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Old 12-20-2007, 11:10 AM   · #26
Rubber Duck
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Originally Posted by gooster
And judging from the graph listed above, we can expect this traffic to increase by 400% or so over the next year.



You What you are actually looking at is the leading edge of an S curve. That curve will climb steeply and power up nearly vertically for a while before tailing off. It is not easy to estimate how high this bird will fly but it will be a hell of lot more than 4x. I would think 1000x would be a better estimate!


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Old 12-28-2007, 02:52 PM   · #27
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Smile It's always good to be an optimist :-)

Originally Posted by Rubber Duck
You What you are actually looking at is the leading edge of an S curve. That curve will climb steeply and power up nearly vertically for a while before tailing off. It is not easy to estimate how high this bird will fly but it will be a hell of lot more than 4x. I would think 1000x would be a better estimate!


Well my statistical observations give me about 20% increase - it's pageviews a month for Cyrillic IDNs. It doesn't have to be all the time, but should be about 10x increase a year - this is just an extrapolation :-)

I wish Rubber Duck's number be true :-)
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Old 12-28-2007, 03:17 PM   · #28
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10x per year, but at what point does it level off?

Also, I think this 10x figure may assume steady technology without breakthroughs. IDN-compatible browsers and awareness will cause a sharp increase (hence, the S-curve) and growth in internet penetration will accelerate that curve. At some point, it will level off as internet penetration growth stagnates and IDN-awareness becomes commonplace.

I won't say 100x or 1000x. I will say that I have no idea. But, I do believe that it will jump sharply in 2008 and 2009.

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Old 12-30-2007, 01:02 AM   · #29
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I love IDNs more than you do.
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Old 01-10-2008, 08:10 AM   · #30
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yes,i love IDNs too

go IDNs..

romeo

éstock.com
holiday.net
porntubé.com
eshopping.com
travèl.com
mortgagè.com
shé.com
singlé.com
américa.com
èuro.com
éurope.com
businéss.com
vidéo.com
crédit.com
sité.com
onliné.com
héalth.com
domainnamé.com
inet.com
visacard.com
credìtcards.com
tai.com
medical.com
mobìlphone.com
remix.com
isèx.com
media.com
barga�*n.com
pokèr.com
sèarch.com
gamè.com
iran.com
chinesé.com
salè.com
coìn.com
storè.com
domainname.com
canadìan.com
homè.com
president.com
unitedstates.com
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Old 01-10-2008, 08:32 AM   · #31
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Originally Posted by romeo33
yes,i love IDNs too

go IDNs..

romeo

éstock.com
...
president.com
unitedstates.com



the majority are uncommon IDNs
but the last 2 aren't IDNs
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Old 01-10-2008, 01:36 PM   · #32
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Originally Posted by davnin
the majority are uncommon IDNs
but the last 2 aren't IDNs



They are when they are mixed script domains that are only good for phishing.
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