IT.COM

domains We will see a 30%-50% crash in markets across the board - Predicts Andrew Rosener

Spaceship Spaceship
Watch

Haroon Basha

Service.xyzTop Member
Impact
7,664
One of the Top Domain Investor and industry expert Mr Andrew Rosener, Tweeted yesterday: "I don’t want to alarm anyone and I hate fear mongering…but, I highly suggest that unless you are completely financially independent and “free”, you should brace for impact. I believe we will see a 30%-50% crash in markets across the board. Have some physical cash on hand, raise whatever liquidity you can and cut your spending to absolute bare bones. This will be on par pr worse than 2008/9. The response will cause a spike in inflation and we will, in my opinion, see 7.5% or higher Fed Funds Rate within 12-18 months. Of course making the situation worse for most folks. Be prepared for 18-24 months of chaos, uncertainty and financial distress."

To a reader's question "what do you think is going to happen to domain values?
Rosener replies: Absolutely nothing will happen to domain values. But there won’t be much liquidity and so the price if you NEED to sell in the short term will likely be soft. Domain values are up and to the right for the foreseeable future! But the bid/ask spread for those that need or want to sell is going to widen quite a bit most likely.
Credit:
Andrew Rosener is the founder and CEO of DomainX, LLC (as well as many other things), through which MediaOptions operates, which is the World’s #1 Domain Broker, and a boutique domain acquisition & domain brokerage firm specialized in ultra-premium & high value domain names.


 
10
•••
The views expressed on this page by users and staff are their own, not those of NamePros.
Nobodys perfect ,but if everyone studies this man and watches his interviews ,they will learn a lot about business that can be applied to anything. This guy is a regular man who speaks in layman terms ,with common sense logic ,study him you wont regret it.
 
0
•••
When inflation rises people have less money as they spend more.
Having less money forces many of sellers to sell things cheaper,
firstly because they need more money urgently and secondly there are less buyers with money not impacted by inflation. All things which are not very necessary is more difficult to sell.
 
Last edited:
0
•••
When inflation rises people have less money as they spend more.
Having less money forces many of sellers to sell things cheaper,
firstly because they need more money urgently and secondly there are less buyers with money not impacted by inflation.
The whole reason for the spike up in inflation was a lot of money chasing too few goods ,people have the money to spend and sellers are raising prices not lowering ,even if they wanted to,because the shortage of labor is making wage demand explode and the cycle continues.
 
0
•••
Mr rosener with his great sale of nft. com for 2,000,000, he is an smart guy no doubt but he also left 18,000,000 + on the table if he would have sold a couple weeks later. ''NO ONE IS BIGGER THAN THE MARKET'' for every smart guy bailing ,theres a smarter guy buying . Best investor ever SAM ZELL
You've never deployed any real-world risk. Trying to time the market can be one of the most stupid things you can do.

He booked his profits. Something you'll learn on the journey to making money and keeping it.
 
0
•••
“Let me be clear that during the financial crisis, there were investors and owners of systemic large banks that were bailed out … and the reforms that have been put in place means that we’re not going to do that again,” Yellen told CBS. “But we are concerned about depositors and are focused on trying to meet their needs.”

This move limits the contagion.

Brad

numerous banks halted.jpg


As of this morning, the contagion is spreading even faster based on the actions of the FDIC and Biden Administration. First Republic Bank will likely be seized by the end of the day and 15-20 additional banks will join them by the end of the week.

This is the worst week for the financial sector since 2008.

Glass-Steagall Act should be restored, or the moral hazard of commercial speculation with retail deposits will continue until FDIC is bankrupted and the inflation reaches Great Depression levels.
 
Last edited:
0
•••
Show attachment 233777

As of this morning, the contagion has only quickened based on the actions of the FDIC and Biden Administration. First Republic Bank will likely be seized by the end of the day and 15-20 additional banks will join them by the end of the week.
There was always going to be some fallout. Many of these banks are way overleveraged and sitting on massive unrealized losses. Much of this is due to their own risky behavior.

Explain to me how customer deposits being lost would be more beneficial. You don't think deposits being lost would lead to bank runs not just at small banks, but at the larger ones as well?

I agree though that the commingling of commercial banks and investment banks is not really a good thing.

Brad
 
Last edited:
1
•••
Explain to me how customer deposits being lost would be more beneficial. You don't think deposits being lost would lead to bank runs not just at small banks, but at the larger ones as well?

Brad

Its a lesser of many evils scenario, that we will better understand by the end of the week.

Bailouts only increase moral hazards and inflation, and encourage bad management aka "too big to fail".

Looking at the FDIC balance sheet, how many failed deposits above the $250K insured can they fund? Then you have the Fed, $0 mortgage backed securities in 2006, $1.4Trillion to close 2020, and $3T today.

Its a question of tradeoffs and which actions will deter other bad actors from gambling with depositors money.

With possibly 15-20 banks being seized by the end of the week, this could be worse than 2008.

Saving insured and uninsured SVB depositors didn't stop the contagion, it has only spread it quicker. How many uninsured depositors can they save this week?

What are the unintended consequences of these actions in Q2-Q4 2023?
 
Last edited:
3
•••
Its a lesser of many evils scenario, that we will better understand by the end of the week.

Bailouts only increase moral hazards and inflation, and encourage bad management aka "too big to fail".
I am generally against bailouts, especially when it comes to investments.

Some investments lose money or fail. That is how it works.
It is how it should work.

There can't be a situation where you only make gains or get bailed out.

In this case the bank itself, shareholders, etc. are going to shoulder the loss.

At the same point most of the people who just have funds there (depositors) would have lost their funds, and in many cases it would have crippled their business.

The fundamental fix to this are banks (and people) behaving in a financially responsible manner. However, that goes against the nature of greed and is hard to fix.

Brad
 
Last edited:
2
•••
1
•••
1
•••
100%

Blue-collar Americans with pensions have been spit-roasted.

Its surreal to see 2008 being repeated all over again but within the context of 40 year high inflation this time around.

How does the Fed keep hiking rates to bring down inflation to 2% threshold, but then restart bailouts to mismanaged banks causing even greater inflation?

As you said, its the blue-collar Americans that pay the price.

It will be interesting to see where these bank failures leads U.S. economy on close of Q1.
 
1
•••
Fake news
Everything back to normal again and it is the best time to buy
Another clickable bait switch by Andrew R
BullshitWebsites dot com
 
0
•••
0
•••
It will be interesting to see where these bank failures leads U.S. economy on close of Q1.
I didn't agree with Dalio at the time. But now I do

We'll have a new world order if Russia wins the Ukrainian war. Hence, Biden is throwing caution to the wind to ensure the battle is won.
 
0
•••
Bitcoin is looking real good right about now!
 
0
•••
Bitcoin is looking real good right about now!
The traditional market goes down and cryptos go up, that's news!

Regarding domains, I'm selling less in general, parking pays less but auction prices are high: mixed signals but it doesn't seem like a declining market to me.
For example LLLL.com domains price is high in comparison to the last year
 
0
•••
This is the guy who tried to justify bidding on your own domains at auction.
 
3
•••
.
 
Last edited:
0
•••
While no one can predict the future, we can learn from warnings.

That being said, BTC is in a year long high currently. :giggle: (Not investment advice.)
 
0
•••
0
•••
1
•••
1
•••
Petrodollar War
Screenshot 2023-03-14 182406 afghan war.png

Pending US vs Russian war...... Any good names for this war?
Screenshot 2023-03-14 182608 pending russian war.png

Let's see if history repeats itself
 
0
•••
3
•••
Last edited:
1
•••
Back