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analysis Wholesale and Retail Domain Name Transactions

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A wholesale domain name transaction refers to a domain investor acquisition. For example one investor buying a domain name from another here on NamePros, or an investor acquiring a domain name in an expired domain auction.

A retail transaction is a sale to the business, organization or individual who will be the final user of that domain name. Wholesale prices need to be much lower than retail, in order to allow for holding costs, a profit margin, and the possibility that the acquired domain name will never sell.

Typical sell-through rates indicate that most domain names will not sell to an end user for many years, if ever. Sometimes the domain investor abandons the domain name before it sells, and the domain name changes hands in a wholesale transaction, either before or after expiration.

This article looks at how many wholesale transactions, on average, occur for each retail sale.


The Numbers

The NameBio database includes both wholesale and retail transactions. While venue and price provide indicators of which sales are likely retail, no dividing line will be perfect. In this analysis, I use the simplified model that domain sales at prices of $201 and above are considered retail, and others are categorized wholesale transactions.

Under wholesale transactions, I include sales between $100 to $200 from the public part of the NameBio database, as well as sales under $100 accessible through a NameBio membership plan. I looked at two years of NameBio data, for the period ending April 29, 2020, although all results are expressed in per year values.
  • Across all extensions, there are about 377,000 wholesale transactions per year, compared to about 62,000 retail sales. Note that sales from many venues are not included in the NameBio database, and therefore the real numbers would be substantially larger in both categories.
  • Due to the dominance of .com, the numbers are not much different for .com only. Just over 84% of retail sales are .com while about 85% of the wholesale sales are .com.
  • The ratio of wholesale to retail sales numbers across all extensions averages about 6.1. In other words, on average, for each retail sale, there were about 6.1 wholesale transactions.
  • While by number most transactions are wholesale, by dollar volume, 90% are retail.
  • I looked at how the wholesale to retail ratio varied by domain extension, obtaining the results shown below. The ratio of wholesale to retail transactions is similar in .com and .org at just over 6.
  • The wholesale to retail ratio is about 9 for .net.
  • The ratio of wholesale to retail transactions is much higher in .info at about 30.
  • Taken as a whole, there are fewer wholesale transactions for each retail sale in country code extensions, with an average ratio of about 3.1.
  • In new extensions, the ratio is even lower, with only 1.7 wholesale transactions for each retail sale. That is partly influenced by registry sales. The shorter time since public availability also plays a role.
MainRatioRetail.png


The wholesale to retail sales ratios for the more common general-purpose country code extensions are shown below. The ratios range from about 1 to 15. It should be kept in mind that the statistics are much more limited, and possibly less meaningful.

CountryCodeRatioRetail.png

  • The .me extension has the highest ratio, with slightly more than 15 wholesale transactions for each retail sale. The vast majority of the wholesale transactions are at prices less than $100.
  • The .ai extension is different from any other extension, with almost equal retail and wholesale sales numbers. Almost all of the “wholesale” transactions, about 730 per year, are between $100 to $200, whereas in most extensions the pattern is most wholesale sales at prices less than $100. I think what we are seeing here is that many NameBio-reported sales in .ai are wholesale, and the $200 dividing line is inappropriate for the extension.
  • In a few other extensions, there are probably many retail sales less than the $200 cutoff I assumed.
  • In the .co extension there are about 1540 sales per year at prices less than $100, another 170 between $100 and $200, and nearly 290 retail sales per year.
  • Almost 90% of the wholesale .tv sales are at prices less than $100, while the overall ratio of wholesale to retail is 6.6, not much different than for the legacy extensions.

Keep In Mind

The $200 cutoff is probably inappropriate for some extensions. For example, there are probably more .info and .me retails sales that dip below this cutoff, while many .ai wholesale acquisitions may be above that cutoff.

Due to the venues that report, NameBio is almost certainly more efficient tracking wholesale transactions. Therefore, the actual ratio of wholesale to retail sales would be less than calculated here.

Also, keep in mind that hand registration acquisitions did not enter this analysis. If included as a wholesale transaction, hand registrations would increase the ratio.

The ratios reported here are applicable to the universe of domain names being sold. Your personal ratio can be very different, of course.

I did this largely as an exercise, wondering how often domain names change hands between investors. If you track your own ratio of wholesale acquisitions to retail sales, the ratios presented here can be used for comparison purposes. The ratio of wholesale acquisitions to retail sales could be another number to track in your portfolio.

A high ratio of wholesale to retail sales can be viewed two ways. It might mean that domain investors are abandoning that extension, and putting up more domains at wholesale prices, or simply letting them expire. Alternatively, it could mean that investors see a bright future for the extension, and are making wholesale acquisitions to be well placed for future retails sales.

Liquidity in domain names has received a lot of attention of late. The analysis here supports the idea that some extensions are much more frequently traded between domain investors. What domain investors more readily purchase, it seems, does not perfectly track retail interest.

The Domnomics book by jmcc presents data showing the number of domain names that have been held 2, 3, 4, etc. times by different owners. A small percentage of domain names have been held by ten different domain investors.

Please share your views in the comments section.
  • Are you surprised by these ratios?
  • Do you compute your own ratio of wholesale acquisitions to retail transactions?.
  • Do you think we trade domain names too often, or too seldom?
  • I used $200 as the dividing line. What value would you have used?

Thanks to Michael for the NameBio data I used in researching this article.
 
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The views expressed on this page by users and staff are their own, not those of NamePros.
is everyone who buys a domain in an expired auction, a domain investor?
Sorry but I honestly don't follow what you mean by me not answering or being contradictory. To repeat the answer I gave before to this question (first line only to highlight what answer is):

They might be buying at wholesale prices, or not, but if they are buying the domain name to build some business on, and have no intention to try to resell the domain name, they are not a domain investor, as I view it.

Just because most sales at a venue are wholesale, or most are retail, does not mean they all are. An expired auction is an expired auction. It can have a mix of wholesale and retail buyers. Probably vast majority are wholesale buyers. I see nothing contradictory.

Sorry, I am trying to address your question, but after reading and rereading the questions and answers it seems clear and consistent to me.

Bob
 
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Very interesting share, thank you.
 
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I recently found a bunch of my NetSol receipts from my ‘98-‘02 ish regs, it was $50 and 2 years, then it went down to $35 and 2 years.
I forgot it was NetSol originally - Verisign came a bit later. I do remember the long faxed receipts.
 
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Thanks Bob for that great article. this was a need to read blog. Thank you.
 
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@Bob Hawkes Thanks for yet another insightful industry analysis. For my educational benefit, how does Namebio track sales? I imagine transactions executed directly through PayPal and other similar payment facilities are not recorded. What percentage of all the domain transactions do you estimate that to be?
 
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Very interesting, Thank you so much
 
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Can we say that in other words, since .Info is sold many many times before it founds an end user.. does it mean that .info is a bad investment for a reseller?
Best regards
 
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For my educational benefit, how does Namebio track sales? I imagine transactions executed directly through PayPal and other similar payment facilities are not recorded. What percentage of all the domain transactions do you estimate that to be?
NameBio can only report sales that are reported to them or that they are able to access through public feeds, as in some of the auction results. They have the GoDaddy, NameJet, ParkIO, Catched, AI registry and Dynadot auction results among others, the Sedo reports of sales (but generally Sedo only report sales above $2000, and only if optional privacy was not paid for by buyer, or seller), sales from some of the big operations like NameBuy (but it seems those just above a certain price level). A very few of the new extension registries report sales (e.g. global and some of the club). Other venues, such as Uniregistry and DomainMarket report only a small portion, generally the upper end, of their sales. Generally sales made at DAN, Afternic and Efty sites are not reported, unless the buyer or seller report them individually. Anyone is encouraged to individually report sales to NameBio, and can do so by sending verification along with the basic data of name, date, price and seller. Michael wrote a post on NamePros here (but some time ago) indicating what they were accessing.

Now to the part what percentage they have. By not including Afternic, DAN and Sedo less than $2000 they are missing a lot of the retail market. It is almost purely a guess, but just based on how many names are there, it seems to me that maybe order of 10% or even less of retail sales (may depend a bit on definition of retail sales). In particular, they sample the upper end of the retail better than the $200 to $2000 end.

On wholesale, I think with the auctions they cover it might be argued that they have maybe 50% of wholesale sales. Obviously none of the sales on NamePros, unless individually reported are in, nor other private ones between domain investors. Nor things like the new wholesale domain exchange sites. Still having GoDaddy, NameJet, Dynadot, ParkIO, etc. catches a lot.

Thanks for the very good questions, which get at the heart of, in my opinion, the uncertainty in the ratios presented. Sorry I took so long to answer.

Bob

ps Add: When I estimated they have 50%+ of wholesale I was meaning when include their sales <$100 too, available via membership plan.
 
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Can we say that in other words, since .Info is sold many many times before it founds an end user.. does it mean that .info is a bad investment for a reseller?
Best regards
It might be interpreted that way, but really each name is different. I am sure there are many .info that are good investments. It depends on the name and the price it is obtained at.

Note that a high ratio does not necessarily mean a bad investment. If your business model was mainly to obtain names at discount to real worth, and sell them to other investors, a high ratio might be good actually.

Also, the simple model used here to divide retail and wholesale sales probably does not work well across extensions (if at all :xf.wink:). I thought it was interesting as a numerical exercise, but I would not read too much into it. I mainly did it just to demonstrate that on average there are many times more wholesale transactions than wholesale. I think that is true no matter how you do the numbers, and if you took a much higher dividing line, e.g. a prominent domain figure proposed outside of NamePros using $1500, that ratio would be much higher.

If considering .info as an extension, to get back to your question, it is also good to look at how the volumes have changed in recent years and the average price trends. Also look at real world use trends. Finally, and perhaps most important, use NameBio to look at what is selling in the past couple of years in the extension (you can see that list here). I think .info has a place still, but as in most things research and choose carefully which to hold.

Thanks for your question, and best wishes in your investing.

Bob
 
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Too late to edit this from my comment just above, but I meant to say many times more wholesale transactions than retail, of course
demonstrate that on average there are many times more wholesale transactions than wholesale. I think that is true no matter how you do the numbers
 
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Reseller wholesale retail or , wholesale reseller retail?
 
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Regarding the price point set at $200 for the Retail/Wholesale split...
I'd really like to see an analysis of any patterns that stand out over time which might suggest where that price point could be.
...maybe it'll come to me in a dream.
Well I had THAT dream :)

Don't want to bore everyone with a code explanation so I'll work on it and present my findings when I'm done okay?

Basically, I saw in my dream the key to a possible pattern. I'll need to write a script that filters the data to see if the pattern exists.
 
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Thanks for the great article
 
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I would really appreciate people providing their thoughts on the following. Do you think overall we tend to give up too soon on names we hold, or do we hold on long after we should have let names go?

Related to that, how do you decide which to keep? Obviously meaningful offers is one measure. Or lacking that, inquiries or unreasonably low offers might mean something. Or even simply significant traffic to name, or possibly any parking revenue if you park.
Bob

That is a difficult question to answer re " we " although I'll answer it re " me ".

When I acquire a .com name for the most part I multiply the presumptive annual renewal fee by 10.

Why x10?

Because if I acquire a name I plan to " hold on " for a minimum of 5 years and most likely 10 years waiting for that elusive yet effusive buyer to find the name and hit BIN and send along their payment.

I am a realist about the length of time it takes to find the buyer and like-wise the cost associated with the hold time it takes to find that buyer.

So an " $8.99 " initial domain cost in my mind means I am committing at least $45.00/5 years or more likely, $90.00/10 years to the name.

So to me that is the right length of time to " hold 'em" as have had buyers arrive after 5 year holds, after ten year holds and, after a 16 year hold/renewal time period.

Have dropped some names after 10 year, hearing the swirling sound of cash down the proverbial drain, as there was absolutely no play on the name for a couple of consecutive years.

Will add that I speculated a few times on some " new exts ", the wrong new ones apparently, and after examining / viewing overall reported ext. sales and the escalated renewal fees - kept those beauties on a short leash and dropped 'em after a couple/three years of too much $ output and no incoming action.

Back to my .com domains,I decide to keep 'em if I believe they generate a reasonable amount of type-in-traffic per annum for their respective likely target market ( intuition - not science) - or - if a name is ever occasionally available for " make offer " I receive an occasional inquiry or offer.

AND, I also " hang onto " a name I can use as a point or re-direct to one of our websites to justify its' renewal and hold time cost.

IMO anybody acquiring a name should allow at least a 2-3 year minimum, absolute minimum hold time to see if the name has potential buyer play in the vast fragmented sea of potential buyers.
 
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