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| | THREAD STARTER #101 (permalink) |
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | I've released another major update today. I've tried to assess the above mentioned problem and it looks like the estimates are more realistic now. The main new feature is the PPC (pay-per-click) Advertising score. EstiBot determines the income potential from ppc advertising for each domain, and this is now considered in the valuation. I've also done a lot of other tweaking in the algo. Plus I've added plural detection accuracy, as well as other linguistic stuff. Also about 5 more factors are considered in the domain analysis since last update. There's always more stuff to consider. I expect to be in BETA for another couple of months before going out of beta and then to making only scheduled updates. ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/for-sale-advertising-board/332276-pleased-present-public-beta-automatic-appraisals.html Thanks! Josh
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| | #102 (permalink) |
| NamePros Regular Join Date: Jun 2007 Location: Coordinates - 28.61, 77.23
Posts: 517
![]() | Hey Josh! Good news is the tool should be far more effective. Bad news is most of my domains have reduced drastically in the appraisals. Check this domain out: CheapestFlight.in Now that's not the best domain, but in terms of a keyword combination I know for a fact that "cheapest flight to newyork" OR "cheapest flight LA new york" is big on search. ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276 Secondly, the PPC ads are somewhat outside the 768x1024 range on mozilla atleast! Thirdly, it would be a good idea to make a "knowledgebase" of the parameters. Things like the priority in domains tv versus mobi versus us versus in... Fourthly, some strong disclaimers needed Edit: Check this out
Last edited by barcode; 07-04-2007 at 11:01 PM.
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| | THREAD STARTER #103 (permalink) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | barcode- thanks for your feedback, much appreciated
Recent .in sales (June) from http://namebio.com fos.in $110 2007-06-27 Sedo naked.in $650 2007-06-26 Sedo killer.in $120 2007-06-16 Sedo honda.in $545 2007-06-15 Sedo get.in $2,328 2007-06-14 Sedo fir.in $95 2007-06-05 Sedo dry.in $100 2007-06-05 Sedo ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276 jdo.in $4 2007-06-02 Afternic Bazaar rbe.in $4 2007-06-02 Afternic Bazaar bankrate.in $200 2007-06-02
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276
Josh
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| | THREAD STARTER #104 (permalink) | ||||||||
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | I fixed the plural detection thingy, at least for the plurals ending in -ies. Thanks for the heads up. Here's a response to another thread in the appraisals section:
I agree with this, and I thought about this long and hard when I started programming EstiBot. The key thing is, a domain may have significant potential value. Many domains that have been appraised at Reg Fee have later been sold for a good sum of money. Also, domains that sell for $100 today may be worth $1,000 tomorrow. In other words, a domain name that has not been sold and has never received offers is worth zero to Reg Fee. But if and when that same domain name gets sold, its value rises sharply. How, then, to estimate the potential value of a domain name that has never been sold? When I programmed EstiBot, my solution was to have EstiBot assume that the name is sold - only then can it start estimating the potential value of the name. The idea is that EstiBot takes the role of a very motivated buyer, and then EstiBot tells you what it would be willing to pay for your domain name (EstiBot also assumes it has wads of cash to spend). This, then, inevitably leads to many domainers getting $100-$1,000 or so valuations for many domains in their .com portfolio - in the words of the above poster, they'd be doing pretty well if EstiBot was the buyer. But the valuations are not necessarily exaggerated - often the problem is to find the motivated buyer. This takes time, contacts and marketing skills. DomainBoy says it spot on: EstiBot is meant to give you a rough idea of the value as well as some relevant keyword data to build your own valuation of your domain name. It does make mistakes, so the key thing is to use your own common sense to put the EstiBot valuation in the right context. ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276 If EstiBot gives you a high valuation and you think it's too good to be true, then it probably is just that, too good to be true. But if EstiBot gives you a high value and you feel that it might be true if you knew how to unleash the potential in the domain name, then it probably is true. One guideline I should give...if Estibot does give you a surprisingly high value, it should definitely be worth a closer look..the domain may have some inherent value that you might not have noticed before. This has happened to me many times during my testing of the algorithm. I punch in some name, then get what I think is a way-too-high valuation, but then I check the previous sales database and sure enough, the domain had been sold at that high value. ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276 As domainers know, it's about having a good sounding name, or a solid keyword name, then finding the buyer. I have a feeling that another domain gold rush is coming - it looks like the market is picking up, domain type-in traffic is picking up, and businesses are finally starting to grasp the importance of owning the right domains. Here are some results from my latest test. The latest sales from NameBio as compared to EstiBot valuations: winningideas.com estibot:1,100 namebio:3,000 naughtytees.com 414 350 mobilemarketer 644 3,300 oneattorney.com 192 500 regarder.tv 4,400 11,438 a1-credit.com 339 293 interpret.com 30,000 17,789 cardlovers.com 980 600 onlineparalegal.com 5,000 500 bestedge.com 1,065 850 earthweaver.com 70 1,350 fotorescue.com 170 800 spinrock.com 309 3,250 Cheers! Josh
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| | THREAD STARTER #106 (permalink) |
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | Absolutely Sashas, it's at this point optimized for .com - I feel I have made significant progress with .net, .org., .info, .biz, .us.... but ccTLDs are tough because there is not enough sales data for a reliable statistical analysis. As more sales occur, I will be able to make EstiBot better with ccTLDs, too. At this point ccTLDs are unreliable because of the lack of data to analyze.
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| | #107 (permalink) |
| New Member Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 9
![]() | Hey Josh, thanks for the explanation Could you please give a bit of insight how come Estibot is estimating Offlined.com at 620$? I have a tough time understanding this as I didn't notice any significant variable for it.... Also I found it did miss the mark on InsiderFreebies.com which just when on Sedo at 2300$ - though I wonder how somebody will value it thismuch really as I don't see much monetization in this name? |
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| | #108 (permalink) |
| Senior Member ![]() Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 1,471
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | Did you get the report I sent in about hyphenated domains?
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| | THREAD STARTER #109 (permalink) |
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | THanks guys. I've been on a domaining-detox holiday with no Internet (the first few days were hellish, then the shaking started abating slowly...) so I haven't checked here lately. I'll look into this stuff now.
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| | #110 (permalink) |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Jaipur, India
Posts: 3,119
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | One more thing. I have Blonde-Model.com, and estibot gives me an appraisal of 11k (which is waaay too much. The best of end users will give me 2k for it) On the other hand, BlondeModel.com is valued at 5k the hyphenated names cannot be worth more than the non hyphenated ones...just wanted to bring this to your notice. But I'm still a huge fan of estibot. I run all the names I register through it. |
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| | THREAD STARTER #111 (permalink) |
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | Hi sashas thanks! I believe the hyphen domains error is fixed now. A typing error had sneaked into the 2,000-line algorithm resulting in an overvaluation of dotcom hyphenated domains ![]() Josh
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| | #112 (permalink) |
| NamePros Regular Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 901
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | Thanks Josh for a good tool that we can use. Indeed i use this tool to sell and buy some domains. I check first what the value is of the domain and then i can choose for what price i'm gonna sell or buy a domain. Maybe some small remarks: - is it possible when i check the domain 2 times that the value is different? - What ere you gonna do when the beta is over, does it still remaines free and public? Regards
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| | #113 (permalink) |
| NamePros Member Join Date: May 2006 Location: Indonesia
Posts: 160
![]() ![]() | Hi Josh I just know that you are the owner of estibot. I tried to appraise some names but I am not sure to judge the appraisal result as real valuation of my domain. But it helps to make a prediction about domain value. once again thanks for your free software... |
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| | THREAD STARTER #114 (permalink) | ||||
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
-I'm going to keep this tool free for all domainers to use. I hope it can pay for its server costs. I'll keep adding more features as I go along Josh
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| | #115 (permalink) |
| NamePros Regular Join Date: Jun 2007 Location: Coordinates - 28.61, 77.23
Posts: 517
![]() | tall.in, owls.in Hey Josh, These are very generic words, and the extension is .in. However I am not too sure if these are overvaluations? Code: Domain tall.in Keywords (Autodetected) tall Frequency 88,700,000 Anchor Text 892,000 Title 1,400,000 Backlinks 0 Alexa Ranking Not Ranked Estimated Traffic / Day N/A PPC Advertising Score 2/10 Exact Searches/mo 32514 http://EstiBot.com BETA Valuation USD 2,900 Code: Domain owls.in Keywords (Autodetected) owl Frequency 8,630,000 Anchor Text 147,000 Title 191,000 Backlinks 0 Alexa Ranking Not Ranked Estimated Traffic / Day N/A PPC Advertising Score 5/10 Exact Searches/mo (singular) 100317 http://EstiBot.com BETA Valuation USD 630
Last edited by barcode; 07-21-2007 at 10:52 PM.
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| | THREAD STARTER #116 (permalink) | ||||
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | From the main discussion board:
I'm using an imaginary domain name, CordlessSpaces.com, as an example here, but the results that I quote are for your actual domain name - NOT for CordlessSpaces.com. If I type cordlessspaces.com, EstiBot will detect the keywords "cordless space" (note the singular) and give the domain a valuation of $3,100. I've typed this numerous times and I have not seen any fluctuation. I always get $3,100 - this may vary a little bit from day to day due to daily fluctuations in the keyword popularity. However, if I type CordlessSpaces.com, EstiBot will assume that you want exactly the capitalized keywords researched, therefore it uses the term "cordless spaces" in the research (note the plural), and gives you a value of $70. This lesser value is due to OVT not giving exact searches for plural - that's why EstiBot automatically uses the singular search term for OVT when the domain name is in plural. If I misspell the name and type cordlesspaces.com (note the missing "s"), Estibot will not recognize any keywords and will use the whole string, i.e. "cordlesspace", and therefore the valuation is Reg Fee. To recap: if you always spell your domain exactly the same, EstiBot should give the same valuation, which may vary naturally due to the following reasons: 1) normal variation over time as keyword popularity changes 2) significant variation due to some resources getting timed out - you should get a warning The EstiBot keyword Capitalization system is designed to give you maximum freedom to have your domain name analyzed exactly as you see fit: -type all lower case to let EstiBot determine the most commercially viable keywords contained within your domain name -capitalize the domain name (Domains.com) to have EstiBot use it exactly as typed -capitalize the individual keywords (DomainNames.com) to have Estibot use the individual keywords as capitalized EstiBot will always tell you which keywords it used for the analysis. If you're not happy with the automatic keyword detection result, try capitalizing your domain name, or individual keywords within it. ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276 Sam, if you are still getting fluctuations and you have excluded the above reasons, let me know and I'll dig deeper into this issue. Thanks- josh
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| | #117 (permalink) | ||||||||
| NamePros Regular Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: Slovakia, EU
Posts: 454
![]() ![]() ![]() | Hey Josh, I really like your appraisal tool. It definitely is the best appraisal site I've ever seen. Great work! ![]() I appraised my LLL.in domains yesterday and I was amazed to see the result. I'm not sure if it even isn't too much:
I think it is quite difficult to determine the real value of these domain names when comparing previous LLL.in sales, as I would say those $X - $XX sales are just reseller sales. And those sales in the range of $XXX - $XXXX are the end user sales IMO. To be honest, I bought these domains for $30 each yesterday on an other forum (and I bought them after checking them with EstiBot, as I was amazed), as I think I might sell them for much more than just $30 (maybe not now, but few years later). Another factor is that there were really only a few LLL.in sales so far. | ||||||||
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| | #118 (permalink) | ||||
| Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Jaipur, India
Posts: 3,119
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | The best help that I see EstiBot giving me is a quick look at all the stats I wanna know, from Alexa rank to OVT result ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276
IMO that would happen with .cn values too, I believe (if there are any .cn names remaining, i.e) | ||||
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| | THREAD STARTER #119 (permalink) | ||||
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | Guys, I agree with what you are saying. I've just posted some further explanations about the appraisal / dollar valuation here: A couple of exceprts:
India is a gigantic country with huge growth potential especially in IT, so who knows...it'll be interesting to see what happens with .in - it's a bit like .us. Bear with me as I tweak the algorithm, it's really optimized for .com and getting there with net, org, info, biz, us, but even then it's just a pointer. As you've said above, EstiBot is at its most useful when you utilize it as a quick research tool and take the valuation with a grain of salt, do your own research. Thanks! Josh I found another possible cause for fluctuations: If you spell your domain name identically and do a couple of searches, and notice that the valuation changes, pay attention to the keywords that EstiBot detects and uses for the valuation. I've noticed that the keyword detection routine does not always detect the right keywords, even if the domain is spelled identically between searches. This is something that unfortunately cannot be helped given the current resources. ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276 For instance, if you type "myowndomain.com", estibot will usually detect the keywords "my own domain", but sometimes it will just use "myowndomain". Always check which keywords were used, and if it was wrong, try again or use KeywordCapitalization. Cheers, Josh
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| | THREAD STARTER #120 (permalink) |
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | I need you help + Tell me what you want! Here's a short summary of yet another lengthy post by me: I need your input. I am thinking of making some changes to EstiBot, and I want you to know what you think. I also welcome any and all ideas that you may have. Before you read this, let me make one thing clear: I absolutely do not intend EstiBot to become a paid appraisal system of any kind. It's a passion project for me. I will keep the site completely free of charge as long as it is financially viable for me, in other words, as long as I don't end up paying more than the current $250 out of my own pocket to each month to keep the server running. Here's the list of my suggestions - for in-depth explanation of why I want to make these changes, please read the rest of the post. 1) I am thinking of making EstiBot more educational, with more information and critical explanations especially with the newbie in mind ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276 2) I want to make available a bulk check option. As long as EstiBot is not paying for its own dedicated server rent, unfortunately I would have to charge 10 cents per domain at this point. Don't misinterpret this - this is NOT intended as a paid appraisal service, but rather a bulk keyword research tool option. A way to get all the keyword data for all your domains in one convenient package. The appraisal dollar value is, as always, just an additional feature that you may or may not find useful. The bulk check results would be provided by e-mail. This is not a money-making feature, the charge is nominal and is just to cover my costs. Nor it is an e-mail address collection feature, I will never use your email for anything else than the single purpose of e-mailing you the results. It's just that many people have asked for this feature, and as much as I'd like to, I simply cannot offer this for free at the moment. The usual functions would of course remain free of charge, and will always remain free of charge. 3) I will add a donation button on the site - those using the site regularly would be able to support my efforts should they wish to do so If I do manage to get some income - I will invest whatever is left over from the server rent to invest in more keyword research features, better appraisal accuracy - maybe I will also be able to provide the bulk check for free I've spent more than a thousand hours programming the site. I have reached a point at which I can't make the appraisal much more accurate without investing some money. Sure, I can still tweak it and make it better, but I'm stretching the limits of the tools that are available. This is where I'm counting on your support - the more backlinks, traffic and income the site generates, the more features I'll be able to add and the more accurate I can make the appraisals. Right now it's not nearly paying for its own dedicated server priced at $250/month. This is a passion project for me, I believe in my algorithm and originally I wanted to make a private domaining tool for myself, in order to gain some competetive edge. Then I figured - why not share it with other domainers, there's too much "me me me" attitude in today's society. And I tell you, it's really rewarding to see that people use it, and write back to me saying that they've found it helpful. It's nice to give something back for a change. I never thought I'd make money from it (if I do, so much the better of course) - I'm happy if I can invest whatever income I get, and use it to make this an indisposable tool for all domainers, especially with the newbie in mind. I hate to see newbies waste all their money regging/buying crap domains (see especially the .mobi thread). I want to give them a tool to help them to learn basic domain research and valuation. So, with all this in mind, I am now considering some changes to EstiBot. Here's where I need your help. I want you to tell me what you think of these ideas, and also give me your own ideas. I value the input of NamePros members very much. I realize that about most of my visitors don't care to read the guide section, and don't want to try various capitalization options, they want to just punch in their domain name and get an immediate appraisal. Some of them (luckily very few) then go and post here at NamePros, telling what a crap and useless system (or POS, as one very senior member put it) it is because it gave a valuation that they think is off. ????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276 That's fine, I am also very busy with a lot of projects going on, and I also want immediate data with no explanations - and then trust myself to interpret the data using my knowledge and experience. However, there are a lot of newbies in the domaining business. I'm not the most experienced domainer around, but I have come a long way (I hope) from regging utterly crap domains and having unrealistic expectations of sales. I have learned one or two things from my own mistakes, and I want to help newbies learn from my mistakes, instead of their own mistakes. That's why I'm thinking of making the site more educational - more explanation of domain research, an automatic critical interpretation of the appraisal, and so on. The idea would be to still provide a lot of data at-a-glance for the experienced domainers, while at the same time providing educational information for newbies. Oh, by the way- I've figured out one issue that causes fluctuation in estimation. The OVT sometimes returns "exact searches" and sometimes "search potential" for an identical search term. Whenever it returns "search potential", it means it can't match the exact phrase for OVT, and consequently the value is lower than it is when there's a match. There's nothing I can do at this point to fix this. But read above, if I can invest in some better research tools, I will be able to fix this. Thanks Josh
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| | #121 (permalink) |
| Senior Member ![]() Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 1,471
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | Josh, can you cache the results? Would this make repeated searches for a name return speedier then? Also, should someone want to do a bulk check for 1,000 domains this would cost $100. If you had the results cached the overhead cost is already covered, so you could offer an option of including cached results and give a discount for subsequent searches since it doesn't need to be checked again. If all 1,000 domains were in the cache already then, you could allow those cached results to be returned for say only $10 instead. Might you consider some of this if it proves popular?
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| | #122 (permalink) | ||||
| NamePros Regular Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: Slovakia, EU
Posts: 454
![]() ![]() ![]() |
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276 Just my point. | ||||
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| | THREAD STARTER #123 (permalink) |
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | Brujah, I have a caching routine but I deleted it due to some problems with calling the database. It wasn't any faster to get it from the database than to do a new search. I'm working on it though, and will notify you when it is functioning again. By the way, someone has regged a typo: estibots.com - makes me feel like estibot is a major site
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| | #124 (permalink) | ||||||||||||
| Senior Member ![]() Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 1,471
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
????: NamePros.com http://www.namepros.com/showthread.php?t=332276
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| | THREAD STARTER #125 (permalink) |
| Developer of Estibot Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,945
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | Good ideas. I actually had a caching system when I started. It checked whether the name was already in the database, and whether the data was more than 30 days old. If it was, it would check the metrics again. I'm working on reinstalling this feature.
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