to month 17 and still never had a sale. Do my names suck ? Probably. I've looked at namebio daily for the past 17 months and can't fathom why most of those names sell and yet I can't sell just one. It's very hard to stay motivated. Of course I haven't got sex.com or insurance.com but I'm sure I have some that hold a little value. How do I check that there isn't some kind of black mark against me or my IP address ?
Btw, about 98% of my domains are .com
So to summarize, no it's not been a good 17months for me but I hold out hope.
I would love to be more constructive but until I have made my first sale I can't say anything positive about domain sales.
Gary
Hi Laguna
I am also in the same low mood situation, but I started 2 months ago. My domains are good. Will my price be too high? According to godaddy they are fine. I have about 40 registered domains and none sold.
Soon we will sell

Thanks Bob for the information!
 
Last edited:
1
•••
I do want to stress that even though if the first half sales rate continues for rest of year 2019 is shaping up to be a good year, that still does not change the fact that most domain names held by domainers will languish a very long time before being sold, if ever.

So experiences like
Well coming up to month 17 and still never had a sale.
and
zero sales (since 3 years)
are not inconsistent with this year being better by the numbers, so far at least.

If one uses Dofo to look at how many .com are for sale today it is about 14,790,000 (no doubt they miss a few but probably that is near to the total actively for sale. Using NameBio data in the last year there were about 86,400 sales in .com. That means that on average a .com that is today listed for sale would take about 170 years to sell. Now they are missing many sales since Afternic and DAN do not report, nor do Sedo report lower value sales, and of course Efty and many private are also missing. Maybe missing 80%? If so, still on average it is something like 34 years for a .com domain name to sell. Most will never sell.

Now many sell fast, sometimes in hours, many will never sell, but that is industry-wide average. So if you someone feels their portfolio is 'average' in saleability then these numbers might apply roughly to them. I looked at some different scenarios for profitability in this post at NameTalent.

It is challenging to achieve domain sales, and usually slow. Personally, I think it was about 7 or 8 months before I sold the first one and it was for a tiny amount. Now then I knew less than now both about choosing and selling domain names, and did not give my names a chance by having them listed with good landers or on main marketplaces.

I am in awe of those who regularly close sales for big amounts and hats off to those top members here at NamePros. But we should not think that is easy, or in some cases even fast. Being as informed, analytical and logical helps but is no guarantee one will sell domain names at a sufficient rate to make money.

Bob
 
2
•••
Hi Bob, interesting analysis. I confess that when I started a few months ago, I thought it would be easier. Anyway, I am not disappointed at all. I know that at some point I will sell. As for what you say, that some sellers are successful, I think it is due to their experience in strategies, and their reputation. The likely buyers, come to them again and again, for the trust they have earned.
Regarding what you say, about 14,700,000 of .com, we agree that 95 percent of them are not salable. Just look at the ones that fall every day on expireddom. Then there is 5 percent left, which fights to be sold, and there comes into play the price of the seller and what the buyer is willing to pay for a domain. Only large or medium-sized companies can afford to pay xxxx, much less xxxxx, or more
 
Last edited:
1
•••
Thanks Alot @Bob Hawkes for this article. You really informed about something new and intresting.
 
1
•••
  • The sidebar remains visible by scrolling at a speed relative to the page’s height.
Back