1% changes at this point may seem trivial to many people and so I will increase the updates to 3% changes. I’ll update the thread at 19%, 16% and 13% and the last 10%, I’ll update 1% at a time.
yqhk = young queens of Hong Kong, so you never know there might be a buyer there!...there are still some hidden gems around worth checking out...(maybe not that one....)
Here is what I have observed on my estimates of 4 letter domains
Late December ~ 110K
Early Jan (around 13th) ~ 107K
Mid Jan ~ 104K
26th Jan ~ 97K
2nd Feb ~ 110K
9th Feb ~ 111K
In the past 6 weeks it looks as though more people have dropped 4 letter domains than purchased them. It appears that this countdown may take quite a while. I would recommend anyone considering purchasing 4 letter domains to be very selective at the moment. Personally, I am thinking that I'd wait until there is less than 8% (36500) remaining before considering purchasing random 4 letter domains. I only buy what I think I can sell and I can't sell random letters at the moment.
Something else that people may find interesting. The most commonly regged letters in four letter domains are S, C and A. Below is a the most common letters regged. 1st. SCA
2nd. DEMIT
3rd. BLON
earlier this month a 4L reached NP$350 in the np auction which really pissed-off the seller who expected more...also about average 4Ls are getting just above reg fee in the afternic bazaar, so no great riches just yet.......
I have a list of over 300-500 domains and most of them are 4 letter domains and a lot are still open. I am selling the list if any of you want it, please PM me with a offer for the list with over 300-500 domains. Thank you and Good luck to all.
remember now that these LLLL.coms were all regged and gone at one point in time i think during the dot com rush if someone could elaborate on this topic would be moist interesting.........................
but were not regged again so they all dropped......
vurg...it is for sure not clear that the numbers are systematically going down as there as a high drop-out rate going against the reg stream as you have pointed out...there are still a few worth regging though
there are plenty of good ones left that are pronouncable and brandable
I always browse the expired list and pull out a few gems. yikz.com was my best ever find closely followed by jecx.com
Go to justdropped.com and you get to few 4 letter domains dropped in the last 4 hours.
e.g.
icxy.com is available. i was going to register it but i dont have enough dosh. Please add rep if you reg this name
hahah only 60k are left
i scanned them as at march 23rd 2006.. fulllist left 60k LLLL.coms at this rate its gonna be gone soon within this year or next
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P R E M I U M Domains for sale.Welcome offers.PM me.
hahah only 60k are left
i scanned them as at march 23rd 2006.. fulllist left 60k LLLL.coms at this rate its gonna be gone soon within this year or next
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They will be gone in 3 months, becuase once they get under 50, random folks will buy an LLLL.com to say they own one.
I think that there is a downward trend but the numbers seem to be fluctuating plus or minus 1.5% of the average trend. There is more than 60000 unregisterd LLLL.com domains. My estimate for today is 94431. I now have a page where I put up my weekly estimates. (VISIT PAGE) If you visit my page you can see that the estimates go down more often than they go up. (7 out of 10 times.)
I think that there may be somebody buying 4 letter domains that start with the letter A. I only found 1 of the 98 that I checked today unregistered.
Does somebody have a list of the unregistered 4 letter domains starting with the letter A?
I will aim to make a comment when I see the domains cross the 19% remaining barrier but I still haven't seen that happen yet.
so from your data, it looks like the un-reg llll.com did come down. But the rate is pretty small, it will take not just one year, but could be many years.
One question: how did you estimate it to be 90K while Malaysia claimed the full list to be 60K?
I use a sampling procedure testing a stratified sample of 2600 potential domain names.
I have seen a large variety of answers for determining the number of unregistered domains and so I stick to my method of sampling. It is quick and it doesn't have the risks associated with looking at all 456956 possibilities. Being a statistician by trade, I am very confident that my sampling procedure gives a relatively accurate estimate.
I am guessing that Malaysia has an accurate list of 60000 unregistered domains but has missed out on all the domains that have dropped since the initial list was generated (I don't actually know why there is a difference in our estimates). I do know that there is a lot that can go wrong when trying to generate an accurate up to date list of unregistered domains of all the domains and that by the time you have finished the list, some on the list are registered.
(aaxy.com currently unregistered. This is a good one!)
