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Reload this Page LLLL.com's plummeting in value?

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Old 09-18-2008, 10:23 PM THREAD STARTER               #1 (permalink)
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LLLL.com's plummeting in value?


Is it just my imagination or are these no longer something to hold. I actually sold most of my quality LLLL.com for $xxx and a few crappers for $60-$80.

I saw just a couple months ago it seemed the minimal was $40-$50 but now it's like $20-$25 if that even.

I believe these "sellouts" aren't going to be earners anymore. CCC.net's have gone nowhere and now LLLL.com's are faultering. Quality is one again winning over quality. Doesn't matter how many LLLL.com's are sold out because fqzx.com is still low quality no matter how you look at it.

Discuss.
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Old 09-18-2008, 10:34 PM   #2 (permalink)
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It's been $20-$25 minimum for a few months.
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Old 09-18-2008, 10:48 PM   #3 (permalink)
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I think that right now a lot of people are looking at renewals coming up and want to unload them.

Right now there is an abundance of supply that has hit the market, so it's easy to snag them for cheap prices.
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Old 09-18-2008, 11:21 PM   #4 (permalink)
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It's interesting to see as I have not kept up with the price much lately. If these are failing then it's not a great sign for other LLLL ones like .net & .info etc or LL-L.com etc... Maybe with the stock market crash we will see more speculators with cash soon to pick the market up again. I'm guessing it is a lot to do with over supply, bad economy & also the way new extensions will be on offer soon as announced by ICann a few months ago...
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Old 09-19-2008, 12:15 AM   #5 (permalink)
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I think it's not good for LLLL nets infos etc.
but .com remains .com even in recession, I predict that the prices will go up in 2009.
might fall to regfee for the worst ones before that though
but in that case we have several members here who promised last year to buy out every available LLLL.com this fall/winter.
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Old 09-19-2008, 12:38 AM   #6 (permalink)
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it is not minimum 20 anymore
I asked like 2-5 days ago that it is actually around 15 by now for bulk buy.
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Old 09-19-2008, 12:39 AM   #7 (permalink)
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I'm going to forward this thread to Reece by PM to see if he can comment on what he thinks.

If there's someone who is an expert on short domains, it would be NamePros' very own Reece!
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Old 09-19-2008, 12:44 AM   #8 (permalink)
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I say that until LLLL.com are 100% backordered, the value in the lower value domains is volatile. This trend appears same for any type of bought out domain. When CCC.com became 100% backordered, it was very exciting but they hovered between $20 and $50 for quite a while before then. There was some excitement in January/February as it looked like there was a large enough demand to reach this stage but it didn't happen.

There is still a lot of domainers who invested into these names with the intension of a quick flip who are liquidating their domains and the long term investors have little motivation to backorder the low quality domains when you can get them cheaper on the reseller market.
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/short-domain-discussion/515596-llll-coms-plummeting-in-value.html

That said, I was never a big fan of domains like fqzx.com. I much prefer a nice sounding LLLLL.com.
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Old 09-19-2008, 01:53 AM   #9 (permalink)
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I have been wondering where Reece is. 4letternoob.com is a holding page.

The world economy is in recession. All domains will continue to fall in price until the economy finds bottom. The new federal buy-up of junk mortgage loans may do it, or there could be a long while yet to go. No way to tell from here. I think LLLL.coms will do very well, compared to the over all domain market, once the recession is over. Until then there are few with money to buy. I agree there are still short-timers in the market, more so than more mature sectors.
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Old 09-19-2008, 02:07 AM   #10 (permalink)
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A post by Reece back in June entitled "Portrait of a Crashing LLLL.com Market":
http://bqb.com/4letternoob/index.php...ashing-market/
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Old 09-19-2008, 02:25 AM   #11 (permalink)
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Completely agree.

I know many of us have been saying for many months now that renewal time would be "interesting".

The low end LLLL.com market is still saturated with flippers who are imho largely to blame for both the rapid rise and rapid decline. Many LLLL.com investors have been saying from the start that the low end market was a long term play.. I really can't see it any other way at present and I doubt things will get better before they get worse.

The very high end LLLL.com market seems to be doing just fine, with CVCVs leading the way. This would seem to defy any argument which places blame for what's happened largely on the economy.

The economy certainly isn't helping, however I think the majority of the blame lies on speculators who quite simply, over-speculated.

For a domainer interested in entering this market, the next couple months present an interesting opportunity for them to observe and/or capitalize on what happens next.
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596

Freshly renewed LLLL.coms are being had for as little as $15 at present, placing the value of an LLLL.com expiring in the Sep-Nov 08 timeframe at about $8. At that price point, flippers are at best breaking even (and that's assuming they got in pre-buyout which most didn't).

What these flippers decide to do will imho largely decide how these renewals play out. Some of the flippers who got into LLLL.coms in the Jan-March 08 period have gotten burnt pretty bad already and it'll be interesting to see how much more they can take.

Originally Posted by VURG
I say that until LLLL.com are 100% backordered, the value in the lower value domains is volatile. This trend appears same for any type of bought out domain. When CCC.com became 100% backordered, it was very exciting but they hovered between $20 and $50 for quite a while before then. There was some excitement in January/February as it looked like there was a large enough demand to reach this stage but it didn't happen.

There is still a lot of domainers who invested into these names with the intension of a quick flip who are liquidating their domains and the long term investors have little motivation to backorder the low quality domains when you can get them cheaper on the reseller market.

That said, I was never a big fan of domains like fqzx.com. I much prefer a nice sounding LLLLL.com.
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Old 09-19-2008, 02:45 AM   #12 (permalink)
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LLLL owners caught in a poor economy


Shock and awe is hitting the world now as people lift their heads out of the sand and see how the commies who run this government is now -ucking up our lifestyles and our freedoms.

Lower priced LLLL are owned mostly by domainers on a lower budget. Its those domainers who are feeling the downturn. When money is tight due to the inflation we have been getting I can understand the renew or sell cheap theory.

To call this a recession is overstating the economy.

This is a revelation moment where the curtain has been lifted and we can see the lies and ignorance of our elected officials. This bunch of morons out did any party before them and sold out capitialism to socialism. We will have a much longer downturn then a normal recession. The massive paper dollars to fund this nationalization for this gang of looters will guarantee massive inflation.
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596

If the economy continues to implode will LLLL go up? Probably, after 2010.
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Old 09-19-2008, 03:16 AM   #13 (permalink)
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I'll still be a buyer of anything semi-premium or better at drop time.

The wealthy make their wealth during economic downturn.
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Old 09-19-2008, 03:58 AM   #14 (permalink)
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456976 LLLL out there, certainly xyzq won’t help to raise their value... supply and demand rules!
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Old 09-19-2008, 04:12 AM   #15 (permalink)
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As easy as it is, good LLLL.COM will raise in the value, bad ones lost their value.
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Old 09-19-2008, 05:16 AM   #16 (permalink)
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IMO LLLL.com's were always overvalued, pumped up by domainers eager for the next LLL.com, which may never materialize. The number of potential endusers with four word names/products is simply geometrically less than those with three. Your prospects go down exponentially by adding in the fourth letter abbreviation. And it's hard for me to ever see an enduser market in XZQQ.com.

The overvalued prices were driven by wishful thinking on the part of domainers who didn't get in early enough to get useful letters, imo.

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Old 09-19-2008, 08:07 AM   #17 (permalink)
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I think LLLL.com's this year have been the "primary" reseller focus this past year. I think the economy taking tumbles is a huge factor on people spending money in this sector. The truth is, its a risky investment. Early on, the returns were fantastic - better then just about anything out there.
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596

However, the realization is, when the market is in a slump, its clear that speculation was driving prices (especially on the lower end spectrum). Everyone is affected, but the higher quality your holdings, the less dip your seeing rihgt now.

Many of the bigger players warned people this was going to happen. I know I talked to a few people about it early on.

Since the economy is clearly in recession, does that mean that there are less internet users? Nope. It just means consumers are cautious about spending money. This means advertisers need to be smarter and attract more visitors just to maintain their current/past sales volumes.

One thing I love about the internet. You need more sales, buy more traffic.
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Old 09-19-2008, 12:16 PM   #18 (permalink)
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I just think the problem is that people look at LLLL.coms like some kind of get rich quick investment, now that they're seeing it isnt many are in panic. Everyone just needs to look at LLLL names for what they are, a solid investment thats sure to outperform traditional ones. Everyone just needs to sit tight and start thinking more long term. Things are going to get better, we just need to ride this downturn out.
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Old 09-19-2008, 02:02 PM   #19 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by labrocca
I believe these "sellouts" aren't going to be earners anymore. CCC.net's have gone nowhere and now LLLL.com's are faultering. Quality is one again winning over quality. Doesn't matter how many LLLL.com's are sold out because fqzx.com is still low quality no matter how you look at it.
I've been saying that for two years and they said I was crazy.
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596

I've never been a huge believer in LLLL .coms, and the only reason I ever bought any was to sell back to domainers that thought they were the next big thing. Sometimes, for people like me, hype is a good thing.

At the end of the day, the only true valuable domains are the ones that can be sold to end users. "VQBZ.COM" is not something an end user will use. In today's Internet, even though a company might use an acronym as their name (which LLLL .coms are commonly used for -- obscure acronyms) an acronym URL isn't the best way to go. Many times, call-to-action names are the way to go to get people to remember your website. For example, if I own a product called "Steve's Zany Skin 'Juvenator" I'm not going to use the domain szsj.com; instead, I'll use something like "GoodbyeDrySkin.com."
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Old 09-19-2008, 07:38 PM   #20 (permalink)
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luckily i manage to sell some in feb price,..n manage to stock in more now some better quality LLLL.coms at much cheaper price.

from the market i am seeing LLLL.com is going for about $15 or so now.. can easily can one at that price esp the crappy ones..the last few % of last year available LLLL.com before buyout..i guess for them its no loss since its 100% profit for them..

even quads premium are going for 160-220 ish price nowadays..

i think its a very bad time to sell these nowadays..better hold a few years more n we will be able to see the true value in them...by then more n more LLLL.com will be in end users hands or developed...
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Old 09-19-2008, 07:43 PM   #21 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Steve
I've been saying that for two years and they said I was crazy.

I've never been a huge believer in LLLL .coms, and the only reason I ever bought any was to sell back to domainers that thought they were the next big thing. Sometimes, for people like me, hype is a good thing.

At the end of the day, the only true valuable domains are the ones that can be sold to end users. "VQBZ.COM" is not something an end user will use. In today's Internet, even though a company might use an acronym as their name (which LLLL .coms are commonly used for -- obscure acronyms) an acronym URL isn't the best way to go. Many times, call-to-action names are the way to go to get people to remember your website. For example, if I own a product called "Steve's Zany Skin 'Juvenator" I'm not going to use the domain szsj.com; instead, I'll use something like "GoodbyeDrySkin.com."
Very true Steve, very good post!
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Old 09-19-2008, 09:14 PM   #22 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Steve
I've been saying that for two years and they said I was crazy.
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596

I've never been a huge believer in LLLL .coms, and the only reason I ever bought any was to sell back to domainers that thought they were the next big thing. Sometimes, for people like me, hype is a good thing.

At the end of the day, the only true valuable domains are the ones that can be sold to end users. "VQBZ.COM" is not something an end user will use. In today's Internet, even though a company might use an acronym as their name (which LLLL .coms are commonly used for -- obscure acronyms) an acronym URL isn't the best way to go. Many times, call-to-action names are the way to go to get people to remember your website. For example, if I own a product called "Steve's Zany Skin 'Juvenator" I'm not going to use the domain szsj.com; instead, I'll use something like "GoodbyeDrySkin.com."
Hmmmm....it's hard to believe your a moderator in the short domain forum. Instead it sounds like your spamming the forum touting the benefits of long domains. It also seems as if your taking advantage of people when you state things like "hype is a good thing for people like me" and "I said this was crazy". I couldn't imagine selling something that I didn't believe in. I wouldn't be able to sleep good at night. I spend lots of time hand registering only short domains that I would keep, figuring that if I liked them, perhaps someone else might as well.
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596

You may feel that people whom believe in LLLL.coms are crazy, however, there are people paying hundreds of thousands for short domains. You may feel that "goodbyedryskin.com is gold, however, for some of us domainers, we'd have a very hard time selling something like that as the domain is so limiting. GBDS.com has hundreds of potential endusers. Further, the fact that it is a rare LLLL.com also makes it easier to sell. With GBD.com at 12,000 GBDS.com at $200 looks great.

I think that a lot of people are in shock at how well the short domains are doing and still lashing out. Except for a few with unpopular letters that have only doubled in price in a year, many domains that were registered in 2004 are in the hundreds to thousand range already.

Face it LL.coms are $90,000 and up. LLL.coms are $7,000 and up. L-L.coms are $2,000 and up, CCC.coms are $200 and up. Why? Because they are short and rare.

In closing, moderators rediculing people for investing in these in the short domain forum and stating things like "I told you so", make me dislike posting on Namepros. I applied to be a Moderator once, however, I was turned down. Evidently you were chosen because your a fair and impartial person and thus I hope you won't continue blasting these to suit your own agenda. Again, I'm not blasting you for your opinions, I just think that a moderator in any forum, say the web design forum, should not state things like "anyone who does web designing is wasting their time and money."

Edit: I just noticed that your not a moderator, but Namepros staff. Guess I'll probably be banned now.
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Old 09-19-2008, 09:49 PM   #23 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Reece
I know many of us have been saying for many months now that renewal time would be "interesting".

The low end LLLL.com market is still saturated with flippers who are imho largely to blame for both the rapid rise and rapid decline. Many LLLL.com investors have been saying from the start that the low end market was a long term play.. I really can't see it any other way at present and I doubt things will get better before they get worse.
If I remember correctly you were one of the flippers who dump I believed about 1,000 of them. Maybe I'm mistaken.

Quote:
The very high end LLLL.com market seems to be doing just fine, with CVCVs leading the way. This would seem to defy any argument which places blame for what's happened largely on the economy.
Oh I see.
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596

Let me guess..these are what you have in portfolio now right?


This is just an observation of course.
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Old 09-20-2008, 04:04 AM   #24 (permalink)
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That's correct, I dumped 1800+ pre-buyout LLLL.coms and a few hundred I picked up cheap shortly after buyout between late December 07 and January-March 08. I've said from the start (even at buyout) that I believed lower quality LLLL.coms were a long term play and didn't initially get into the LLLL.com market planning to flip. Quite the contrary, I was at peace on November 2nd 2008 knowing I'd likely be paying steep renewal fees annually to renew my portfolio for years to come.

When people are happily paying you $35-$55 for LLLL.coms you picked up for $7 only a few months earlier, anyone not overshadowed with greed would take the money and run. People pay hedge fund managers 2 and 20 (sometimes more) and most would consider themselves lucky to get an annual return 1/20th of what I got in the LLLL.com market.

I have nothing against people investing in this market, I only advise that caution be exercised, as I've advised for several months now when investing in this market. Purchasing low end LLLL.coms for quick flips (at present) is pretty much like trying to corner the options market by picking your calls at the flip of a coin. "Heads" says the LLLL.com buyout doesn't hold, "Tails" says the LLLL.com buyout does hold but prices at best stagnate and at worst decline further as supply continues to outstrip demand.

Anyone want to flip a coin on that? Those are your options for the next couple months. That's calling it as it is...

Want to level the playing field? Invest in an LLLL.com where some poor sap has already paid next year's renewal for you. At least that way you'll have another whole year to watch what happens next without sinking more money into your investment. That's the only way I'd consider investing in this market... Flippers had their chance (January, February, March) and most seem to have missed the LLLL.com boat. There won't be another one of that magnitude in such a short period of time, that much is certain. The only intelligent move to make in the low end LLLL.com market at present is a long term move.


Originally Posted by xman
If I remember correctly you were one of the flippers who dump I believed about 1,000 of them. Maybe I'm mistaken.

????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596
Originally Posted by xman
Oh I see.

Let me guess..these are what you have in portfolio now right?


This is just an observation of course.
I have very little invested in domain names at present (maybe 20k - maybe not even that). Of this, you can see the large majority of the remaining LLLL.coms I have left (first link in my sig).

As for me having any "high quality LLLL.com bias", I have but 1 CVCV myself, a handful of triple repeats remaining (all listed in sig), a couple AABB and that's it. I also keep approximately 50 low quality LLLL.coms at most times and continue to buy + sell them to test market liquidity and arrive at my own conclusions about where the market is heading.

Many people on this board have echoed the same statements presented in this post for many months now but it sadly appears to always fall on deaf ears.

Closing thoughts:

Whatever happens, happens. It's not so much about "what happens" but rather about what position you're in when "what happens", happens.
Last edited by Reece; 09-20-2008 at 04:28 AM.
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Old 09-20-2008, 05:47 AM   #25 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by 4LTR.org
Face it LL.coms are $90,000 and up. LLL.coms are $7,000 and up. L-L.coms are $2,000 and up, CCC.coms are $200 and up. Why? Because they are short and rare.
I hope you are not comparing LLL.com with 4L.com.
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=515596
Many people have jumped in on the LLLL bandwagon under the (flawed) assumption that they would obey the same dynamics. It's not just about scarcity.
Truth is, the LLL (and LL) are a different breed of animals. LLL are great for acronyms but the LLLL ?? Tougher game IMHO. A usual the better combos like CVCV continue to do well but most LLLL do not fall in that category.

The bottom line is this: there is little demand if any for crappy short names. Sure, one mediocre domain could sell here and there but the liquidity of that particular market probably isn't too great as a whole.
Besides, transactions between domainers provide no indication as to the health of the (real) end user market.

Dnsaleprice.com data:
Code:
1	DKVT.com	60	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
2	IUZO.com	181	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
3	IELW.com	130	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
4	YMix.com	224	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
5	QEKI.com	311	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
6	ZIOE.com	310	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
7	ICCQ.com	1,848	Sep-08	Sedo 
8	CCZM.com	80	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
9	BITY.com	2,702	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
10	EZXB.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
11	YILV.com	981	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
12	PUZR.com	500	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
13	AGGR.com	400	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
14	MZBT.com	110	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
15	QTom.com	210	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
16	Aius.com	1,050	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
17	IIPR.com	1,500	Sep-08	TDNam 
18	Frug.com	1,050	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
19	KQTQ.com	89	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
20	TTUV.com	119	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
21	DGFY.com	80	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
22	MMQV.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
23	HTTH.com	904	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
24	CIDK.com	160	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
25	YHAR.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
26	STWI.com	350	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
27	DUKF.com	104	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
28	DUTM.com	163	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
29	IKDU.com	119	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
30	UHPF.com	60	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
31	UHGP.com	60	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
32	ZOZO.com	8,900	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
33	GRMF.com	229	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
34	MTUF.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
35	EDIB.com	750	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
36	BUTJ.com	80	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
37	Debi.com	5,000	Sep-08	Moniker/Internext
38	CUNI.com	2,951	Sep-08	NameJet
39	PhpS.com	2,301	Sep-08	NameJet
40	Tula.com	6,399	Sep-08	NameJet
41	IKIB.com	341	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
42	ZUWO.com	1,482	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
43	VFMM.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
44	IUUW.com	60	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
45	HZVR.com	165	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
46	MZUS.com	1,500	Sep-08	Sedo 
47	MGZS.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
48	PWIR.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
49	IUIB.com	360	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
50	UIFR.com	160	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
51	TOTC.com	5,216	Sep-08	Sedo 
52	KAGB.com	100	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
53	PEYV.com	60	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
54	SWJE.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
55	QIEB.com	185	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
56	YVHO.com	75	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
57	UFIZ.com	520	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
58	UUUN.com	560	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
59	ONXE.com	326	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
60	WOBU.com	1,854	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
61	UGHB.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
62	UEHP.com	70	Sep-08	Sedo Auction
63	FoxO.com	3,201	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
64	GSTS.com	4,000	Aug-08	AfternicDLS
65	Inny.com	6,000	Aug-08	AfternicDLS
66	IDGO.com	3,800	Aug-08	DotWeekly
67	Craw.com	3,300	Aug-08	NameJet
68	ENew.com	3,552	Aug-08	NameJet
69	Fion.com	8,000	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
70	DFXA.com	85	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
71	MZUC.com	300	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
72	UZFZ.com	90	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
73	XOIW.com	100	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
74	BGAU.com	70	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
75	TTKY.com	70	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
76	ZEZU.com	1,452	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
77	TUJE.com	520	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
78	Slow.com	42,124	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
79	JoJo.com	25,500	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
80	UKQB.com	220	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
81	EMVV.com	70	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
82	GBEK.com	222	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
83	LPZO.com	60	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
84	RRVY.com	70	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
85	HLYE.com	60	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
86	BNBP.com	361	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
87	OGIQ.com	141	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
88	AQOK.com	156	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
89	YUPS.com	2,194	Aug-08	Sedo 
90	BBGN.com	210	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
91	FIKU.com	981	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
92	ZERU.com	830	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
93	ENBD.com	1,500	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
94	TEWU.com	1,630	Aug-08	Sedo Auction
95	Ordo.com	3,500	Aug-08	AfternicDLS
96	Piii.com	2,000	Aug-08	AfternicDLS
97	YOLU.com	3,288	Aug-08	AfternicDLS
98	KUYI.com	2,800	Aug-08	NameJet
99	CAYA.com	4,000	Aug-08	AfternicDLS
100	SHCB.com	2,700	Aug-08	Sedo
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